Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)

Abstract The decline of the iconic monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus) in North America has motivated research on the impacts of land use and land cover (LULC) change and climate variability on monarch habitat and population dynamics. We investigated spring and fall trends in LULC, milkweed and nec...

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Main Authors: Jay E. Diffendorfer, Francisco Botello, Mark A. Drummond, Zach H. Ancona, Lucila M. Corro, Wayne E. Thogmartin, Peter C. Ibsen, Rafael Moreno-Sanchez, Laura Lukens, Victor Sánchez-Cordero
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-03-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56693-z
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author Jay E. Diffendorfer
Francisco Botello
Mark A. Drummond
Zach H. Ancona
Lucila M. Corro
Wayne E. Thogmartin
Peter C. Ibsen
Rafael Moreno-Sanchez
Laura Lukens
Victor Sánchez-Cordero
author_facet Jay E. Diffendorfer
Francisco Botello
Mark A. Drummond
Zach H. Ancona
Lucila M. Corro
Wayne E. Thogmartin
Peter C. Ibsen
Rafael Moreno-Sanchez
Laura Lukens
Victor Sánchez-Cordero
author_sort Jay E. Diffendorfer
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The decline of the iconic monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus) in North America has motivated research on the impacts of land use and land cover (LULC) change and climate variability on monarch habitat and population dynamics. We investigated spring and fall trends in LULC, milkweed and nectar resources over a 20-year period, and ~ 30 years of climate variables in Mexico and Texas, U.S. This region supports spring breeding, and spring and fall migration during the annual life cycle of the monarch. We estimated a − 2.9% decline in milkweed in Texas, but little to no change in Mexico. Fall and spring nectar resources declined < 1% in both study extents. Vegetation greenness increased in the fall and spring in Mexico while the other climate variables did not change in both Mexico and Texas. Monarch habitat in Mexico and Texas appears relatively more intact than in the midwestern, agricultural landscapes of the U.S. Given the relatively modest observed changes in nectar and milkweed, the relatively stable climate conditions, and increased vegetation greenness in Mexico, it seems unlikely that habitat loss (quantity or quality) in Mexico and Texas has caused large declines in population size or survival during migration.
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spelling doaj.art-864ace515c734773948d1417b6f45dd12024-03-24T12:19:52ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-03-0114111310.1038/s41598-024-56693-zChanges in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)Jay E. Diffendorfer0Francisco Botello1Mark A. Drummond2Zach H. Ancona3Lucila M. Corro4Wayne E. Thogmartin5Peter C. Ibsen6Rafael Moreno-Sanchez7Laura Lukens8Victor Sánchez-Cordero9U.S. Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science CenterDepartamento de Zoología, Instituto de Biología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoU.S. Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science CenterU.S. Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science CenterU.S. Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science CenterU.S. Geological Survey, Upper Midwest Environmental Sciences CenterU.S. Geological Survey, Geosciences and Environmental Change Science CenterDepartment of Geography and Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado DenverMonarch Joint VentureDepartamento de Zoología, Instituto de Biología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de MéxicoAbstract The decline of the iconic monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus) in North America has motivated research on the impacts of land use and land cover (LULC) change and climate variability on monarch habitat and population dynamics. We investigated spring and fall trends in LULC, milkweed and nectar resources over a 20-year period, and ~ 30 years of climate variables in Mexico and Texas, U.S. This region supports spring breeding, and spring and fall migration during the annual life cycle of the monarch. We estimated a − 2.9% decline in milkweed in Texas, but little to no change in Mexico. Fall and spring nectar resources declined < 1% in both study extents. Vegetation greenness increased in the fall and spring in Mexico while the other climate variables did not change in both Mexico and Texas. Monarch habitat in Mexico and Texas appears relatively more intact than in the midwestern, agricultural landscapes of the U.S. Given the relatively modest observed changes in nectar and milkweed, the relatively stable climate conditions, and increased vegetation greenness in Mexico, it seems unlikely that habitat loss (quantity or quality) in Mexico and Texas has caused large declines in population size or survival during migration.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56693-z
spellingShingle Jay E. Diffendorfer
Francisco Botello
Mark A. Drummond
Zach H. Ancona
Lucila M. Corro
Wayne E. Thogmartin
Peter C. Ibsen
Rafael Moreno-Sanchez
Laura Lukens
Victor Sánchez-Cordero
Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)
Scientific Reports
title Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)
title_full Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)
title_fullStr Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)
title_full_unstemmed Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)
title_short Changes in landscape and climate in Mexico and Texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies (Danaus plexippus)
title_sort changes in landscape and climate in mexico and texas reveal small effects on migratory habitat of monarch butterflies danaus plexippus
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56693-z
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