Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western Nebraska

Aquatic habitats in the Great Plains of North America have increased risk of droughts under climate forecasts. Droughts have the potential to influence the population dynamics of pond turtles, and long-term studies are useful to assess the impact of climatic variation on turtles. We compiled twelve...

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Main Authors: Allyson N. Beard, Larkin A. Powell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-04-01
Series:Diversity
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-2818/15/5/597
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author Allyson N. Beard
Larkin A. Powell
author_facet Allyson N. Beard
Larkin A. Powell
author_sort Allyson N. Beard
collection DOAJ
description Aquatic habitats in the Great Plains of North America have increased risk of droughts under climate forecasts. Droughts have the potential to influence the population dynamics of pond turtles, and long-term studies are useful to assess the impact of climatic variation on turtles. We compiled twelve years of mark-recapture data for painted turtles (<i>Chrysemys picta</i>) captured in a pond in Keith County, Nebraska during 2005–2016 that included two periods of drought. We used a robust design analysis to investigate influences on population size, annual survival, temporary immigration, and capture probability. Estimates of the annual population size ranged from 92 (CI: 90–94) to 180 (CI: 175–186) but did not vary with drought conditions. Despite a relatively stable depth of water in our study pond, the probability of annual survival was reduced by 0.07 in females and 0.10 in males during drought years. Approximately one-fifth (temporary emigration probability: 0.19, CI = 0.16–0.23) of the population was outside the study pond at any given time. Our long-term research provides insights into the potential challenges to turtles in aquatic habitats undergoing prolonged changes in long-term climate conditions.
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spelling doaj.art-8503ceaafd8b40749a4ce0c78c9c88792023-11-18T01:06:06ZengMDPI AGDiversity1424-28182023-04-0115559710.3390/d15050597Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western NebraskaAllyson N. Beard0Larkin A. Powell1School of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, 3310 Holdrege Street, Lincoln, NE 68583-0974, USASchool of Natural Resources, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, 3310 Holdrege Street, Lincoln, NE 68583-0974, USAAquatic habitats in the Great Plains of North America have increased risk of droughts under climate forecasts. Droughts have the potential to influence the population dynamics of pond turtles, and long-term studies are useful to assess the impact of climatic variation on turtles. We compiled twelve years of mark-recapture data for painted turtles (<i>Chrysemys picta</i>) captured in a pond in Keith County, Nebraska during 2005–2016 that included two periods of drought. We used a robust design analysis to investigate influences on population size, annual survival, temporary immigration, and capture probability. Estimates of the annual population size ranged from 92 (CI: 90–94) to 180 (CI: 175–186) but did not vary with drought conditions. Despite a relatively stable depth of water in our study pond, the probability of annual survival was reduced by 0.07 in females and 0.10 in males during drought years. Approximately one-fifth (temporary emigration probability: 0.19, CI = 0.16–0.23) of the population was outside the study pond at any given time. Our long-term research provides insights into the potential challenges to turtles in aquatic habitats undergoing prolonged changes in long-term climate conditions.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-2818/15/5/597aquatic ecology<i>Chrysemys picta</i>climate changelong-term studymark-recapturemovement
spellingShingle Allyson N. Beard
Larkin A. Powell
Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western Nebraska
Diversity
aquatic ecology
<i>Chrysemys picta</i>
climate change
long-term study
mark-recapture
movement
title Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western Nebraska
title_full Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western Nebraska
title_fullStr Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western Nebraska
title_full_unstemmed Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western Nebraska
title_short Drought Influences Annual Survival of Painted Turtles in Western Nebraska
title_sort drought influences annual survival of painted turtles in western nebraska
topic aquatic ecology
<i>Chrysemys picta</i>
climate change
long-term study
mark-recapture
movement
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-2818/15/5/597
work_keys_str_mv AT allysonnbeard droughtinfluencesannualsurvivalofpaintedturtlesinwesternnebraska
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