Impact of Climate Change on Land Use, Yield and Production of Cassava in Thailand

This article examined the effect of climate change on land use, yield, and production of cassava in Thailand, employing the panel data analysis between 1989 and 2016. The spatial regression and the instrumental variable method with the generalized method of moment were employed to address the endoge...

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Main Authors: Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee, Witsanu Attavanich, Somskaow Bejranonda
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-09-01
Series:Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/10/9/402
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author Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee
Witsanu Attavanich
Somskaow Bejranonda
author_facet Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee
Witsanu Attavanich
Somskaow Bejranonda
author_sort Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee
collection DOAJ
description This article examined the effect of climate change on land use, yield, and production of cassava in Thailand, employing the panel data analysis between 1989 and 2016. The spatial regression and the instrumental variable method with the generalized method of moment were employed to address the endogeneity problems with the unique climate dataset. The current article investigated that total rainfall and the La Niña event determined harvested area of cassava. In addition, the harvested area was decreased as the population density increased due to high demand for non-agricultural use. On the other hand, increased access to irrigation systems enhanced the harvested area of cassava. Considering the yield of cassava, we found an inverted U-shape relationship between yield and temperature. Moreover, this study revealed that climate variability, extreme events and technological progress statistically influenced cassava yields. By using the climate projections during 2046–2055, we found that harvested area and yield of cassava were projected to reduce 12.49–16.05% and 2.57–6.22% from the baseline. As a result, cassava production in Thailand was predicted to decline 14.74–21.26% from the baseline. The well-being of a half-million farmers in Thailand plus actors in the global supply chain of cassava will be vulnerable to climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-86ed8f933ab6483d9492bf3b309727d82023-11-20T13:24:04ZengMDPI AGAgriculture2077-04722020-09-0110940210.3390/agriculture10090402Impact of Climate Change on Land Use, Yield and Production of Cassava in ThailandSiwabhorn Pipitpukdee0Witsanu Attavanich1Somskaow Bejranonda2Department of Economics, Kasetsart University, 50 Phahonyothin Rd., Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, ThailandDepartment of Economics, Kasetsart University, 50 Phahonyothin Rd., Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, ThailandDepartment of Economics, Kasetsart University, 50 Phahonyothin Rd., Chatuchak, Bangkok 10900, ThailandThis article examined the effect of climate change on land use, yield, and production of cassava in Thailand, employing the panel data analysis between 1989 and 2016. The spatial regression and the instrumental variable method with the generalized method of moment were employed to address the endogeneity problems with the unique climate dataset. The current article investigated that total rainfall and the La Niña event determined harvested area of cassava. In addition, the harvested area was decreased as the population density increased due to high demand for non-agricultural use. On the other hand, increased access to irrigation systems enhanced the harvested area of cassava. Considering the yield of cassava, we found an inverted U-shape relationship between yield and temperature. Moreover, this study revealed that climate variability, extreme events and technological progress statistically influenced cassava yields. By using the climate projections during 2046–2055, we found that harvested area and yield of cassava were projected to reduce 12.49–16.05% and 2.57–6.22% from the baseline. As a result, cassava production in Thailand was predicted to decline 14.74–21.26% from the baseline. The well-being of a half-million farmers in Thailand plus actors in the global supply chain of cassava will be vulnerable to climate change.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/10/9/402climate change impactscassavaland useyieldproductionThai agriculture
spellingShingle Siwabhorn Pipitpukdee
Witsanu Attavanich
Somskaow Bejranonda
Impact of Climate Change on Land Use, Yield and Production of Cassava in Thailand
Agriculture
climate change impacts
cassava
land use
yield
production
Thai agriculture
title Impact of Climate Change on Land Use, Yield and Production of Cassava in Thailand
title_full Impact of Climate Change on Land Use, Yield and Production of Cassava in Thailand
title_fullStr Impact of Climate Change on Land Use, Yield and Production of Cassava in Thailand
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Climate Change on Land Use, Yield and Production of Cassava in Thailand
title_short Impact of Climate Change on Land Use, Yield and Production of Cassava in Thailand
title_sort impact of climate change on land use yield and production of cassava in thailand
topic climate change impacts
cassava
land use
yield
production
Thai agriculture
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/10/9/402
work_keys_str_mv AT siwabhornpipitpukdee impactofclimatechangeonlanduseyieldandproductionofcassavainthailand
AT witsanuattavanich impactofclimatechangeonlanduseyieldandproductionofcassavainthailand
AT somskaowbejranonda impactofclimatechangeonlanduseyieldandproductionofcassavainthailand