Ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long-term kidney function decline in the general population: a distributional regression approach

Abstract The results of randomized controlled trials are unclear about the long-term effect of blood pressure (BP) on kidney function assessed as the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in persons without chronic kidney disease or diabetes. The limited duration of follow-up and use of imprecise methods...

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Main Authors: Bjørn O. Eriksen, Matteo Fasiolo, Ulla D. Mathisen, Trond G. Jenssen, Vidar T. N. Stefansson, Toralf Melsom
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-08-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-41181-7
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author Bjørn O. Eriksen
Matteo Fasiolo
Ulla D. Mathisen
Trond G. Jenssen
Vidar T. N. Stefansson
Toralf Melsom
author_facet Bjørn O. Eriksen
Matteo Fasiolo
Ulla D. Mathisen
Trond G. Jenssen
Vidar T. N. Stefansson
Toralf Melsom
author_sort Bjørn O. Eriksen
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The results of randomized controlled trials are unclear about the long-term effect of blood pressure (BP) on kidney function assessed as the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in persons without chronic kidney disease or diabetes. The limited duration of follow-up and use of imprecise methods for assessing BP and GFR are important reasons why this issue has not been settled. Since a long-term randomized trial is unlikely, we investigated the association between 24-h ambulatory BP (ABP) and measured GFR in a cohort study with a median follow-up of 11 years. The Renal Iohexol Clearance Survey (RENIS) cohort is a representative sample of persons aged 50 to 62 years without baseline cardiovascular disease, diabetes, or kidney disease from the general population of Tromsø in northern Norway. ABP was measured at baseline, and iohexol clearance at baseline and twice during follow-up. The study population comprised 1589 persons with 4127 GFR measurements. Baseline ABP or office BP components were not associated with the GFR change rate in multivariable adjusted conventional regression models. In generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), higher daytime systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial ABP were associated with a slight shift of the central part of the GFR distribution toward lower GFR and with higher probability of GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 during follow-up (p < 0.05). The use of a distributional regression method and precise methods for measuring exposure and outcome were necessary to detect an unfavorable association between BP and GFR in this study of the general population.
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spelling doaj.art-8530a213f710409e94c5a048e6b6127b2023-11-26T13:20:46ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-08-0113111410.1038/s41598-023-41181-7Ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long-term kidney function decline in the general population: a distributional regression approachBjørn O. Eriksen0Matteo Fasiolo1Ulla D. Mathisen2Trond G. Jenssen3Vidar T. N. Stefansson4Toralf Melsom5Metabolic and Renal Research Group, UiT The Arctic University of NorwaySchool of Mathematics, University of BristolMetabolic and Renal Research Group, UiT The Arctic University of NorwayMetabolic and Renal Research Group, UiT The Arctic University of NorwayMetabolic and Renal Research Group, UiT The Arctic University of NorwayMetabolic and Renal Research Group, UiT The Arctic University of NorwayAbstract The results of randomized controlled trials are unclear about the long-term effect of blood pressure (BP) on kidney function assessed as the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in persons without chronic kidney disease or diabetes. The limited duration of follow-up and use of imprecise methods for assessing BP and GFR are important reasons why this issue has not been settled. Since a long-term randomized trial is unlikely, we investigated the association between 24-h ambulatory BP (ABP) and measured GFR in a cohort study with a median follow-up of 11 years. The Renal Iohexol Clearance Survey (RENIS) cohort is a representative sample of persons aged 50 to 62 years without baseline cardiovascular disease, diabetes, or kidney disease from the general population of Tromsø in northern Norway. ABP was measured at baseline, and iohexol clearance at baseline and twice during follow-up. The study population comprised 1589 persons with 4127 GFR measurements. Baseline ABP or office BP components were not associated with the GFR change rate in multivariable adjusted conventional regression models. In generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), higher daytime systolic, diastolic, and mean arterial ABP were associated with a slight shift of the central part of the GFR distribution toward lower GFR and with higher probability of GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 during follow-up (p < 0.05). The use of a distributional regression method and precise methods for measuring exposure and outcome were necessary to detect an unfavorable association between BP and GFR in this study of the general population.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-41181-7
spellingShingle Bjørn O. Eriksen
Matteo Fasiolo
Ulla D. Mathisen
Trond G. Jenssen
Vidar T. N. Stefansson
Toralf Melsom
Ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long-term kidney function decline in the general population: a distributional regression approach
Scientific Reports
title Ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long-term kidney function decline in the general population: a distributional regression approach
title_full Ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long-term kidney function decline in the general population: a distributional regression approach
title_fullStr Ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long-term kidney function decline in the general population: a distributional regression approach
title_full_unstemmed Ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long-term kidney function decline in the general population: a distributional regression approach
title_short Ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long-term kidney function decline in the general population: a distributional regression approach
title_sort ambulatory blood pressure as risk factor for long term kidney function decline in the general population a distributional regression approach
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-41181-7
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