Testing the Hayek hypothesis: Recent theoretical and experimental evidence.

Economists well understand that the work of Friedrich Hayek contains important theoretical insights. It is less often acknowledged that his work contains testable predictions about the nature of market processes. Vernon Smith termed the most important one the 'Hayek hypothesis': that gains...

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Main Authors: Omar Al-Ubaydli, Peter Boettke, Brian C Albrecht
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270489
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author Omar Al-Ubaydli
Peter Boettke
Brian C Albrecht
author_facet Omar Al-Ubaydli
Peter Boettke
Brian C Albrecht
author_sort Omar Al-Ubaydli
collection DOAJ
description Economists well understand that the work of Friedrich Hayek contains important theoretical insights. It is less often acknowledged that his work contains testable predictions about the nature of market processes. Vernon Smith termed the most important one the 'Hayek hypothesis': that gains from trade can be realized in the presence of diffuse, decentralized information, and in the absence of price-taking behavior and centralized market direction. Vernon Smith tested this prediction by surveying data on laboratory experimental markets and found strong support. We extend Smith's work first by showing how subsequent theoretical advances provide a theoretical foundation for the Hayek Hypothesis. We then test the hypothesis using recent field experimental market data. Using field experiments allows us to test several other predictions from Hayek, such as that market experience increases the realized gains from trade. Generally speaking, we find support for Hayek's theories.
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spelling doaj.art-861865c0ce2945b8bbd32f482d8b6e332022-12-22T00:44:14ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032022-01-01177e027048910.1371/journal.pone.0270489Testing the Hayek hypothesis: Recent theoretical and experimental evidence.Omar Al-UbaydliPeter BoettkeBrian C AlbrechtEconomists well understand that the work of Friedrich Hayek contains important theoretical insights. It is less often acknowledged that his work contains testable predictions about the nature of market processes. Vernon Smith termed the most important one the 'Hayek hypothesis': that gains from trade can be realized in the presence of diffuse, decentralized information, and in the absence of price-taking behavior and centralized market direction. Vernon Smith tested this prediction by surveying data on laboratory experimental markets and found strong support. We extend Smith's work first by showing how subsequent theoretical advances provide a theoretical foundation for the Hayek Hypothesis. We then test the hypothesis using recent field experimental market data. Using field experiments allows us to test several other predictions from Hayek, such as that market experience increases the realized gains from trade. Generally speaking, we find support for Hayek's theories.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270489
spellingShingle Omar Al-Ubaydli
Peter Boettke
Brian C Albrecht
Testing the Hayek hypothesis: Recent theoretical and experimental evidence.
PLoS ONE
title Testing the Hayek hypothesis: Recent theoretical and experimental evidence.
title_full Testing the Hayek hypothesis: Recent theoretical and experimental evidence.
title_fullStr Testing the Hayek hypothesis: Recent theoretical and experimental evidence.
title_full_unstemmed Testing the Hayek hypothesis: Recent theoretical and experimental evidence.
title_short Testing the Hayek hypothesis: Recent theoretical and experimental evidence.
title_sort testing the hayek hypothesis recent theoretical and experimental evidence
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270489
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