Choosing an Appropriate Model for Predicting Earnings Based on Comparing the Relevant Models in the Tehran Stock Exchange

The present study investigates the prediction earning models and compares the models based on absolute forecast errors. For analyzing the data 232 listed firms Tehran stock exchange (TSE) are used during 1380-1387. Comparing the models is done at the level of the all selected firms and at the level...

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Main Authors: SH Hasanpour, R Janjani
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2011-09-01
Series:مطالعات تجربی حسابداری مالی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://qjma.atu.ac.ir/article_1659_20ee67b7c3ae03fa3e6cfacc59ce1296.pdf
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author SH Hasanpour
R Janjani
author_facet SH Hasanpour
R Janjani
author_sort SH Hasanpour
collection DOAJ
description The present study investigates the prediction earning models and compares the models based on absolute forecast errors. For analyzing the data 232 listed firms Tehran stock exchange (TSE) are used during 1380-1387. Comparing the models is done at the level of the all selected firms and at the level of the industries. Using panel data analyses, the results show that disaggregation earning has more ability to predict future earnings than aggregation earning. The results also show that there is a significant relationship between operating cash flows components - cash receipts from customers, cash paid to suppliers and cash paid for operating expenses -and future earnings. It means that these items have ability for predicting future earnings. Also the results indicate that there is a significant relationship between accruals components -accounts receivables, prepayments, inventory, depreciation and amortization, accounts payable advanced receipts, other accounts receivables, other accounts payable and other accruals and future earnings. As a result, these items have ability for predicting future earnings.
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spelling doaj.art-86680afeab1444a9bf22a9cd459789532023-12-23T10:35:02ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressمطالعات تجربی حسابداری مالی2821-01662538-25192011-09-019351371571659Choosing an Appropriate Model for Predicting Earnings Based on Comparing the Relevant Models in the Tehran Stock ExchangeSH Hasanpour0R Janjani1عضو هیات علمی دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد اهوازکارشناسی ارشد حسابداری فارغ التحصیل دانشگاه شهید چمران اهوازThe present study investigates the prediction earning models and compares the models based on absolute forecast errors. For analyzing the data 232 listed firms Tehran stock exchange (TSE) are used during 1380-1387. Comparing the models is done at the level of the all selected firms and at the level of the industries. Using panel data analyses, the results show that disaggregation earning has more ability to predict future earnings than aggregation earning. The results also show that there is a significant relationship between operating cash flows components - cash receipts from customers, cash paid to suppliers and cash paid for operating expenses -and future earnings. It means that these items have ability for predicting future earnings. Also the results indicate that there is a significant relationship between accruals components -accounts receivables, prepayments, inventory, depreciation and amortization, accounts payable advanced receipts, other accounts receivables, other accounts payable and other accruals and future earnings. As a result, these items have ability for predicting future earnings.https://qjma.atu.ac.ir/article_1659_20ee67b7c3ae03fa3e6cfacc59ce1296.pdfaccrualsoperating cash flowsearnings
spellingShingle SH Hasanpour
R Janjani
Choosing an Appropriate Model for Predicting Earnings Based on Comparing the Relevant Models in the Tehran Stock Exchange
مطالعات تجربی حسابداری مالی
accruals
operating cash flows
earnings
title Choosing an Appropriate Model for Predicting Earnings Based on Comparing the Relevant Models in the Tehran Stock Exchange
title_full Choosing an Appropriate Model for Predicting Earnings Based on Comparing the Relevant Models in the Tehran Stock Exchange
title_fullStr Choosing an Appropriate Model for Predicting Earnings Based on Comparing the Relevant Models in the Tehran Stock Exchange
title_full_unstemmed Choosing an Appropriate Model for Predicting Earnings Based on Comparing the Relevant Models in the Tehran Stock Exchange
title_short Choosing an Appropriate Model for Predicting Earnings Based on Comparing the Relevant Models in the Tehran Stock Exchange
title_sort choosing an appropriate model for predicting earnings based on comparing the relevant models in the tehran stock exchange
topic accruals
operating cash flows
earnings
url https://qjma.atu.ac.ir/article_1659_20ee67b7c3ae03fa3e6cfacc59ce1296.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT shhasanpour choosinganappropriatemodelforpredictingearningsbasedoncomparingtherelevantmodelsinthetehranstockexchange
AT rjanjani choosinganappropriatemodelforpredictingearningsbasedoncomparingtherelevantmodelsinthetehranstockexchange