Enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator: Performance analysis using Z-number based fuzzy TOPSIS method

In the dynamic realm of financial markets, developing effective strategies for stock exchange transactions is paramount. This research addresses this critical need by introducing a pioneering indicator for daily stock trading, leveraging a robust fuzzy inference system (FIS). The indicator ingenious...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: R. Venugopal, C. Veeramani, S.A. Edalatpanah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-03-01
Series:Results in Control and Optimization
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666720723001674
_version_ 1797259644874260480
author R. Venugopal
C. Veeramani
S.A. Edalatpanah
author_facet R. Venugopal
C. Veeramani
S.A. Edalatpanah
author_sort R. Venugopal
collection DOAJ
description In the dynamic realm of financial markets, developing effective strategies for stock exchange transactions is paramount. This research addresses this critical need by introducing a pioneering indicator for daily stock trading, leveraging a robust fuzzy inference system (FIS). The indicator ingeniously integrates key technical indicators including Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator (SO), and On-Balance-Volume (OBV). The FIS is meticulously constructed based on expert opinions and gleaned fuzzy rules. The fuzzified values then serve as inputs to the FIS, which in turn generates signals indicating optimal actions: buy, hold, or sell stocks. To validate the importance of the FIS, a carefully curated selection of stocks from the NASDAQ stock exchange is employed for experimentation. To prove the efficiency of the FIS, the technical indicators and the fuzzy risk-adjusted returns are considered as alternatives and criteria, respectively. A novel Z-number-based technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS) method is used to rank the technical indicators and the FIS. The comparative results unequivocally demonstrate that the developed FIS surpasses existing indicators, yielding superior returns.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T19:41:37Z
format Article
id doaj.art-882376d9ff6a433ea16f7cf024aeba62
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2666-7207
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-24T23:12:43Z
publishDate 2024-03-01
publisher Elsevier
record_format Article
series Results in Control and Optimization
spelling doaj.art-882376d9ff6a433ea16f7cf024aeba622024-03-17T07:58:58ZengElsevierResults in Control and Optimization2666-72072024-03-0114100365Enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator: Performance analysis using Z-number based fuzzy TOPSIS methodR. Venugopal0C. Veeramani1S.A. Edalatpanah2Department of Applied Science(Mathematics), PSG College of Technology, Coimbatore 641 004, Tamil Nadu, IndiaDepartment of Applied Science(Mathematics), PSG College of Technology, Coimbatore 641 004, Tamil Nadu, India; Corresponding author.Department of Applied Mathematics, Ayandegan Institute of Higher Education, Tonekabon, IranIn the dynamic realm of financial markets, developing effective strategies for stock exchange transactions is paramount. This research addresses this critical need by introducing a pioneering indicator for daily stock trading, leveraging a robust fuzzy inference system (FIS). The indicator ingeniously integrates key technical indicators including Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator (SO), and On-Balance-Volume (OBV). The FIS is meticulously constructed based on expert opinions and gleaned fuzzy rules. The fuzzified values then serve as inputs to the FIS, which in turn generates signals indicating optimal actions: buy, hold, or sell stocks. To validate the importance of the FIS, a carefully curated selection of stocks from the NASDAQ stock exchange is employed for experimentation. To prove the efficiency of the FIS, the technical indicators and the fuzzy risk-adjusted returns are considered as alternatives and criteria, respectively. A novel Z-number-based technique for order preference by similarity to the ideal solution (TOPSIS) method is used to rank the technical indicators and the FIS. The comparative results unequivocally demonstrate that the developed FIS surpasses existing indicators, yielding superior returns.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666720723001674Fuzzy inference systemFuzzy multi criteria decision makingRanking performanceTechnical indicatorZ-number
spellingShingle R. Venugopal
C. Veeramani
S.A. Edalatpanah
Enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator: Performance analysis using Z-number based fuzzy TOPSIS method
Results in Control and Optimization
Fuzzy inference system
Fuzzy multi criteria decision making
Ranking performance
Technical indicator
Z-number
title Enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator: Performance analysis using Z-number based fuzzy TOPSIS method
title_full Enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator: Performance analysis using Z-number based fuzzy TOPSIS method
title_fullStr Enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator: Performance analysis using Z-number based fuzzy TOPSIS method
title_full_unstemmed Enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator: Performance analysis using Z-number based fuzzy TOPSIS method
title_short Enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator: Performance analysis using Z-number based fuzzy TOPSIS method
title_sort enhancing daily stock trading with a novel fuzzy indicator performance analysis using z number based fuzzy topsis method
topic Fuzzy inference system
Fuzzy multi criteria decision making
Ranking performance
Technical indicator
Z-number
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666720723001674
work_keys_str_mv AT rvenugopal enhancingdailystocktradingwithanovelfuzzyindicatorperformanceanalysisusingznumberbasedfuzzytopsismethod
AT cveeramani enhancingdailystocktradingwithanovelfuzzyindicatorperformanceanalysisusingznumberbasedfuzzytopsismethod
AT saedalatpanah enhancingdailystocktradingwithanovelfuzzyindicatorperformanceanalysisusingznumberbasedfuzzytopsismethod