Seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano: Análisis de delitos en Chile mediante un modelo logístico espacio-temporal
Citizen security is an essential condition for the realization of people; in contribution to this, the objective of the article is to provide relevant information on the behavior of crime, analyzing the crimes of greater social connotation that occurred in the communes of the Metropolitan Region of...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Universidad de Zaragoza, Cátedra de Cooperación para el Desarrollo
2023-05-01
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| Series: | Revista Iberoamericana de Estudios de Desarrollo |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://ried.unizar.es/index.php/revista/article/viewFile/699/699-en |
| _version_ | 1797403648055050240 |
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| author | Pablo Cadena-Urzúa Adina Iftimi Francisco Montes-Suay |
| author_facet | Pablo Cadena-Urzúa Adina Iftimi Francisco Montes-Suay |
| author_sort | Pablo Cadena-Urzúa |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Citizen security is an essential condition for the realization of people; in contribution to this, the objective of the article is to provide relevant information on the behavior of crime, analyzing the crimes of greater social connotation that occurred in the communes of the Metropolitan Region of Chile. The chosen method is a logistic model, which includes socioeconomic and demographic covariates of each commune, as well as spatial and temporal effects. In the case of the former, it highlights the importance of the population, infant mortality, permanent personal income, and poverty as factors that significantly increase the probability of committing crimes, especially robbery in all its forms. In this same order of ideas, school attendance and green areas reduce the occurrence of crimes. Crimes that stand out for their extreme violence, such as homicide and rape, occur with greater probability on Saturday and Sunday, besides on Friday, for the crimes of lesions and robbery with violence. This type of analysis is important because it allows identifying criminal patterns that crime can adopt, all aimed at focused and evidence-based crime prevention, to contain crime and, thus, favor human development, which that allows the individual and the community to realize their legitimate aspirations. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T02:41:25Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-862868b6327041b882a1cbea8c452e07 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2254-2035 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T02:41:25Z |
| publishDate | 2023-05-01 |
| publisher | Universidad de Zaragoza, Cátedra de Cooperación para el Desarrollo |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Revista Iberoamericana de Estudios de Desarrollo |
| spelling | doaj.art-862868b6327041b882a1cbea8c452e072023-12-06T04:06:08ZengUniversidad de Zaragoza, Cátedra de Cooperación para el DesarrolloRevista Iberoamericana de Estudios de Desarrollo2254-20352023-05-01121304910.26754/ojs_ried/ijds.699Seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano: Análisis de delitos en Chile mediante un modelo logístico espacio-temporalPablo Cadena-Urzúa0Adina Iftimi1Francisco Montes-Suay2Universidad de Valencia (España)Universidad de Valencia (España)Universidad de Valencia (España)Citizen security is an essential condition for the realization of people; in contribution to this, the objective of the article is to provide relevant information on the behavior of crime, analyzing the crimes of greater social connotation that occurred in the communes of the Metropolitan Region of Chile. The chosen method is a logistic model, which includes socioeconomic and demographic covariates of each commune, as well as spatial and temporal effects. In the case of the former, it highlights the importance of the population, infant mortality, permanent personal income, and poverty as factors that significantly increase the probability of committing crimes, especially robbery in all its forms. In this same order of ideas, school attendance and green areas reduce the occurrence of crimes. Crimes that stand out for their extreme violence, such as homicide and rape, occur with greater probability on Saturday and Sunday, besides on Friday, for the crimes of lesions and robbery with violence. This type of analysis is important because it allows identifying criminal patterns that crime can adopt, all aimed at focused and evidence-based crime prevention, to contain crime and, thus, favor human development, which that allows the individual and the community to realize their legitimate aspirations.http://ried.unizar.es/index.php/revista/article/viewFile/699/699-ensocial developmentcitizen securityevidence-based crime preventionenvironmental criminologyecology of crimesocial problem |
| spellingShingle | Pablo Cadena-Urzúa Adina Iftimi Francisco Montes-Suay Seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano: Análisis de delitos en Chile mediante un modelo logístico espacio-temporal Revista Iberoamericana de Estudios de Desarrollo social development citizen security evidence-based crime prevention environmental criminology ecology of crime social problem |
| title | Seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano: Análisis de delitos en Chile mediante un modelo logístico espacio-temporal |
| title_full | Seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano: Análisis de delitos en Chile mediante un modelo logístico espacio-temporal |
| title_fullStr | Seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano: Análisis de delitos en Chile mediante un modelo logístico espacio-temporal |
| title_full_unstemmed | Seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano: Análisis de delitos en Chile mediante un modelo logístico espacio-temporal |
| title_short | Seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano: Análisis de delitos en Chile mediante un modelo logístico espacio-temporal |
| title_sort | seguridad ciudadana como elemento fundamental para el desarrollo humano analisis de delitos en chile mediante un modelo logistico espacio temporal |
| topic | social development citizen security evidence-based crime prevention environmental criminology ecology of crime social problem |
| url | http://ried.unizar.es/index.php/revista/article/viewFile/699/699-en |
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