On one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab <i>Paralithodes camtschaticus</i> on the shelf of West Kamchatka

A possible model approach to stock assessment of marine commercial invertebrates is discussed based on modeling of year-to-year dynamics for three functional groups (recruits, prerecruits, and commercial males). The model parameters are determined by joint solution of the tasks of optimal filtration...

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Main Authors: Oleg I. Ilyin, Pavel Yu. Ivanov
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Transactions of the Pacific Research Institute of Fisheries and Oceanography 2015-09-01
Series:Известия ТИНРО
Subjects:
Online Access:https://izvestiya.tinro-center.ru/jour/article/view/265
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author Oleg I. Ilyin
Pavel Yu. Ivanov
author_facet Oleg I. Ilyin
Pavel Yu. Ivanov
author_sort Oleg I. Ilyin
collection DOAJ
description A possible model approach to stock assessment of marine commercial invertebrates is discussed based on modeling of year-to-year dynamics for three functional groups (recruits, prerecruits, and commercial males). The model parameters are determined by joint solution of the tasks of optimal filtration and identification. As an example, this approach is used for assessment of the stock of king crab on the shelf of West Kamchatka. For this case, the data on actual catch are used obtained from reports of customs in Japan, Korea, USA, and China about the volume of crab products imported from Russia. The modeling confirms the conclusion from direct observations about rapid growth of the red king crab stock at West Kamchatka in recent years. Following to these results, the value of total allowable catch (TAC) can be substantially increased for this species. The officially recommended TAC of red king crab at West Kamchatka for 2016 is below of the 95 % confidence interval of the really possible catch. This value does not account the species stock recovery and hamper rational utilization of the valued natural resource.
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spelling doaj.art-87b91911fa0e43b2b897cc7757c3755f2023-09-03T13:29:17ZrusTransactions of the Pacific Research Institute of Fisheries and OceanographyИзвестия ТИНРО1606-99192658-55102015-09-011823384710.26428/1606-9919-2015-182-38-47265On one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab <i>Paralithodes camtschaticus</i> on the shelf of West KamchatkaOleg I. Ilyin0Pavel Yu. Ivanov1Камчатский научно-исследовательский институт рыбного хозяйства и океанографииКамчатский научно-исследовательский институт рыбного хозяйства и океанографииA possible model approach to stock assessment of marine commercial invertebrates is discussed based on modeling of year-to-year dynamics for three functional groups (recruits, prerecruits, and commercial males). The model parameters are determined by joint solution of the tasks of optimal filtration and identification. As an example, this approach is used for assessment of the stock of king crab on the shelf of West Kamchatka. For this case, the data on actual catch are used obtained from reports of customs in Japan, Korea, USA, and China about the volume of crab products imported from Russia. The modeling confirms the conclusion from direct observations about rapid growth of the red king crab stock at West Kamchatka in recent years. Following to these results, the value of total allowable catch (TAC) can be substantially increased for this species. The officially recommended TAC of red king crab at West Kamchatka for 2016 is below of the 95 % confidence interval of the really possible catch. This value does not account the species stock recovery and hamper rational utilization of the valued natural resource.https://izvestiya.tinro-center.ru/jour/article/view/265камчатский крабоценка запасовшельф западной камчаткифильтр калмана
spellingShingle Oleg I. Ilyin
Pavel Yu. Ivanov
On one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab <i>Paralithodes camtschaticus</i> on the shelf of West Kamchatka
Известия ТИНРО
камчатский краб
оценка запасов
шельф западной камчатки
фильтр калмана
title On one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab <i>Paralithodes camtschaticus</i> on the shelf of West Kamchatka
title_full On one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab <i>Paralithodes camtschaticus</i> on the shelf of West Kamchatka
title_fullStr On one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab <i>Paralithodes camtschaticus</i> on the shelf of West Kamchatka
title_full_unstemmed On one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab <i>Paralithodes camtschaticus</i> on the shelf of West Kamchatka
title_short On one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab <i>Paralithodes camtschaticus</i> on the shelf of West Kamchatka
title_sort on one model approach to stock assessment for red king crab i paralithodes camtschaticus i on the shelf of west kamchatka
topic камчатский краб
оценка запасов
шельф западной камчатки
фильтр калмана
url https://izvestiya.tinro-center.ru/jour/article/view/265
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