Simulation-Based Assessment of the Operational Performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System

This article presents a discrete event simulation-based approach for assessing the operating performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System (FSWNS) under different operating scenarios. Different operating scenarios are specified in terms of ice conditions, the volume of maritime traffic...

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Main Authors: Martin Bergström, Pentti Kujala
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-09-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/19/6747
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author Martin Bergström
Pentti Kujala
author_facet Martin Bergström
Pentti Kujala
author_sort Martin Bergström
collection DOAJ
description This article presents a discrete event simulation-based approach for assessing the operating performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System (FSWNS) under different operating scenarios. Different operating scenarios are specified in terms of ice conditions, the volume of maritime traffic, number of icebreakers (IBs), and regulations such as the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI). Considered performance indicators include transport capacity, number of instances of icebreaker (IB) assistance, and IB waiting times. The approach is validated against real-world data on maritime traffic in the Bothnian Bay. In terms of the number of ship arrivals per port, indicating the transport capacity of the FSWNS, the simulation agrees well with the data. In terms of the number of instances of IB assistance and IB waiting times per port, the standard deviations between the mean of 35 independent simulation runs and the data are 13% and 18%, respectively. A sensitivity analysis indicates that the simulated number of instances of IB assistance and IB waiting times is particularly sensitive to assumptions concerning the presence of brash ice channels. Case studies indicate that, unless the number of IBs is increased, the EEDI regulations may result in a significant increase in both the number of instances of IB assistance and the cumulated IB waiting times.
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spelling doaj.art-85d79ff6021f4f26bd149ad46d9a906c2023-11-20T15:14:54ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172020-09-011019674710.3390/app10196747Simulation-Based Assessment of the Operational Performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation SystemMartin Bergström0Pentti Kujala1Department of Mechanical Engineering, Aalto University, FI-00076 Aalto, FinlandDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Aalto University, FI-00076 Aalto, FinlandThis article presents a discrete event simulation-based approach for assessing the operating performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System (FSWNS) under different operating scenarios. Different operating scenarios are specified in terms of ice conditions, the volume of maritime traffic, number of icebreakers (IBs), and regulations such as the Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI). Considered performance indicators include transport capacity, number of instances of icebreaker (IB) assistance, and IB waiting times. The approach is validated against real-world data on maritime traffic in the Bothnian Bay. In terms of the number of ship arrivals per port, indicating the transport capacity of the FSWNS, the simulation agrees well with the data. In terms of the number of instances of IB assistance and IB waiting times per port, the standard deviations between the mean of 35 independent simulation runs and the data are 13% and 18%, respectively. A sensitivity analysis indicates that the simulated number of instances of IB assistance and IB waiting times is particularly sensitive to assumptions concerning the presence of brash ice channels. Case studies indicate that, unless the number of IBs is increased, the EEDI regulations may result in a significant increase in both the number of instances of IB assistance and the cumulated IB waiting times.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/19/6747winter navigationarctic shippingice class shipsicebreakersmaritime transport systemsenergy efficiency design index (EEDI)
spellingShingle Martin Bergström
Pentti Kujala
Simulation-Based Assessment of the Operational Performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System
Applied Sciences
winter navigation
arctic shipping
ice class ships
icebreakers
maritime transport systems
energy efficiency design index (EEDI)
title Simulation-Based Assessment of the Operational Performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System
title_full Simulation-Based Assessment of the Operational Performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System
title_fullStr Simulation-Based Assessment of the Operational Performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System
title_full_unstemmed Simulation-Based Assessment of the Operational Performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System
title_short Simulation-Based Assessment of the Operational Performance of the Finnish–Swedish Winter Navigation System
title_sort simulation based assessment of the operational performance of the finnish swedish winter navigation system
topic winter navigation
arctic shipping
ice class ships
icebreakers
maritime transport systems
energy efficiency design index (EEDI)
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/10/19/6747
work_keys_str_mv AT martinbergstrom simulationbasedassessmentoftheoperationalperformanceofthefinnishswedishwinternavigationsystem
AT penttikujala simulationbasedassessmentoftheoperationalperformanceofthefinnishswedishwinternavigationsystem