Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis Regresi
The more electric vehicles emerge, the more electricity demand will increase in each region. This will encourage electricity providers to increase the number or capacity of generators. The construction of a new power plant requires load forecasting to determine how much capacity the plant will build...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Indonesian |
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Jurusan Teknik Elektro Politeknik Negeri Padang
2023-06-01
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| Series: | Elektron |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://jie.pnp.ac.id/index.php/jie/article/view/340 |
| _version_ | 1797448197505810432 |
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| author | Zulka Hendri Efendi Efendi Junaidi Asrul Fitriadi Fitriadi |
| author_facet | Zulka Hendri Efendi Efendi Junaidi Asrul Fitriadi Fitriadi |
| author_sort | Zulka Hendri |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The more electric vehicles emerge, the more electricity demand will increase in each region. This will encourage electricity providers to increase the number or capacity of generators. The construction of a new power plant requires load forecasting to determine how much capacity the plant will build. This study aims to predict the electrical load in Pesisir Selatan, West Sumatra until 2031 using linear regression analysis and time series. Forecasting is done on each sector of PLN customers. Forecasting is done based on the PLN customer sector. The forecasting sectors are the household, business, social and government sectors. The four test criteria were carried out are namely the coefficient of determination test (R2), the F test, the T test and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The forecasting results show that in 2031 the electricity load for the household sector is 120.1 MW, the business sector is 5.7 MW, the social sector is 56.9 MW and the government is 9.5 MW. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-09T14:06:59Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8800c2be8dc94a1a8272afda5761a56b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2085-6989 2654-4733 |
| language | Indonesian |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-09T14:06:59Z |
| publishDate | 2023-06-01 |
| publisher | Jurusan Teknik Elektro Politeknik Negeri Padang |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Elektron |
| spelling | doaj.art-8800c2be8dc94a1a8272afda5761a56b2023-11-30T04:09:28ZindJurusan Teknik Elektro Politeknik Negeri PadangElektron2085-69892654-47332023-06-0171210.30630/eji.15.1.340340Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis RegresiZulka Hendri0Efendi Efendi1Junaidi Asrul2Fitriadi Fitriadi3Politeknik Negeri PadangPoliteknik Negeri PadangPoliteknik Negeri PadangPoliteknik Negeri PadangThe more electric vehicles emerge, the more electricity demand will increase in each region. This will encourage electricity providers to increase the number or capacity of generators. The construction of a new power plant requires load forecasting to determine how much capacity the plant will build. This study aims to predict the electrical load in Pesisir Selatan, West Sumatra until 2031 using linear regression analysis and time series. Forecasting is done on each sector of PLN customers. Forecasting is done based on the PLN customer sector. The forecasting sectors are the household, business, social and government sectors. The four test criteria were carried out are namely the coefficient of determination test (R2), the F test, the T test and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The forecasting results show that in 2031 the electricity load for the household sector is 120.1 MW, the business sector is 5.7 MW, the social sector is 56.9 MW and the government is 9.5 MW.https://jie.pnp.ac.id/index.php/jie/article/view/340multiple linear regression analysis, r2, f test, t test and mape. |
| spellingShingle | Zulka Hendri Efendi Efendi Junaidi Asrul Fitriadi Fitriadi Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis Regresi Elektron multiple linear regression analysis, r2, f test, t test and mape. |
| title | Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis Regresi |
| title_full | Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis Regresi |
| title_fullStr | Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis Regresi |
| title_full_unstemmed | Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis Regresi |
| title_short | Peramalan Beban Listrik Kabupaten Pesisir Selatan Dengan Analisis Regresi |
| title_sort | peramalan beban listrik kabupaten pesisir selatan dengan analisis regresi |
| topic | multiple linear regression analysis, r2, f test, t test and mape. |
| url | https://jie.pnp.ac.id/index.php/jie/article/view/340 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT zulkahendri peramalanbebanlistrikkabupatenpesisirselatandengananalisisregresi AT efendiefendi peramalanbebanlistrikkabupatenpesisirselatandengananalisisregresi AT junaidiasrul peramalanbebanlistrikkabupatenpesisirselatandengananalisisregresi AT fitriadifitriadi peramalanbebanlistrikkabupatenpesisirselatandengananalisisregresi |