Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe
Over the past decades, different drought indices have been suggested in the literature. This study tackles the problem of how to characterize droughts by defining a framework and proposing a generalized family of drought indices that is flexible regarding the use of different hydrological fluxes in...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Stockholm University Press
2017-01-01
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| Series: | Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2017.1296226 |
| _version_ | 1811302258885787648 |
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| author | Christoph C. Raible Oliver Bärenbold Juan José Gómez-navarro |
| author_facet | Christoph C. Raible Oliver Bärenbold Juan José Gómez-navarro |
| author_sort | Christoph C. Raible |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Over the past decades, different drought indices have been suggested in the literature. This study tackles the problem of how to characterize droughts by defining a framework and proposing a generalized family of drought indices that is flexible regarding the use of different hydrological fluxes in the water balance. The sensitivity of various indices and its skill to represent drought conditions is evaluated using a regional model simulation for Europe spanning the last two millennia as test bed. The framework combines an exponentially damped memory with a normalization method based on quantile mapping. Both approaches are more robust and physically meaningful compared to the existing methods used to define drought indices. Still, the framework is flexible with respect to hydrological fluxes used for the water balance, enabling users to adapt the index formulation to the data availability of different locations. Based on it, indices using different hydrological fluxes in the water balance are compared with each other showing that a drought index considering only precipitation in the water balance is sufficient for western to central Europe. In the Mediterranean, temperature effects via evapotranspiration rather than potential evapotranspiration, need to be considered to produce meaningful indices representative of water deficit. In addition, our results indicate that in north-eastern Europe and Scandinavia, snow and run-off effects need to be considered simultaneously in the index definition to obtain accurate results. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T07:24:51Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8489c56d23a64b759bfcfb0bf0b6ec47 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1600-0870 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T07:24:51Z |
| publishDate | 2017-01-01 |
| publisher | Stockholm University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography |
| spelling | doaj.art-8489c56d23a64b759bfcfb0bf0b6ec472022-12-22T02:56:30ZengStockholm University PressTellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography1600-08702017-01-0169110.1080/16000870.2017.12962261296226Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for EuropeChristoph C. Raible0Oliver Bärenbold1Juan José Gómez-navarro2University of BernUniversity of BernUniversity of BernOver the past decades, different drought indices have been suggested in the literature. This study tackles the problem of how to characterize droughts by defining a framework and proposing a generalized family of drought indices that is flexible regarding the use of different hydrological fluxes in the water balance. The sensitivity of various indices and its skill to represent drought conditions is evaluated using a regional model simulation for Europe spanning the last two millennia as test bed. The framework combines an exponentially damped memory with a normalization method based on quantile mapping. Both approaches are more robust and physically meaningful compared to the existing methods used to define drought indices. Still, the framework is flexible with respect to hydrological fluxes used for the water balance, enabling users to adapt the index formulation to the data availability of different locations. Based on it, indices using different hydrological fluxes in the water balance are compared with each other showing that a drought index considering only precipitation in the water balance is sufficient for western to central Europe. In the Mediterranean, temperature effects via evapotranspiration rather than potential evapotranspiration, need to be considered to produce meaningful indices representative of water deficit. In addition, our results indicate that in north-eastern Europe and Scandinavia, snow and run-off effects need to be considered simultaneously in the index definition to obtain accurate results.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2017.1296226drought indicespotential evopotranspirationEuroperegional modelling |
| spellingShingle | Christoph C. Raible Oliver Bärenbold Juan José Gómez-navarro Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography drought indices potential evopotranspiration Europe regional modelling |
| title | Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe |
| title_full | Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe |
| title_fullStr | Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe |
| title_full_unstemmed | Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe |
| title_short | Drought indices revisited – improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for Europe |
| title_sort | drought indices revisited improving and testing of drought indices in a simulation of the last two millennia for europe |
| topic | drought indices potential evopotranspiration Europe regional modelling |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2017.1296226 |
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