Testing of market price direction dependence on US stock market

The correct model of a liquid financial market is very important for all market activities including for example a stock or bond portfolio management or an asset valuation. Dynamic Financial Market Model is a comprehensive model with a detailed interpretation. The model considers also feedback proce...

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Main Author: Bohumil Stádník
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2012-12-01
Series:Business, Management and Education
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mla.vgtu.lt/index.php/BME/article/view/4668
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author Bohumil Stádník
author_facet Bohumil Stádník
author_sort Bohumil Stádník
collection DOAJ
description The correct model of a liquid financial market is very important for all market activities including for example a stock or bond portfolio management or an asset valuation. Dynamic Financial Market Model is a comprehensive model with a detailed interpretation. The model considers also feedback processes which cause price development direction dependence on the previous development. This is why it is also able to explain departures from normality as leptokurtic deformations with fat tails and sharpness, extreme values or skewness in the returns’ probability distributions. These departures are commonly explained using a wide range of models with volatility dependence. The question is then arising, whether the volatility or direction dependence is more in accordance with reality.  Price Inertia Feedback is one of the most important and has a direct impact on probability distribution and also on a price forecasting. Empirical measurement of this feedback is the core of the paper.
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spelling doaj.art-86e3ac9a8563440fafc34c9fcca9002d2022-12-21T23:14:39ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityBusiness, Management and Education2029-74912029-61692012-12-0110210.3846/bme.2012.15Testing of market price direction dependence on US stock marketBohumil Stádník0The University of Economics in Prague, Faculty of Finance and Accounting, W. Churchill Sq. 4, 130 67 Prague 3, Czech RepublicThe correct model of a liquid financial market is very important for all market activities including for example a stock or bond portfolio management or an asset valuation. Dynamic Financial Market Model is a comprehensive model with a detailed interpretation. The model considers also feedback processes which cause price development direction dependence on the previous development. This is why it is also able to explain departures from normality as leptokurtic deformations with fat tails and sharpness, extreme values or skewness in the returns’ probability distributions. These departures are commonly explained using a wide range of models with volatility dependence. The question is then arising, whether the volatility or direction dependence is more in accordance with reality.  Price Inertia Feedback is one of the most important and has a direct impact on probability distribution and also on a price forecasting. Empirical measurement of this feedback is the core of the paper.https://www.mla.vgtu.lt/index.php/BME/article/view/4668Dynamic Financial Market Modeldepartures from normalityleptokurtic returns distributionsharpnessskewnessfeedbacks on financial market
spellingShingle Bohumil Stádník
Testing of market price direction dependence on US stock market
Business, Management and Education
Dynamic Financial Market Model
departures from normality
leptokurtic returns distribution
sharpness
skewness
feedbacks on financial market
title Testing of market price direction dependence on US stock market
title_full Testing of market price direction dependence on US stock market
title_fullStr Testing of market price direction dependence on US stock market
title_full_unstemmed Testing of market price direction dependence on US stock market
title_short Testing of market price direction dependence on US stock market
title_sort testing of market price direction dependence on us stock market
topic Dynamic Financial Market Model
departures from normality
leptokurtic returns distribution
sharpness
skewness
feedbacks on financial market
url https://www.mla.vgtu.lt/index.php/BME/article/view/4668
work_keys_str_mv AT bohumilstadnik testingofmarketpricedirectiondependenceonusstockmarket