Monetary Policy and Housing Prices Dynamics in India

This study attempts to examine the relationship between monetary policy and housing prices in India. We use monthly data from January 2009 to December 2018 of four variables- Housing Price Index (HPI), Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), Gross Domestic Price (GDP), and interest rate for our esti...

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Main Authors: M. Waseem NAIKOO, Arshid H. PEER, Farhan AHMED, M. ISHTIAQ
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ala-Too International University 2021-05-01
Series:Eurasian Journal of Business and Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ejbe.org/EJBE2021Vol14No27p047-NAIKOO-PEER-AHMED-ISHTIAQ.pdf
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author M. Waseem NAIKOO
Arshid H. PEER
Farhan AHMED
M. ISHTIAQ
author_facet M. Waseem NAIKOO
Arshid H. PEER
Farhan AHMED
M. ISHTIAQ
author_sort M. Waseem NAIKOO
collection DOAJ
description This study attempts to examine the relationship between monetary policy and housing prices in India. We use monthly data from January 2009 to December 2018 of four variables- Housing Price Index (HPI), Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), Gross Domestic Price (GDP), and interest rate for our estimations using the Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Model. The results from the study show that the impact of monetary policy on housing prices is significant only on lag three; however, the coefficient is very small. The results from the ARDL model are also supported by the variance decomposition of housing price. The variance decomposition of housing prices highlights that monetary policy explains around 13 percent of the variation in housing prices over a period of ten months. Further, the accumulated impulse response function reveals that with one-unit shock to interest rate results in a -0.000875 unit change in housing price. The study stipulates that, since conventional monetary policy has a modest impact on housing prices, therefore, it is insignificant for addressing the problems of real estate in India.
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spelling doaj.art-852af9a258ce47a39d8a13fe235a1c892022-12-21T20:11:32ZengAla-Too International UniversityEurasian Journal of Business and Economics1694-59481694-59482021-05-01142711510.17015/ejbe.2021.027.03Monetary Policy and Housing Prices Dynamics in IndiaM. Waseem NAIKOO0Arshid H. PEER1Farhan AHMED2M. ISHTIAQ3Jamia Millia Islamia (A Central University)Jamia Millia Islamia (A Central University)Aligarh Muslim UniversityJamia Millia Islamia (A Central University)This study attempts to examine the relationship between monetary policy and housing prices in India. We use monthly data from January 2009 to December 2018 of four variables- Housing Price Index (HPI), Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER), Gross Domestic Price (GDP), and interest rate for our estimations using the Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) Model. The results from the study show that the impact of monetary policy on housing prices is significant only on lag three; however, the coefficient is very small. The results from the ARDL model are also supported by the variance decomposition of housing price. The variance decomposition of housing prices highlights that monetary policy explains around 13 percent of the variation in housing prices over a period of ten months. Further, the accumulated impulse response function reveals that with one-unit shock to interest rate results in a -0.000875 unit change in housing price. The study stipulates that, since conventional monetary policy has a modest impact on housing prices, therefore, it is insignificant for addressing the problems of real estate in India.https://ejbe.org/EJBE2021Vol14No27p047-NAIKOO-PEER-AHMED-ISHTIAQ.pdfmonetary policyinterest ratehousing priceardl
spellingShingle M. Waseem NAIKOO
Arshid H. PEER
Farhan AHMED
M. ISHTIAQ
Monetary Policy and Housing Prices Dynamics in India
Eurasian Journal of Business and Economics
monetary policy
interest rate
housing price
ardl
title Monetary Policy and Housing Prices Dynamics in India
title_full Monetary Policy and Housing Prices Dynamics in India
title_fullStr Monetary Policy and Housing Prices Dynamics in India
title_full_unstemmed Monetary Policy and Housing Prices Dynamics in India
title_short Monetary Policy and Housing Prices Dynamics in India
title_sort monetary policy and housing prices dynamics in india
topic monetary policy
interest rate
housing price
ardl
url https://ejbe.org/EJBE2021Vol14No27p047-NAIKOO-PEER-AHMED-ISHTIAQ.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT mwaseemnaikoo monetarypolicyandhousingpricesdynamicsinindia
AT arshidhpeer monetarypolicyandhousingpricesdynamicsinindia
AT farhanahmed monetarypolicyandhousingpricesdynamicsinindia
AT mishtiaq monetarypolicyandhousingpricesdynamicsinindia