Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems
We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explo...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Universidad Nacional de Colombia
2018-04-01
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| Series: | Dyna |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/62970 |
| _version_ | 1811318685993795584 |
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| author | David Cardoza Montalvo Jorge Mario Uribe Gil Jairo Arcesio Palacios Peñaranda |
| author_facet | David Cardoza Montalvo Jorge Mario Uribe Gil Jairo Arcesio Palacios Peñaranda |
| author_sort | David Cardoza Montalvo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explored in depth. Our proposal uses public weather time series, which are usually recorded by meteorological observatories. This makes our approach a suitable strategy for any firm interested in applying it to its own data and projects. This approach also allows the user to set an appropriate level of confidence for the scenarios depending on her interests. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-13T12:28:59Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-86cd7f5cd7364a859f26973c33cb985c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0012-7353 2346-2183 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-13T12:28:59Z |
| publishDate | 2018-04-01 |
| publisher | Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Dyna |
| spelling | doaj.art-86cd7f5cd7364a859f26973c33cb985c2022-12-22T02:46:54ZengUniversidad Nacional de ColombiaDyna0012-73532346-21832018-04-01852059810410.15446/dyna.v85n205.6297048300Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systemsDavid Cardoza Montalvo0Jorge Mario Uribe Gil1Jairo Arcesio Palacios Peñaranda2Universidad del ValleUniversidad del ValleUniversidad del ValleWe propose a methodology for conducting simulations of operational scenarios for energy projects based on photovoltaic generation systems. It considers several documented facts about time series of weather, such as strong seasonality and structural breaks, which the previous literature has not explored in depth. Our proposal uses public weather time series, which are usually recorded by meteorological observatories. This makes our approach a suitable strategy for any firm interested in applying it to its own data and projects. This approach also allows the user to set an appropriate level of confidence for the scenarios depending on her interests.https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/62970photovoltaic systemshorizontal solar radiationstructural breakpointsrenewable energy sourcesrisk measurement |
| spellingShingle | David Cardoza Montalvo Jorge Mario Uribe Gil Jairo Arcesio Palacios Peñaranda Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems Dyna photovoltaic systems horizontal solar radiation structural breakpoints renewable energy sources risk measurement |
| title | Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems |
| title_full | Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems |
| title_fullStr | Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems |
| title_full_unstemmed | Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems |
| title_short | Risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems |
| title_sort | risk analysis using meteorological weather factors in solar energy conversion systems |
| topic | photovoltaic systems horizontal solar radiation structural breakpoints renewable energy sources risk measurement |
| url | https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/dyna/article/view/62970 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT davidcardozamontalvo riskanalysisusingmeteorologicalweatherfactorsinsolarenergyconversionsystems AT jorgemariouribegil riskanalysisusingmeteorologicalweatherfactorsinsolarenergyconversionsystems AT jairoarcesiopalaciospenaranda riskanalysisusingmeteorologicalweatherfactorsinsolarenergyconversionsystems |