Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes

<p>The Antarctic ice sheet mass balance is a major component of the sea level budget and results from the difference of two fluxes of a similar magnitude: ice flow discharging in the ocean and net snow accumulation on the ice sheet surface, i.e. the surface mass balance (SMB). Separately model...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: C. Agosta, C. Amory, C. Kittel, A. Orsi, V. Favier, H. Gallée, M. R. van den Broeke, J. T. M. Lenaerts, J. M. van Wessem, W. J. van de Berg, X. Fettweis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2019-01-01
Series:The Cryosphere
Online Access:https://www.the-cryosphere.net/13/281/2019/tc-13-281-2019.pdf
_version_ 1818509681749917696
author C. Agosta
C. Agosta
C. Agosta
C. Amory
C. Kittel
A. Orsi
V. Favier
H. Gallée
M. R. van den Broeke
J. T. M. Lenaerts
J. T. M. Lenaerts
J. M. van Wessem
W. J. van de Berg
X. Fettweis
author_facet C. Agosta
C. Agosta
C. Agosta
C. Amory
C. Kittel
A. Orsi
V. Favier
H. Gallée
M. R. van den Broeke
J. T. M. Lenaerts
J. T. M. Lenaerts
J. M. van Wessem
W. J. van de Berg
X. Fettweis
author_sort C. Agosta
collection DOAJ
description <p>The Antarctic ice sheet mass balance is a major component of the sea level budget and results from the difference of two fluxes of a similar magnitude: ice flow discharging in the ocean and net snow accumulation on the ice sheet surface, i.e. the surface mass balance (SMB). Separately modelling ice dynamics and SMB is the only way to project future trends. In addition, mass balance studies frequently use regional climate models (RCMs) outputs as an alternative to observed fields because SMB observations are particularly scarce on the ice sheet. Here we evaluate new simulations of the polar RCM MAR forced by three reanalyses, ERA-Interim, JRA-55, and MERRA-2, for the period 1979–2015, and we compare MAR results to the last outputs of the RCM RACMO2 forced by ERA-Interim. We show that MAR and RACMO2 perform similarly well in simulating coast-to-plateau SMB gradients, and we find no significant differences in their simulated SMB when integrated over the ice sheet or its major basins. More importantly, we outline and quantify missing or underestimated processes in both RCMs. Along stake transects, we show that both models accumulate too much snow on crests, and not enough snow in valleys, as a result of drifting snow transport fluxes not included in MAR and probably underestimated in RACMO2 by a factor of 3. Our results tend to confirm that drifting snow transport and sublimation fluxes are much larger than previous model-based estimates and need to be better resolved and constrained in climate models. Sublimation of precipitating particles in low-level atmospheric layers is responsible for the significantly lower snowfall rates in MAR than in RACMO2 in katabatic channels at the ice sheet margins. Atmospheric sublimation in MAR represents 363&thinsp;<span class="inline-formula">Gt</span>&thinsp;<span class="inline-formula">yr<sup>−1</sup></span> over the grounded ice sheet for the year 2015, which is 16&thinsp;% of the simulated snowfall loaded at the ground. This estimate is consistent with a recent study based on precipitation radar observations and is more than twice as much as simulated in RACMO2 because of different time residence of precipitating particles in the atmosphere. The remaining spatial differences in snowfall between MAR and RACMO2 are attributed to differences in advection of precipitation with snowfall particles being likely advected too far inland in MAR.</p>
first_indexed 2024-12-10T22:48:43Z
format Article
id doaj.art-85ac8d38c6ae4927831899c19fc31f36
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1994-0416
1994-0424
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-10T22:48:43Z
publishDate 2019-01-01
publisher Copernicus Publications
record_format Article
series The Cryosphere
spelling doaj.art-85ac8d38c6ae4927831899c19fc31f362022-12-22T01:30:30ZengCopernicus PublicationsThe Cryosphere1994-04161994-04242019-01-011328129610.5194/tc-13-281-2019Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processesC. Agosta0C. Agosta1C. Agosta2C. Amory3C. Kittel4A. Orsi5V. Favier6H. Gallée7M. R. van den Broeke8J. T. M. Lenaerts9J. T. M. Lenaerts10J. M. van Wessem11W. J. van de Berg12X. Fettweis13F.R.S.-FNRS, Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, 4000 Liège, BelgiumLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (IPSL/CEA-CNRS-UVSQ UMR8212), CEA Saclay, 91190 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceUniversité Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, 38000, Grenoble, FranceF.R.S.-FNRS, Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, 4000 Liège, BelgiumF.R.S.-FNRS, Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, 4000 Liège, BelgiumLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (IPSL/CEA-CNRS-UVSQ UMR8212), CEA Saclay, 91190 Gif-sur-Yvette, FranceUniversité Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, 38000, Grenoble, FranceUniversité Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, 38000, Grenoble, FranceInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the NetherlandsInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the NetherlandsDepartment of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USAInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the NetherlandsInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the NetherlandsF.R.S.-FNRS, Laboratory of Climatology, Department of Geography, University of Liège, 4000 Liège, Belgium<p>The Antarctic ice sheet mass balance is a major component of the sea level budget and results from the difference of two fluxes of a similar magnitude: ice flow discharging in the ocean and net snow accumulation on the ice sheet surface, i.e. the surface mass balance (SMB). Separately modelling ice dynamics and SMB is the only way to project future trends. In addition, mass balance studies frequently use regional climate models (RCMs) outputs as an alternative to observed fields because SMB observations are particularly scarce on the ice sheet. Here we evaluate new simulations of the polar RCM MAR forced by three reanalyses, ERA-Interim, JRA-55, and MERRA-2, for the period 1979–2015, and we compare MAR results to the last outputs of the RCM RACMO2 forced by ERA-Interim. We show that MAR and RACMO2 perform similarly well in simulating coast-to-plateau SMB gradients, and we find no significant differences in their simulated SMB when integrated over the ice sheet or its major basins. More importantly, we outline and quantify missing or underestimated processes in both RCMs. Along stake transects, we show that both models accumulate too much snow on crests, and not enough snow in valleys, as a result of drifting snow transport fluxes not included in MAR and probably underestimated in RACMO2 by a factor of 3. Our results tend to confirm that drifting snow transport and sublimation fluxes are much larger than previous model-based estimates and need to be better resolved and constrained in climate models. Sublimation of precipitating particles in low-level atmospheric layers is responsible for the significantly lower snowfall rates in MAR than in RACMO2 in katabatic channels at the ice sheet margins. Atmospheric sublimation in MAR represents 363&thinsp;<span class="inline-formula">Gt</span>&thinsp;<span class="inline-formula">yr<sup>−1</sup></span> over the grounded ice sheet for the year 2015, which is 16&thinsp;% of the simulated snowfall loaded at the ground. This estimate is consistent with a recent study based on precipitation radar observations and is more than twice as much as simulated in RACMO2 because of different time residence of precipitating particles in the atmosphere. The remaining spatial differences in snowfall between MAR and RACMO2 are attributed to differences in advection of precipitation with snowfall particles being likely advected too far inland in MAR.</p>https://www.the-cryosphere.net/13/281/2019/tc-13-281-2019.pdf
spellingShingle C. Agosta
C. Agosta
C. Agosta
C. Amory
C. Kittel
A. Orsi
V. Favier
H. Gallée
M. R. van den Broeke
J. T. M. Lenaerts
J. T. M. Lenaerts
J. M. van Wessem
W. J. van de Berg
X. Fettweis
Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes
The Cryosphere
title Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes
title_full Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes
title_fullStr Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes
title_short Estimation of the Antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model MAR (1979–2015) and identification of dominant processes
title_sort estimation of the antarctic surface mass balance using the regional climate model mar 1979 2015 and identification of dominant processes
url https://www.the-cryosphere.net/13/281/2019/tc-13-281-2019.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT cagosta estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT cagosta estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT cagosta estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT camory estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT ckittel estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT aorsi estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT vfavier estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT hgallee estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT mrvandenbroeke estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT jtmlenaerts estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT jtmlenaerts estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT jmvanwessem estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT wjvandeberg estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses
AT xfettweis estimationoftheantarcticsurfacemassbalanceusingtheregionalclimatemodelmar19792015andidentificationofdominantprocesses