Shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the United States
We develop a highly-resolved ensemble of climate simulations and empirical relationships between weather and household energy consumption to provide one of the most detailed estimates to date for potential climate-driven changes in the United States residential energy demand under the highest greenh...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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IOP Publishing
2019-01-01
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| Series: | Environmental Research Letters |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab22d2 |
| _version_ | 1797747937702313984 |
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| author | Deeksha Rastogi James Scott Holladay Katherine J Evans Ben L Preston Moetasim Ashfaq |
| author_facet | Deeksha Rastogi James Scott Holladay Katherine J Evans Ben L Preston Moetasim Ashfaq |
| author_sort | Deeksha Rastogi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We develop a highly-resolved ensemble of climate simulations and empirical relationships between weather and household energy consumption to provide one of the most detailed estimates to date for potential climate-driven changes in the United States residential energy demand under the highest greenhouse gas emissions pathway. Our results indicate that more intense and prolonged warm conditions will drive an increase in electricity demand while a shorter and milder cold season will reduce natural gas demand by the mid 21st century. The environmental conditions that favor more cooling degree days in summer and reduced heating degree days in winter are driven by changes in daily maximum temperatures and daily minimum temperatures in the respective seasons. Our results also indicate that climate-driven change can potentially reverse impacts of a projected decrease in rural population on residential energy demand. These projected changes in climate-driven energy demand have implications for future energy planning and management. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:58:45Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-885ea44dbb094bab92e9eec3d610938e |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1748-9326 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:58:45Z |
| publishDate | 2019-01-01 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Research Letters |
| spelling | doaj.art-885ea44dbb094bab92e9eec3d610938e2023-08-09T14:45:29ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262019-01-0114707400610.1088/1748-9326/ab22d2Shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the United StatesDeeksha Rastogi0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0462-4027James Scott Holladay1Katherine J Evans2Ben L Preston3Moetasim Ashfaq4Computational Science and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States of America; The Bredesen Center, The University of Tennessee , Knoxville, TN, United States of AmericaDepartment of Economics, Haslam College of Business, The University of Tennessee , Knoxville, TN, United States of AmericaComputational Science and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States of America; The Bredesen Center, The University of Tennessee , Knoxville, TN, United States of AmericaRAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA, United States of AmericaComputational Science and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, United States of America; The Bredesen Center, The University of Tennessee , Knoxville, TN, United States of AmericaWe develop a highly-resolved ensemble of climate simulations and empirical relationships between weather and household energy consumption to provide one of the most detailed estimates to date for potential climate-driven changes in the United States residential energy demand under the highest greenhouse gas emissions pathway. Our results indicate that more intense and prolonged warm conditions will drive an increase in electricity demand while a shorter and milder cold season will reduce natural gas demand by the mid 21st century. The environmental conditions that favor more cooling degree days in summer and reduced heating degree days in winter are driven by changes in daily maximum temperatures and daily minimum temperatures in the respective seasons. Our results also indicate that climate-driven change can potentially reverse impacts of a projected decrease in rural population on residential energy demand. These projected changes in climate-driven energy demand have implications for future energy planning and management.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab22d2energy demandregional climate changedegree days |
| spellingShingle | Deeksha Rastogi James Scott Holladay Katherine J Evans Ben L Preston Moetasim Ashfaq Shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the United States Environmental Research Letters energy demand regional climate change degree days |
| title | Shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the United States |
| title_full | Shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the United States |
| title_fullStr | Shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the United States |
| title_full_unstemmed | Shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the United States |
| title_short | Shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the United States |
| title_sort | shift in seasonal climate patterns likely to impact residential energy consumption in the united states |
| topic | energy demand regional climate change degree days |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab22d2 |
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