Influence of Subduction Zone Dynamics on Interface Shear Stress and Potential Relationship With Seismogenic Behavior

Abstract Whether tectonic convergence at subduction zones is accommodated predominantly through seismic or aseismic deformation, the former potentially generating large earthquakes, varies considerably between subduction margins. This margin‐scale variability has previously been linked to overriding...

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Main Authors: Adam Beall, Åke Fagereng, J. Huw Davies, Fanny Garel, D. Rhodri Davies
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-02-01
Series:Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GC009267
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author Adam Beall
Åke Fagereng
J. Huw Davies
Fanny Garel
D. Rhodri Davies
author_facet Adam Beall
Åke Fagereng
J. Huw Davies
Fanny Garel
D. Rhodri Davies
author_sort Adam Beall
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Whether tectonic convergence at subduction zones is accommodated predominantly through seismic or aseismic deformation, the former potentially generating large earthquakes, varies considerably between subduction margins. This margin‐scale variability has previously been linked to overriding plate deformation, trench migration, and their influence on the plate interface stress state. While these processes are linked to mantle‐scale dynamics, it is unclear how such dynamics influence interface stress. We systematically analyze the interface stress state in a suite of 2‐D thermo‐mechanical subduction models, where slabs display a range of morphologies that arise from diverse multiscale interactions with adjacent mantle and the overriding plate. We demonstrate that the thickness of the interface layer varies dynamically, in response to Poiseuille flow induced by slab bending or unbending, leading to associated effects on interface shear stress at typical seismogenic depth. Lower shear stress occurs when slab unbending is significant, which is commonly associated with trench retreat and draping of the slab as it impinges on the higher‐viscosity lower‐mantle. Conversely, higher shear stress is associated with limited slab unbending, which is promoted by negligible trench migration and vertically subducting slabs. We conclude that the diversity of slab dynamics may cause large variations in interface stress state between and maybe within margins. This is an additional variable that potentially controls seismogenic behavior, and we compare broad stress estimates for Circum‐Pacific margins to previous studies. Although predicted shear stress varies with observed seismogenic behavior, more detailed constraints on stress state are needed to test for correlation.
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spelling doaj.art-86e1fcbefbab4c52b6b82e7c31cafba72023-11-03T17:00:55ZengWileyGeochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems1525-20272021-02-01222n/an/a10.1029/2020GC009267Influence of Subduction Zone Dynamics on Interface Shear Stress and Potential Relationship With Seismogenic BehaviorAdam Beall0Åke Fagereng1J. Huw Davies2Fanny Garel3D. Rhodri Davies4School of Earth and Ocean Sciences Cardiff University Cardiff UKSchool of Earth and Ocean Sciences Cardiff University Cardiff UKSchool of Earth and Ocean Sciences Cardiff University Cardiff UKGéosciences Montpellier Université de Montpellier CNRS Montpellier FranceResearch School of Earth Sciences The Australian National University Canberra AustraliaAbstract Whether tectonic convergence at subduction zones is accommodated predominantly through seismic or aseismic deformation, the former potentially generating large earthquakes, varies considerably between subduction margins. This margin‐scale variability has previously been linked to overriding plate deformation, trench migration, and their influence on the plate interface stress state. While these processes are linked to mantle‐scale dynamics, it is unclear how such dynamics influence interface stress. We systematically analyze the interface stress state in a suite of 2‐D thermo‐mechanical subduction models, where slabs display a range of morphologies that arise from diverse multiscale interactions with adjacent mantle and the overriding plate. We demonstrate that the thickness of the interface layer varies dynamically, in response to Poiseuille flow induced by slab bending or unbending, leading to associated effects on interface shear stress at typical seismogenic depth. Lower shear stress occurs when slab unbending is significant, which is commonly associated with trench retreat and draping of the slab as it impinges on the higher‐viscosity lower‐mantle. Conversely, higher shear stress is associated with limited slab unbending, which is promoted by negligible trench migration and vertically subducting slabs. We conclude that the diversity of slab dynamics may cause large variations in interface stress state between and maybe within margins. This is an additional variable that potentially controls seismogenic behavior, and we compare broad stress estimates for Circum‐Pacific margins to previous studies. Although predicted shear stress varies with observed seismogenic behavior, more detailed constraints on stress state are needed to test for correlation.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GC009267geodynamicsmodelingseismicitystresssubduction
spellingShingle Adam Beall
Åke Fagereng
J. Huw Davies
Fanny Garel
D. Rhodri Davies
Influence of Subduction Zone Dynamics on Interface Shear Stress and Potential Relationship With Seismogenic Behavior
Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems
geodynamics
modeling
seismicity
stress
subduction
title Influence of Subduction Zone Dynamics on Interface Shear Stress and Potential Relationship With Seismogenic Behavior
title_full Influence of Subduction Zone Dynamics on Interface Shear Stress and Potential Relationship With Seismogenic Behavior
title_fullStr Influence of Subduction Zone Dynamics on Interface Shear Stress and Potential Relationship With Seismogenic Behavior
title_full_unstemmed Influence of Subduction Zone Dynamics on Interface Shear Stress and Potential Relationship With Seismogenic Behavior
title_short Influence of Subduction Zone Dynamics on Interface Shear Stress and Potential Relationship With Seismogenic Behavior
title_sort influence of subduction zone dynamics on interface shear stress and potential relationship with seismogenic behavior
topic geodynamics
modeling
seismicity
stress
subduction
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GC009267
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AT fannygarel influenceofsubductionzonedynamicsoninterfaceshearstressandpotentialrelationshipwithseismogenicbehavior
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