Optimization of the Predicting of the Influenza Vaccine Strains

Relevance. Vaccination is still the most effective way to reduce the incidence and mortality from influenza and the complications it causes. WHO recommends the composition of the vaccine strain for each influenza season. Unfortunately, the relevance of vaccines and strains of influenza virus circula...

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Main Author: E. P. Kharchenko
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Numikom LLC 2019-03-01
Series:Эпидемиология и вакцинопрофилактика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.epidemvac.ru/jour/article/view/656
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author E. P. Kharchenko
author_facet E. P. Kharchenko
author_sort E. P. Kharchenko
collection DOAJ
description Relevance. Vaccination is still the most effective way to reduce the incidence and mortality from influenza and the complications it causes. WHO recommends the composition of the vaccine strain for each influenza season. Unfortunately, the relevance of vaccines and strains of influenza virus circulating during the epidemic season cannot always coincide. The cause is flu variability.Aim is to develop a new computational method for predicting an optimal hemagglutinin (HA) structure in H1N1 and H3N2 human influenza vaccine strains for coming epidemic seasons and to compare its results with WHO recommendations.Materials and method. For this study HA sequences were used from data bases available in INTERNET and the modified hidden Markov model was used to construct the HA primary structures.Results. It was indicated that the new bioinformatics approach allowed to construct an optimal structure of HA for vaccine strains. It was at most close to HA of circulating virus strains in coming epidemic seasons, spreaded over them and was superior to WHO recommendations. Conclusion: HA sequences should be considered as reliable background for predicting vaccine strains to decrease risks of not optimal and even mistakable choices. Bioinformatics approach allows to continually monitor HA changes after epidemics and to estimate adequacy of manufacturing vaccines to the future epidemic season.
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spelling doaj.art-860046b7cdf74728a02c7177027e3d8d2023-03-13T07:43:16ZrusNumikom LLCЭпидемиология и вакцинопрофилактика2073-30462619-04942019-03-0118141710.31631/2073-3046-2019-18-1-4-17500Optimization of the Predicting of the Influenza Vaccine StrainsE. P. Kharchenko0ФГБУН «Институт эволюционной физиологии и биохимии им. И. М. Сеченова» РАНRelevance. Vaccination is still the most effective way to reduce the incidence and mortality from influenza and the complications it causes. WHO recommends the composition of the vaccine strain for each influenza season. Unfortunately, the relevance of vaccines and strains of influenza virus circulating during the epidemic season cannot always coincide. The cause is flu variability.Aim is to develop a new computational method for predicting an optimal hemagglutinin (HA) structure in H1N1 and H3N2 human influenza vaccine strains for coming epidemic seasons and to compare its results with WHO recommendations.Materials and method. For this study HA sequences were used from data bases available in INTERNET and the modified hidden Markov model was used to construct the HA primary structures.Results. It was indicated that the new bioinformatics approach allowed to construct an optimal structure of HA for vaccine strains. It was at most close to HA of circulating virus strains in coming epidemic seasons, spreaded over them and was superior to WHO recommendations. Conclusion: HA sequences should be considered as reliable background for predicting vaccine strains to decrease risks of not optimal and even mistakable choices. Bioinformatics approach allows to continually monitor HA changes after epidemics and to estimate adequacy of manufacturing vaccines to the future epidemic season.https://www.epidemvac.ru/jour/article/view/656прогнозированиескрытая марковская моделькомпьютерный анализвирусы гриппавакцинные штаммыгемагглютининантигенные сайты
spellingShingle E. P. Kharchenko
Optimization of the Predicting of the Influenza Vaccine Strains
Эпидемиология и вакцинопрофилактика
прогнозирование
скрытая марковская модель
компьютерный анализ
вирусы гриппа
вакцинные штаммы
гемагглютинин
антигенные сайты
title Optimization of the Predicting of the Influenza Vaccine Strains
title_full Optimization of the Predicting of the Influenza Vaccine Strains
title_fullStr Optimization of the Predicting of the Influenza Vaccine Strains
title_full_unstemmed Optimization of the Predicting of the Influenza Vaccine Strains
title_short Optimization of the Predicting of the Influenza Vaccine Strains
title_sort optimization of the predicting of the influenza vaccine strains
topic прогнозирование
скрытая марковская модель
компьютерный анализ
вирусы гриппа
вакцинные штаммы
гемагглютинин
антигенные сайты
url https://www.epidemvac.ru/jour/article/view/656
work_keys_str_mv AT epkharchenko optimizationofthepredictingoftheinfluenzavaccinestrains