When the Heat Is On: The Effect of Temperature on Voter Behavior in Presidential Elections

Hot temperatures lead to heightened arousal. According to excitation transfer theory, arousal can increase both antisocial and prosocial behavior, depending on the context. Although many studies have shown that hot temperatures can increase antisocial behavior, very few studies have investigated the...

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Main Authors: Jasper Van Assche, Alain Van Hiel, Jonas Stadeus, Brad J. Bushman, David De Cremer, Arne Roets
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2017-06-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2017.00929/full
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author Jasper Van Assche
Alain Van Hiel
Jonas Stadeus
Brad J. Bushman
David De Cremer
Arne Roets
author_facet Jasper Van Assche
Alain Van Hiel
Jonas Stadeus
Brad J. Bushman
David De Cremer
Arne Roets
author_sort Jasper Van Assche
collection DOAJ
description Hot temperatures lead to heightened arousal. According to excitation transfer theory, arousal can increase both antisocial and prosocial behavior, depending on the context. Although many studies have shown that hot temperatures can increase antisocial behavior, very few studies have investigated the relationship between temperature and prosocial behavior. One important prosocial behavior is voting. We analyzed state-level data from the United States presidential elections (N = 761). Consistent with excitation transfer theory, which proposes that heat-induced arousal can transfer to other activities and strengthen those activities, changes in temperature and voter turnout were positively related. Moreover, a positive change in temperature was related to a positive change in votes for the incumbent party. These findings add to the literature on the importance of non-ideological and non-rational factors that influence voting behavior.
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spelling doaj.art-86f82074ae61495984f8921e0d9e6af62022-12-22T00:59:56ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782017-06-01810.3389/fpsyg.2017.00929264373When the Heat Is On: The Effect of Temperature on Voter Behavior in Presidential ElectionsJasper Van Assche0Alain Van Hiel1Jonas Stadeus2Brad J. Bushman3David De Cremer4Arne Roets5Department of Developmental, Personality, and Social Psychology, Ghent UniversityGhent, BelgiumDepartment of Developmental, Personality, and Social Psychology, Ghent UniversityGhent, BelgiumDepartment of Developmental, Personality, and Social Psychology, Ghent UniversityGhent, BelgiumSchool of Communication and Department of Psychology, The Ohio State University, ColumbusOH, United StatesJudge Business School, University of CambridgeCambridge, United KingdomDepartment of Developmental, Personality, and Social Psychology, Ghent UniversityGhent, BelgiumHot temperatures lead to heightened arousal. According to excitation transfer theory, arousal can increase both antisocial and prosocial behavior, depending on the context. Although many studies have shown that hot temperatures can increase antisocial behavior, very few studies have investigated the relationship between temperature and prosocial behavior. One important prosocial behavior is voting. We analyzed state-level data from the United States presidential elections (N = 761). Consistent with excitation transfer theory, which proposes that heat-induced arousal can transfer to other activities and strengthen those activities, changes in temperature and voter turnout were positively related. Moreover, a positive change in temperature was related to a positive change in votes for the incumbent party. These findings add to the literature on the importance of non-ideological and non-rational factors that influence voting behavior.http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2017.00929/fullexcitation transfer theorypresidential electionsprosocial behaviortemperaturevoter turnoutvoting result
spellingShingle Jasper Van Assche
Alain Van Hiel
Jonas Stadeus
Brad J. Bushman
David De Cremer
Arne Roets
When the Heat Is On: The Effect of Temperature on Voter Behavior in Presidential Elections
Frontiers in Psychology
excitation transfer theory
presidential elections
prosocial behavior
temperature
voter turnout
voting result
title When the Heat Is On: The Effect of Temperature on Voter Behavior in Presidential Elections
title_full When the Heat Is On: The Effect of Temperature on Voter Behavior in Presidential Elections
title_fullStr When the Heat Is On: The Effect of Temperature on Voter Behavior in Presidential Elections
title_full_unstemmed When the Heat Is On: The Effect of Temperature on Voter Behavior in Presidential Elections
title_short When the Heat Is On: The Effect of Temperature on Voter Behavior in Presidential Elections
title_sort when the heat is on the effect of temperature on voter behavior in presidential elections
topic excitation transfer theory
presidential elections
prosocial behavior
temperature
voter turnout
voting result
url http://journal.frontiersin.org/article/10.3389/fpsyg.2017.00929/full
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