Future Trends in <i>Obolodiplosis robiniae</i> Distribution across Eurasian Continent under Global Climate Change
<i>Obolodiplosis robiniae</i> was discovered in Eurasia at the beginning of the 21st century. In this study, we explore the present and future (in the years 2050 and 2070) trends in the potential distribution of <i>O. robiniae</i> in Eurasia under diverse climate change scena...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2023-01-01
|
| Series: | Insects |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/14/1/48 |
| Summary: | <i>Obolodiplosis robiniae</i> was discovered in Eurasia at the beginning of the 21st century. In this study, we explore the present and future (in the years 2050 and 2070) trends in the potential distribution of <i>O. robiniae</i> in Eurasia under diverse climate change scenarios based on a maximum entropy model. Our findings indicated that the current potential distribution area of <i>O. robiniae</i> is within the range of 21°34′ and 65°39′ N in the Eurasian continent. The primary factor controlling the distribution of <i>O. robiniae</i> is temperature. The highly and moderately suitable areas are mainly distributed in the semi-humid and semi-arid regions, which also happen to be the locations where the host black locust (<i>Robinia pseudoacacia</i> L.) grows at its fastest rate. The forecast of the potential distribution area of <i>O. robiniae</i> revealed that the species would benefit from global warming. The region suitable for the habitat of <i>O. robiniae</i> is characterized by a large-scale northward expansion trend and an increase in temperature. This information would help the forestry quarantine departments of Asian and European countries provide early warnings on the probable distribution areas of <i>O. robiniae</i> and provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of <i>O. robiniae</i> spread and outbreaks. |
|---|---|
| ISSN: | 2075-4450 |