Modelling of food security in the region
The article considers indicators that can be used for evaluating the condition of food security in the region. Given the approaches existing in scientific literature, the authors substantiated optimal and critical values of the ratios of sufficiency of consumption and affordability of food. Statisti...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Russian Academy of Sciences, Vologda Research Center
2014-09-01
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| Series: | Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://esc.vscc.ac.ru/article/566/full?_lang=en |
| _version_ | 1819123732975714304 |
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| author | Aleksandr Nikolaevich Chekavinskii Roman Yur’evich Selimenkov |
| author_facet | Aleksandr Nikolaevich Chekavinskii Roman Yur’evich Selimenkov |
| author_sort | Aleksandr Nikolaevich Chekavinskii |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article considers indicators that can be used for evaluating the condition of food security in the region. Given the approaches existing in scientific literature, the authors substantiated optimal and critical values of the ratios of sufficiency of consumption and affordability of food. Statistical data on the Vologda Oblast were processed and on this basis economic-mathematical models were built, which reflect the influence of various factors on food security. The authors have determined that the main factors include the per capita volume of import and domestic production of food, the level of intensity of agriculture and economic activity of population, and the proportion of residents with incomes below the subsistence level. Trend models were composed for each of the factor variables; these models, with the help of extrapolation method, were used for calculating forecast values and determining the parameters of the coefficients of sufficiency of consumption and economic affordability of food. The revealed relationships helped identify key areas of regional policy that contribute to improvement of food security in the Vologda Oblast |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-22T07:13:02Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-86af4f3706bf48ac80145e46554df35c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2307-0331 2312-9824 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-22T07:13:02Z |
| publishDate | 2014-09-01 |
| publisher | Russian Academy of Sciences, Vologda Research Center |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast |
| spelling | doaj.art-86af4f3706bf48ac80145e46554df35c2022-12-21T18:34:27ZengRussian Academy of Sciences, Vologda Research CenterEconomic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast2307-03312312-98242014-09-0143422623510.15838/esc/2014.4.34.20Modelling of food security in the regionAleksandr Nikolaevich Chekavinskii0Roman Yur’evich Selimenkov1Research Associate, Acting Head of the Laboratory, Federal State-Financed Scientific Institution the Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of the Russian Academy of SciencesPh.D. in Economics, Deputy Head of the Department, Federal State-Financed Scientific Institution the Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of the Russian Academy of SciencesThe article considers indicators that can be used for evaluating the condition of food security in the region. Given the approaches existing in scientific literature, the authors substantiated optimal and critical values of the ratios of sufficiency of consumption and affordability of food. Statistical data on the Vologda Oblast were processed and on this basis economic-mathematical models were built, which reflect the influence of various factors on food security. The authors have determined that the main factors include the per capita volume of import and domestic production of food, the level of intensity of agriculture and economic activity of population, and the proportion of residents with incomes below the subsistence level. Trend models were composed for each of the factor variables; these models, with the help of extrapolation method, were used for calculating forecast values and determining the parameters of the coefficients of sufficiency of consumption and economic affordability of food. The revealed relationships helped identify key areas of regional policy that contribute to improvement of food security in the Vologda Oblasthttp://esc.vscc.ac.ru/article/566/full?_lang=enfood security in the regioneconomic-mathematical modelsufficiency of consumption and economic accessibility of food |
| spellingShingle | Aleksandr Nikolaevich Chekavinskii Roman Yur’evich Selimenkov Modelling of food security in the region Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast food security in the region economic-mathematical model sufficiency of consumption and economic accessibility of food |
| title | Modelling of food security in the region |
| title_full | Modelling of food security in the region |
| title_fullStr | Modelling of food security in the region |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modelling of food security in the region |
| title_short | Modelling of food security in the region |
| title_sort | modelling of food security in the region |
| topic | food security in the region economic-mathematical model sufficiency of consumption and economic accessibility of food |
| url | http://esc.vscc.ac.ru/article/566/full?_lang=en |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT aleksandrnikolaevichchekavinskii modellingoffoodsecurityintheregion AT romanyurevichselimenkov modellingoffoodsecurityintheregion |