Identifying Key Predictors of Recidivism among Offenders Attending a Batterer Intervention Program: A Survival Analysis
Strategies to reduce intimate partner violence against women (IPVAW) can be targeted at different levels. Batterer intervention programs (BIPs) are among the main treatment approaches for IPVAW offenders. The most common outcome used in the evaluation of BIP effectiveness is recidivism. Efforts to i...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Colegio Oficial de Psicólogos de Madrid
2019-11-01
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| Series: | Psychosocial Intervention |
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| Online Access: |
https://journals.copmadrid.org/pi/art/pi2019a19
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| _version_ | 1818334063383019520 |
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| author | Marisol Lila Manuel Martín-Fernández Enrique Gracia Juan J. López-Ossorio José L. González |
| author_facet | Marisol Lila Manuel Martín-Fernández Enrique Gracia Juan J. López-Ossorio José L. González |
| author_sort | Marisol Lila |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Strategies to reduce intimate partner violence against women (IPVAW) can be targeted at different levels. Batterer intervention programs (BIPs) are among the main treatment approaches for IPVAW offenders. The most common outcome used in the evaluation of BIP effectiveness is recidivism. Efforts to increase BIP effectiveness in reducing recidivism should focus on key predictive variables of this outcome. The aim of this study was to identify key predictors of official recidivism from a large set of variables drawn from a sample of IPVAW offenders court-mandated to a community-based BIP (N = 393), with a follow-up period of between 0 and 69 months. To this end, a survival analysis was conducted using four sets of variables: individual-level, relational- and contextual-level, violence-related, and intervention process-related variables. To include all variables in the analysis simultaneously, a Cox regression model was estimated with the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (ALASSO). From a pool of eighty-nine variables, six were selected as key predictors of recidivism: dropout, risk of future violence against non-partners, family violence exposure, immigrant status, accumulation of stressful life events, and trait anger. The area under the receiving operator characteristic (ROC) curve was .808, indicating good prediction of the model. The key predictors of recidivism found in this study should be considered by professionals and researchers in the BIP field to improve their evaluation and intervention strategies. Practical implications for future research are also discussed. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-13T14:01:34Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-87094c181f7f40cb8f091526b5acb759 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1132-0559 2173-4712 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-13T14:01:34Z |
| publishDate | 2019-11-01 |
| publisher | Colegio Oficial de Psicólogos de Madrid |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Psychosocial Intervention |
| spelling | doaj.art-87094c181f7f40cb8f091526b5acb7592022-12-21T23:42:44ZengColegio Oficial de Psicólogos de MadridPsychosocial Intervention1132-05592173-47122019-11-0128315716710.5093/pi2019a1911320559Identifying Key Predictors of Recidivism among Offenders Attending a Batterer Intervention Program: A Survival AnalysisMarisol Lila0Manuel Martín-Fernández1Enrique Gracia2Juan J. López-Ossorio3José L. González4University of Valencia, Spain, University of Valencia, SpainUniversity of Valencia, Spain, University of Valencia, SpainUniversity of Valencia, Spain, University of Valencia, SpainSecretary of State for Security, Ministry of the Interior, Spain, Secretary of State for Security, Ministry of the Interior, SpainSecretary of State for Security, Ministry of the Interior, Spain, Secretary of State for Security, Ministry of the Interior, SpainStrategies to reduce intimate partner violence against women (IPVAW) can be targeted at different levels. Batterer intervention programs (BIPs) are among the main treatment approaches for IPVAW offenders. The most common outcome used in the evaluation of BIP effectiveness is recidivism. Efforts to increase BIP effectiveness in reducing recidivism should focus on key predictive variables of this outcome. The aim of this study was to identify key predictors of official recidivism from a large set of variables drawn from a sample of IPVAW offenders court-mandated to a community-based BIP (N = 393), with a follow-up period of between 0 and 69 months. To this end, a survival analysis was conducted using four sets of variables: individual-level, relational- and contextual-level, violence-related, and intervention process-related variables. To include all variables in the analysis simultaneously, a Cox regression model was estimated with the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (ALASSO). From a pool of eighty-nine variables, six were selected as key predictors of recidivism: dropout, risk of future violence against non-partners, family violence exposure, immigrant status, accumulation of stressful life events, and trait anger. The area under the receiving operator characteristic (ROC) curve was .808, indicating good prediction of the model. The key predictors of recidivism found in this study should be considered by professionals and researchers in the BIP field to improve their evaluation and intervention strategies. Practical implications for future research are also discussed. https://journals.copmadrid.org/pi/art/pi2019a19 intimate partner violenceoffendersbatterer intervention programsrecidivismpredictors |
| spellingShingle | Marisol Lila Manuel Martín-Fernández Enrique Gracia Juan J. López-Ossorio José L. González Identifying Key Predictors of Recidivism among Offenders Attending a Batterer Intervention Program: A Survival Analysis Psychosocial Intervention intimate partner violence offenders batterer intervention programs recidivism predictors |
| title | Identifying Key Predictors of Recidivism among Offenders Attending a Batterer Intervention Program: A Survival Analysis |
| title_full | Identifying Key Predictors of Recidivism among Offenders Attending a Batterer Intervention Program: A Survival Analysis |
| title_fullStr | Identifying Key Predictors of Recidivism among Offenders Attending a Batterer Intervention Program: A Survival Analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Identifying Key Predictors of Recidivism among Offenders Attending a Batterer Intervention Program: A Survival Analysis |
| title_short | Identifying Key Predictors of Recidivism among Offenders Attending a Batterer Intervention Program: A Survival Analysis |
| title_sort | identifying key predictors of recidivism among offenders attending a batterer intervention program a survival analysis |
| topic | intimate partner violence offenders batterer intervention programs recidivism predictors |
| url |
https://journals.copmadrid.org/pi/art/pi2019a19
|
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