The Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Tourism Development

The article directs at identifying of the main indicators of the long-term forecast of the Russian tourism development. The authors have applied the methods of extrapolation, expert evaluation, and scenarios, enabled the authors to develop a baseline and target scenarios of tourism development in t...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Natalia A. Zaitseva, Elena G. Kropinova, Valentin S. Korneevets, Irina I. Dragileva, Alexey D. Chudnovskiy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2016-08-01
Series:International Review of Management and Marketing
Online Access:https://econjournals.com/index.php/irmm/article/view/2733
_version_ 1797918084148756480
author Natalia A. Zaitseva
Elena G. Kropinova
Valentin S. Korneevets
Irina I. Dragileva
Alexey D. Chudnovskiy
author_facet Natalia A. Zaitseva
Elena G. Kropinova
Valentin S. Korneevets
Irina I. Dragileva
Alexey D. Chudnovskiy
author_sort Natalia A. Zaitseva
collection DOAJ
description The article directs at identifying of the main indicators of the long-term forecast of the Russian tourism development. The authors have applied the methods of extrapolation, expert evaluation, and scenarios, enabled the authors to develop a baseline and target scenarios of tourism development in the Kaliningrad region of Russia. The paper reveals the investigation of macro- and micro-economic factors, affecting the development of tourism in the region today and in the long term perspective. It also proves the measures that may have the greatest influence on the development of tourism in the region in the next 5-10 years. Presented in the article methodology of building the long-term forecast can be useful not only for the Kaliningrad region and the other Russian regions, but also for foreign countries. Article materials are of practical value to state authorities, Russian and foreign investors in determining the prospects of the tourism development in the Kaliningrad region. Keywords: tourism, Kaliningrad region, the regional tourism product, development scenarios, long-term forecast.
first_indexed 2024-04-10T13:23:34Z
format Article
id doaj.art-8669e50b03a747249a8022f0942a9a53
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2146-4405
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-10T13:23:34Z
publishDate 2016-08-01
publisher EconJournals
record_format Article
series International Review of Management and Marketing
spelling doaj.art-8669e50b03a747249a8022f0942a9a532023-02-15T16:11:55ZengEconJournalsInternational Review of Management and Marketing2146-44052016-08-0165SThe Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Tourism DevelopmentNatalia A. ZaitsevaElena G. KropinovaValentin S. KorneevetsIrina I. DragilevaAlexey D. Chudnovskiy The article directs at identifying of the main indicators of the long-term forecast of the Russian tourism development. The authors have applied the methods of extrapolation, expert evaluation, and scenarios, enabled the authors to develop a baseline and target scenarios of tourism development in the Kaliningrad region of Russia. The paper reveals the investigation of macro- and micro-economic factors, affecting the development of tourism in the region today and in the long term perspective. It also proves the measures that may have the greatest influence on the development of tourism in the region in the next 5-10 years. Presented in the article methodology of building the long-term forecast can be useful not only for the Kaliningrad region and the other Russian regions, but also for foreign countries. Article materials are of practical value to state authorities, Russian and foreign investors in determining the prospects of the tourism development in the Kaliningrad region. Keywords: tourism, Kaliningrad region, the regional tourism product, development scenarios, long-term forecast. https://econjournals.com/index.php/irmm/article/view/2733
spellingShingle Natalia A. Zaitseva
Elena G. Kropinova
Valentin S. Korneevets
Irina I. Dragileva
Alexey D. Chudnovskiy
The Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Tourism Development
International Review of Management and Marketing
title The Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Tourism Development
title_full The Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Tourism Development
title_fullStr The Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Tourism Development
title_full_unstemmed The Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Tourism Development
title_short The Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Tourism Development
title_sort long term forecast of the russian tourism development
url https://econjournals.com/index.php/irmm/article/view/2733
work_keys_str_mv AT nataliaazaitseva thelongtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT elenagkropinova thelongtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT valentinskorneevets thelongtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT irinaidragileva thelongtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT alexeydchudnovskiy thelongtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT nataliaazaitseva longtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT elenagkropinova longtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT valentinskorneevets longtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT irinaidragileva longtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment
AT alexeydchudnovskiy longtermforecastoftherussiantourismdevelopment