Predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis: Nomogram and four machine learning approaches

Summary: Eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis (ECRS) is a distinct subset of chronic rhinosinusitis characterized by heightened eosinophilic infiltration and increased symptom severity, often resisting standard treatments. Traditional diagnosis requires invasive histological evaluation. This study ai...

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Main Authors: Panhui Xiong, Junliang Chen, Yue Zhang, Longlan Shu, Yang Shen, Yue Gu, Yijun Liu, Dayu Guan, Bowen Zheng, Yucheng Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-02-01
Series:iScience
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004224001494
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author Panhui Xiong
Junliang Chen
Yue Zhang
Longlan Shu
Yang Shen
Yue Gu
Yijun Liu
Dayu Guan
Bowen Zheng
Yucheng Yang
author_facet Panhui Xiong
Junliang Chen
Yue Zhang
Longlan Shu
Yang Shen
Yue Gu
Yijun Liu
Dayu Guan
Bowen Zheng
Yucheng Yang
author_sort Panhui Xiong
collection DOAJ
description Summary: Eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis (ECRS) is a distinct subset of chronic rhinosinusitis characterized by heightened eosinophilic infiltration and increased symptom severity, often resisting standard treatments. Traditional diagnosis requires invasive histological evaluation. This study aims to develop predictive models for ECRS based on patient clinical parameters, eliminating the need for invasive biopsy. Utilizing logistic regression with lasso regularization, random forest (RF), gradient-boosted decision tree (GBDT), and deep neural network (DNN), we trained models on common clinical data. The predictive performance was evaluated using metrics such as area under the curve (AUC) for receiver operator characteristics, decision curves, and feature ranking analysis. In a cohort of 437 eligible patients, the models identified peripheral blood eosinophil ratio, absolute peripheral blood eosinophil, and the ethmoidal/maxillary sinus density ratio (E/M) on computed tomography as crucial predictors for ECRS. This predictive model offers a valuable tool for identifying ECRS without resorting to histological biopsy, enhancing clinical decision-making.
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spelling doaj.art-87b420fdae9144caab70cfdde1d4991d2024-02-03T06:39:04ZengElsevieriScience2589-00422024-02-01272108928Predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis: Nomogram and four machine learning approachesPanhui Xiong0Junliang Chen1Yue Zhang2Longlan Shu3Yang Shen4Yue Gu5Yijun Liu6Dayu Guan7Bowen Zheng8Yucheng Yang9Department of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, Xishui People’s Hospital, Xishui County, Zunyi, Guizhou Province 564600, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, ChinaDepartment of Otorhinolaryngology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing 400016, China; Corresponding authorSummary: Eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis (ECRS) is a distinct subset of chronic rhinosinusitis characterized by heightened eosinophilic infiltration and increased symptom severity, often resisting standard treatments. Traditional diagnosis requires invasive histological evaluation. This study aims to develop predictive models for ECRS based on patient clinical parameters, eliminating the need for invasive biopsy. Utilizing logistic regression with lasso regularization, random forest (RF), gradient-boosted decision tree (GBDT), and deep neural network (DNN), we trained models on common clinical data. The predictive performance was evaluated using metrics such as area under the curve (AUC) for receiver operator characteristics, decision curves, and feature ranking analysis. In a cohort of 437 eligible patients, the models identified peripheral blood eosinophil ratio, absolute peripheral blood eosinophil, and the ethmoidal/maxillary sinus density ratio (E/M) on computed tomography as crucial predictors for ECRS. This predictive model offers a valuable tool for identifying ECRS without resorting to histological biopsy, enhancing clinical decision-making.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004224001494Health sciencesMedicineMedical specialtyHealth informaticsHealth technology
spellingShingle Panhui Xiong
Junliang Chen
Yue Zhang
Longlan Shu
Yang Shen
Yue Gu
Yijun Liu
Dayu Guan
Bowen Zheng
Yucheng Yang
Predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis: Nomogram and four machine learning approaches
iScience
Health sciences
Medicine
Medical specialty
Health informatics
Health technology
title Predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis: Nomogram and four machine learning approaches
title_full Predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis: Nomogram and four machine learning approaches
title_fullStr Predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis: Nomogram and four machine learning approaches
title_full_unstemmed Predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis: Nomogram and four machine learning approaches
title_short Predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis: Nomogram and four machine learning approaches
title_sort predictive modeling for eosinophilic chronic rhinosinusitis nomogram and four machine learning approaches
topic Health sciences
Medicine
Medical specialty
Health informatics
Health technology
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004224001494
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