Prospecting the universe of waters: the experience of building scenarios for Brazil’s national plan for water resources, 2005-2006

Brazil’s National Plan for Water Resources was approved in 2006 by the National Council for Water Resources. This was the first plan of its kind drafted in Brazil. Its most peculiar aspect is the inclusion of a prospective study, a component to be found in only two other similar national plans. This...

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Main Authors: Elimar Pinheiro do Nascimento, Marco José Melo Neves, Demetrios Christofidis
Format: Article
Language:Portuguese
Published: Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina 2010-01-01
Series:Geosul
Subjects:
Online Access:https://periodicos.ufsc.br/index.php/geosul/article/view/15479
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author Elimar Pinheiro do Nascimento
Marco José Melo Neves
Demetrios Christofidis
author_facet Elimar Pinheiro do Nascimento
Marco José Melo Neves
Demetrios Christofidis
author_sort Elimar Pinheiro do Nascimento
collection DOAJ
description Brazil’s National Plan for Water Resources was approved in 2006 by the National Council for Water Resources. This was the first plan of its kind drafted in Brazil. Its most peculiar aspect is the inclusion of a prospective study, a component to be found in only two other similar national plans. This article describes the methodology adopted and the process of constructing the plan’s water resources scenarios. These scenarios were built on the basis of a set of regional and national workshops, involving a total of 235 participants. They identified the variables, the actors and the critical uncertainties related to the country’s water resources. Three scenarios emerged, partly quantified, valid for Brazil in 2020. They were used as the foundation of the plan, as a consequence of the adoption of a robust strategy that included the identification of recurrent bottlenecks, potentials and conflicts in the scenarios. However, it is argued that a more refined and complete quantification would have been required, based on a consistent model. Another shortcoming discussed in the text is the absence of a regional focus that would allow the identification of the impacts of each of the three scenarios in each of the 12 hydrographic regions into which the country was divided.
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spelling doaj.art-8561c57a830d4f95b59aaceff7b1f8952022-12-22T02:43:31ZporUniversidade Federal de Santa CatarinaGeosul0103-39642177-52302010-01-012549276210.5007/2177-5230.2010v25n49p2712459Prospecting the universe of waters: the experience of building scenarios for Brazil’s national plan for water resources, 2005-2006Elimar Pinheiro do Nascimento0Marco José Melo Neves1Demetrios Christofidis2Brasília – UnBGAP/SRHU/MMAUnBBrazil’s National Plan for Water Resources was approved in 2006 by the National Council for Water Resources. This was the first plan of its kind drafted in Brazil. Its most peculiar aspect is the inclusion of a prospective study, a component to be found in only two other similar national plans. This article describes the methodology adopted and the process of constructing the plan’s water resources scenarios. These scenarios were built on the basis of a set of regional and national workshops, involving a total of 235 participants. They identified the variables, the actors and the critical uncertainties related to the country’s water resources. Three scenarios emerged, partly quantified, valid for Brazil in 2020. They were used as the foundation of the plan, as a consequence of the adoption of a robust strategy that included the identification of recurrent bottlenecks, potentials and conflicts in the scenarios. However, it is argued that a more refined and complete quantification would have been required, based on a consistent model. Another shortcoming discussed in the text is the absence of a regional focus that would allow the identification of the impacts of each of the three scenarios in each of the 12 hydrographic regions into which the country was divided.https://periodicos.ufsc.br/index.php/geosul/article/view/15479Recursos hídricosPlanejamentoPlano nacional de recursos hídricosCenários de recursos hídricosMetodologia de cenáriosParticipação social
spellingShingle Elimar Pinheiro do Nascimento
Marco José Melo Neves
Demetrios Christofidis
Prospecting the universe of waters: the experience of building scenarios for Brazil’s national plan for water resources, 2005-2006
Geosul
Recursos hídricos
Planejamento
Plano nacional de recursos hídricos
Cenários de recursos hídricos
Metodologia de cenários
Participação social
title Prospecting the universe of waters: the experience of building scenarios for Brazil’s national plan for water resources, 2005-2006
title_full Prospecting the universe of waters: the experience of building scenarios for Brazil’s national plan for water resources, 2005-2006
title_fullStr Prospecting the universe of waters: the experience of building scenarios for Brazil’s national plan for water resources, 2005-2006
title_full_unstemmed Prospecting the universe of waters: the experience of building scenarios for Brazil’s national plan for water resources, 2005-2006
title_short Prospecting the universe of waters: the experience of building scenarios for Brazil’s national plan for water resources, 2005-2006
title_sort prospecting the universe of waters the experience of building scenarios for brazil s national plan for water resources 2005 2006
topic Recursos hídricos
Planejamento
Plano nacional de recursos hídricos
Cenários de recursos hídricos
Metodologia de cenários
Participação social
url https://periodicos.ufsc.br/index.php/geosul/article/view/15479
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AT marcojosemeloneves prospectingtheuniverseofwaterstheexperienceofbuildingscenariosforbrazilsnationalplanforwaterresources20052006
AT demetrioschristofidis prospectingtheuniverseofwaterstheexperienceofbuildingscenariosforbrazilsnationalplanforwaterresources20052006