Predicting Deterioration from Wearable Sensor Data in People with Mild COVID-19

Coronavirus has caused many casualties and is still spreading. Some people experience rapid deterioration that is mild at first. The aim of this study is to develop a deterioration prediction model for mild COVID-19 patients during the isolation period. We collected vital signs from wearable devices...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jin-Yeong Kang, Ye Seul Bae, Eui Kyu Chie, Seung-Bo Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-12-01
Series:Sensors
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/23/9597
_version_ 1827591974675283968
author Jin-Yeong Kang
Ye Seul Bae
Eui Kyu Chie
Seung-Bo Lee
author_facet Jin-Yeong Kang
Ye Seul Bae
Eui Kyu Chie
Seung-Bo Lee
author_sort Jin-Yeong Kang
collection DOAJ
description Coronavirus has caused many casualties and is still spreading. Some people experience rapid deterioration that is mild at first. The aim of this study is to develop a deterioration prediction model for mild COVID-19 patients during the isolation period. We collected vital signs from wearable devices and clinical questionnaires. The derivation cohort consisted of people diagnosed with COVID-19 between September and December 2021, and the external validation cohort collected between March and June 2022. To develop the model, a total of 50 participants wore the device for an average of 77 h. To evaluate the model, a total of 181 infected participants wore the device for an average of 65 h. We designed machine learning-based models that predict deterioration in patients with mild COVID-19. The prediction model, 10 min in advance, showed an area under the receiver characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.99, and the prediction model, 8 h in advance, showed an AUC of 0.84. We found that certain variables that are important to model vary depending on the point in time to predict. Efficient deterioration monitoring in many patients is possible by utilizing data collected from wearable sensors and symptom self-reports.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T01:42:10Z
format Article
id doaj.art-876cad5ce4884ed4933afa091d44d66f
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1424-8220
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T01:42:10Z
publishDate 2023-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Sensors
spelling doaj.art-876cad5ce4884ed4933afa091d44d66f2023-12-08T15:26:32ZengMDPI AGSensors1424-82202023-12-012323959710.3390/s23239597Predicting Deterioration from Wearable Sensor Data in People with Mild COVID-19Jin-Yeong Kang0Ye Seul Bae1Eui Kyu Chie2Seung-Bo Lee3Department of Medical Informatics, Keimyung University, Daegu 42601, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Family Medicine, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul 03181, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul 03080, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Medical Informatics, Keimyung University, Daegu 42601, Republic of KoreaCoronavirus has caused many casualties and is still spreading. Some people experience rapid deterioration that is mild at first. The aim of this study is to develop a deterioration prediction model for mild COVID-19 patients during the isolation period. We collected vital signs from wearable devices and clinical questionnaires. The derivation cohort consisted of people diagnosed with COVID-19 between September and December 2021, and the external validation cohort collected between March and June 2022. To develop the model, a total of 50 participants wore the device for an average of 77 h. To evaluate the model, a total of 181 infected participants wore the device for an average of 65 h. We designed machine learning-based models that predict deterioration in patients with mild COVID-19. The prediction model, 10 min in advance, showed an area under the receiver characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.99, and the prediction model, 8 h in advance, showed an AUC of 0.84. We found that certain variables that are important to model vary depending on the point in time to predict. Efficient deterioration monitoring in many patients is possible by utilizing data collected from wearable sensors and symptom self-reports.https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/23/9597monitoringwearable sensorsmachine learningmild COVID-19
spellingShingle Jin-Yeong Kang
Ye Seul Bae
Eui Kyu Chie
Seung-Bo Lee
Predicting Deterioration from Wearable Sensor Data in People with Mild COVID-19
Sensors
monitoring
wearable sensors
machine learning
mild COVID-19
title Predicting Deterioration from Wearable Sensor Data in People with Mild COVID-19
title_full Predicting Deterioration from Wearable Sensor Data in People with Mild COVID-19
title_fullStr Predicting Deterioration from Wearable Sensor Data in People with Mild COVID-19
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Deterioration from Wearable Sensor Data in People with Mild COVID-19
title_short Predicting Deterioration from Wearable Sensor Data in People with Mild COVID-19
title_sort predicting deterioration from wearable sensor data in people with mild covid 19
topic monitoring
wearable sensors
machine learning
mild COVID-19
url https://www.mdpi.com/1424-8220/23/23/9597
work_keys_str_mv AT jinyeongkang predictingdeteriorationfromwearablesensordatainpeoplewithmildcovid19
AT yeseulbae predictingdeteriorationfromwearablesensordatainpeoplewithmildcovid19
AT euikyuchie predictingdeteriorationfromwearablesensordatainpeoplewithmildcovid19
AT seungbolee predictingdeteriorationfromwearablesensordatainpeoplewithmildcovid19