The resource curse in renewable energy: A framework for risk assessment

Renewable energy development can enable climate-compatible growth in low- and middle-income countries, particularly given the substantial opportunities for energy export to high-income countries seeking to decarbonise their energy systems. However, this also comes with significant risks, including t...

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Main Authors: Alycia Leonard, Aniq Ahsan, Flora Charbonnier, Stephanie Hirmer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-05-01
Series:Energy Strategy Reviews
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X22000402
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author Alycia Leonard
Aniq Ahsan
Flora Charbonnier
Stephanie Hirmer
author_facet Alycia Leonard
Aniq Ahsan
Flora Charbonnier
Stephanie Hirmer
author_sort Alycia Leonard
collection DOAJ
description Renewable energy development can enable climate-compatible growth in low- and middle-income countries, particularly given the substantial opportunities for energy export to high-income countries seeking to decarbonise their energy systems. However, this also comes with significant risks, including the potential to trigger a resource curse of adverse social, environmental, and economic effects resulting in paradoxically slowed growth. Here, we propose a novel framework to assess potential risks associated with renewable energy development in low- and middle-income countries rooted in the resource curse literature. Eighteen symptoms of the resource curse are evaluated in terms of relevance to renewable energy, and their potential risks and benefits during renewable energy development are established. We find that context-specific factors are key in determining whether resource developments will provoke adverse impacts or positive opportunities; so, preemptive context-specific risk assessment is needed to implement prevention and mitigation strategies. For example, while fossil fuel development has been seen in some circumstances to increase dependence on external capital and technology, where adequate education and financing strategies are implemented, it can instead enhance autonomy and development. Similar risks can apply to renewable energy development, and must be evaluated. The proposed resource curse risk assessment framework can be applied to individual contexts to help countries, companies, sectors, or projects maximise the positive outcomes of renewable energy development and avoid a renewable energy resource curse.
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spelling doaj.art-87c487efe3da4d48a39aaa4750b5ab322022-12-22T02:27:33ZengElsevierEnergy Strategy Reviews2211-467X2022-05-0141100841The resource curse in renewable energy: A framework for risk assessmentAlycia Leonard0Aniq Ahsan1Flora Charbonnier2Stephanie Hirmer3Corresponding author.; University of Oxford, Oxford, UKUniversity of Oxford, Oxford, UKUniversity of Oxford, Oxford, UKUniversity of Oxford, Oxford, UKRenewable energy development can enable climate-compatible growth in low- and middle-income countries, particularly given the substantial opportunities for energy export to high-income countries seeking to decarbonise their energy systems. However, this also comes with significant risks, including the potential to trigger a resource curse of adverse social, environmental, and economic effects resulting in paradoxically slowed growth. Here, we propose a novel framework to assess potential risks associated with renewable energy development in low- and middle-income countries rooted in the resource curse literature. Eighteen symptoms of the resource curse are evaluated in terms of relevance to renewable energy, and their potential risks and benefits during renewable energy development are established. We find that context-specific factors are key in determining whether resource developments will provoke adverse impacts or positive opportunities; so, preemptive context-specific risk assessment is needed to implement prevention and mitigation strategies. For example, while fossil fuel development has been seen in some circumstances to increase dependence on external capital and technology, where adequate education and financing strategies are implemented, it can instead enhance autonomy and development. Similar risks can apply to renewable energy development, and must be evaluated. The proposed resource curse risk assessment framework can be applied to individual contexts to help countries, companies, sectors, or projects maximise the positive outcomes of renewable energy development and avoid a renewable energy resource curse.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X22000402Resource curse frameworkLMICsRenewable energy exportDecarbonisationGreen energy transition
spellingShingle Alycia Leonard
Aniq Ahsan
Flora Charbonnier
Stephanie Hirmer
The resource curse in renewable energy: A framework for risk assessment
Energy Strategy Reviews
Resource curse framework
LMICs
Renewable energy export
Decarbonisation
Green energy transition
title The resource curse in renewable energy: A framework for risk assessment
title_full The resource curse in renewable energy: A framework for risk assessment
title_fullStr The resource curse in renewable energy: A framework for risk assessment
title_full_unstemmed The resource curse in renewable energy: A framework for risk assessment
title_short The resource curse in renewable energy: A framework for risk assessment
title_sort resource curse in renewable energy a framework for risk assessment
topic Resource curse framework
LMICs
Renewable energy export
Decarbonisation
Green energy transition
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2211467X22000402
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