Predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion

The prevalence of endovascular interventions for coronary chronic total occlusion (CTO) remains small worldwide. This is due to the complexity of procedure and the risk of intraoperative complications. In this regard, the search for predictors of unsuccessful endovascular intervention in CTO plays a...

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Main Authors: D. K. Vasiliev, B. A. Rudenko, A. S. Shanoyan, F. B. Shukurov, D. A. Feshchenko
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: «SILICEA-POLIGRAF» LLC 2021-05-01
Series:Кардиоваскулярная терапия и профилактика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://cardiovascular.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/2725
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author D. K. Vasiliev
B. A. Rudenko
A. S. Shanoyan
F. B. Shukurov
D. A. Feshchenko
author_facet D. K. Vasiliev
B. A. Rudenko
A. S. Shanoyan
F. B. Shukurov
D. A. Feshchenko
author_sort D. K. Vasiliev
collection DOAJ
description The prevalence of endovascular interventions for coronary chronic total occlusion (CTO) remains small worldwide. This is due to the complexity of procedure and the risk of intraoperative complications. In this regard, the search for predictors of unsuccessful endovascular intervention in CTO plays a special role. This will allow for a careful selection of patients with the most favorable expectation effect of the operation. Aim. To identify predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of CTO.Material and methods. This retrospective study included 180 patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) in the period from November 2017 to June 2019, who had multivessel lesion in combination with CTO. In all patients, an attempt was made to achieve complete myocardial revascularization. Depending on the success of procedure, the patients were divided into two groups: complete and incomplete myocardial revascularization. The follow-up period was 12 months.Results. All baseline characteristics of patients in the compared groups were similar. The successful recanalization rate of occlusion was 79,5%. Multivariate regression analysis showed that calcified CTO (p<0,001), baseline SYNTAX (Synergy between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery) score >32 (p=0,006), CTO length >30 mm (p=0,046) and CTO of circumflex artery (p<0,01) are significant predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of CTO. To assess the predictive value of the model, a ROC analysis was carried out, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. The AUC was 0,87, which indicates a high predictive quality of the model. The sensitivity and specificity of the model were 78 and 81%, respectively.Conclusion. The study showed that the presence of calcified CTO, SYNTAX score >32 points, CTO length >30 mm, and CTO of circumflex artery are significant predictors of unsuccessful CTO recanalization.
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spelling doaj.art-885b819d3ee642d5a7d11368fcbcf6962023-03-13T07:23:30Zrus«SILICEA-POLIGRAF» LLCКардиоваскулярная терапия и профилактика1728-88002619-01252021-05-0120310.15829/1728-8800-2021-27252263Predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusionD. K. Vasiliev0B. A. Rudenko1A. S. Shanoyan2F. B. Shukurov3D. A. Feshchenko4Национальный медицинский исследовательский центр терапии и профилактической медицины Минздрава РоссииНациональный медицинский исследовательский центр терапии и профилактической медицины Минздрава РоссииНациональный медицинский исследовательский центр терапии и профилактической медицины Минздрава РоссииНациональный медицинский исследовательский центр терапии и профилактической медицины Минздрава РоссииНациональный медицинский исследовательский центр терапии и профилактической медицины Минздрава РоссииThe prevalence of endovascular interventions for coronary chronic total occlusion (CTO) remains small worldwide. This is due to the complexity of procedure and the risk of intraoperative complications. In this regard, the search for predictors of unsuccessful endovascular intervention in CTO plays a special role. This will allow for a careful selection of patients with the most favorable expectation effect of the operation. Aim. To identify predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of CTO.Material and methods. This retrospective study included 180 patients with chronic coronary artery disease (CAD) in the period from November 2017 to June 2019, who had multivessel lesion in combination with CTO. In all patients, an attempt was made to achieve complete myocardial revascularization. Depending on the success of procedure, the patients were divided into two groups: complete and incomplete myocardial revascularization. The follow-up period was 12 months.Results. All baseline characteristics of patients in the compared groups were similar. The successful recanalization rate of occlusion was 79,5%. Multivariate regression analysis showed that calcified CTO (p<0,001), baseline SYNTAX (Synergy between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery) score >32 (p=0,006), CTO length >30 mm (p=0,046) and CTO of circumflex artery (p<0,01) are significant predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of CTO. To assess the predictive value of the model, a ROC analysis was carried out, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated. The AUC was 0,87, which indicates a high predictive quality of the model. The sensitivity and specificity of the model were 78 and 81%, respectively.Conclusion. The study showed that the presence of calcified CTO, SYNTAX score >32 points, CTO length >30 mm, and CTO of circumflex artery are significant predictors of unsuccessful CTO recanalization.https://cardiovascular.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/2725чрескожное коронарное вмешательствохроническая окклюзия коронарной артерииишемическая болезнь сердцааортокоронарное шунтирование
spellingShingle D. K. Vasiliev
B. A. Rudenko
A. S. Shanoyan
F. B. Shukurov
D. A. Feshchenko
Predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion
Кардиоваскулярная терапия и профилактика
чрескожное коронарное вмешательство
хроническая окклюзия коронарной артерии
ишемическая болезнь сердца
аортокоронарное шунтирование
title Predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion
title_full Predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion
title_fullStr Predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion
title_full_unstemmed Predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion
title_short Predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion
title_sort predictors of unsuccessful endovascular recanalization of coronary chronic total occlusion
topic чрескожное коронарное вмешательство
хроническая окклюзия коронарной артерии
ишемическая болезнь сердца
аортокоронарное шунтирование
url https://cardiovascular.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/2725
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AT barudenko predictorsofunsuccessfulendovascularrecanalizationofcoronarychronictotalocclusion
AT asshanoyan predictorsofunsuccessfulendovascularrecanalizationofcoronarychronictotalocclusion
AT fbshukurov predictorsofunsuccessfulendovascularrecanalizationofcoronarychronictotalocclusion
AT dafeshchenko predictorsofunsuccessfulendovascularrecanalizationofcoronarychronictotalocclusion