Research on Evaluation Elements of Urban Agricultural Green Bases: A Causal Inference-Based Approach

The construction of agricultural green bases is an important part of sustainable agricultural development. This paper takes urban agriculture green bases in Shanghai as an example, choosing base construction elements, production, and ecological construction elements, as well as status assessment ele...

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Main Authors: Yuchong Long, Zhengwei Cao, Yan Mao, Xinran Liu, Yan Gao, Chuanzhi Zhou, Xin Zheng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-08-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/8/1636
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author Yuchong Long
Zhengwei Cao
Yan Mao
Xinran Liu
Yan Gao
Chuanzhi Zhou
Xin Zheng
author_facet Yuchong Long
Zhengwei Cao
Yan Mao
Xinran Liu
Yan Gao
Chuanzhi Zhou
Xin Zheng
author_sort Yuchong Long
collection DOAJ
description The construction of agricultural green bases is an important part of sustainable agricultural development. This paper takes urban agriculture green bases in Shanghai as an example, choosing base construction elements, production, and ecological construction elements, as well as status assessment elements as evaluation indicators, in order to construct an evaluation system for urban agriculture green bases. Using a Bayesian network, typical urban agricultural green bases in six agricultural districts of Shanghai were evaluated. The construction of the evaluation system was analyzed by using intervention, counterfactual inference, and other methods to analyze the correlation and importance of the indicators. The results show that there are differences among the bases in various indicators, but they all reach a high level overall; base construction elements as well as production and ecological construction elements are the main factors affecting the level of urban agricultural green bases; improving the base management system (BMS), innovativeness (IN), and economic benefits (EBs) are key ways to improve the production capacity of agriculture green bases. Green base construction should pay attention to top-level design, coordinate the planning of industrial layout, technical mode, scientific and technological support, and supporting policies. Based on the conclusion, this paper provides some useful recommendations for creating urban agriculture green bases, which help promote urban agriculture transformation, upgrading, and coordinating development between urban and rural areas.
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spelling doaj.art-85ef1bf323c64716a2ad0ed609305b6b2023-11-19T01:52:44ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2023-08-01128163610.3390/land12081636Research on Evaluation Elements of Urban Agricultural Green Bases: A Causal Inference-Based ApproachYuchong Long0Zhengwei Cao1Yan Mao2Xinran Liu3Yan Gao4Chuanzhi Zhou5Xin Zheng6College of Agriculture and Biology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Dongchuan Street, Minhang District, Shanghai 200240, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Dongchuan Street, Minhang District, Shanghai 200240, ChinaInstitute for Public Policy, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Dongchuan Street, Minhang District, Shanghai 200240, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Dongchuan Street, Minhang District, Shanghai 200240, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Dongchuan Street, Minhang District, Shanghai 200240, ChinaCollege of Agriculture and Biology, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Dongchuan Street, Minhang District, Shanghai 200240, ChinaThe construction of agricultural green bases is an important part of sustainable agricultural development. This paper takes urban agriculture green bases in Shanghai as an example, choosing base construction elements, production, and ecological construction elements, as well as status assessment elements as evaluation indicators, in order to construct an evaluation system for urban agriculture green bases. Using a Bayesian network, typical urban agricultural green bases in six agricultural districts of Shanghai were evaluated. The construction of the evaluation system was analyzed by using intervention, counterfactual inference, and other methods to analyze the correlation and importance of the indicators. The results show that there are differences among the bases in various indicators, but they all reach a high level overall; base construction elements as well as production and ecological construction elements are the main factors affecting the level of urban agricultural green bases; improving the base management system (BMS), innovativeness (IN), and economic benefits (EBs) are key ways to improve the production capacity of agriculture green bases. Green base construction should pay attention to top-level design, coordinate the planning of industrial layout, technical mode, scientific and technological support, and supporting policies. Based on the conclusion, this paper provides some useful recommendations for creating urban agriculture green bases, which help promote urban agriculture transformation, upgrading, and coordinating development between urban and rural areas.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/8/1636urban agriculturegreen base evaluationBayesian networkcausal inference
spellingShingle Yuchong Long
Zhengwei Cao
Yan Mao
Xinran Liu
Yan Gao
Chuanzhi Zhou
Xin Zheng
Research on Evaluation Elements of Urban Agricultural Green Bases: A Causal Inference-Based Approach
Land
urban agriculture
green base evaluation
Bayesian network
causal inference
title Research on Evaluation Elements of Urban Agricultural Green Bases: A Causal Inference-Based Approach
title_full Research on Evaluation Elements of Urban Agricultural Green Bases: A Causal Inference-Based Approach
title_fullStr Research on Evaluation Elements of Urban Agricultural Green Bases: A Causal Inference-Based Approach
title_full_unstemmed Research on Evaluation Elements of Urban Agricultural Green Bases: A Causal Inference-Based Approach
title_short Research on Evaluation Elements of Urban Agricultural Green Bases: A Causal Inference-Based Approach
title_sort research on evaluation elements of urban agricultural green bases a causal inference based approach
topic urban agriculture
green base evaluation
Bayesian network
causal inference
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/8/1636
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