A Comparison among Artificial Neural Network, Discriminant Analysis and Logestic Regression Techniques for Bankruptcy: A Case Study of Kerman\'s Firms

One of the main issues in financial management is choosing the best way of utilizing investment. Investors would like to invest their capitals in a way to minimize their risks. Bankruptcy is one of the risk factors which affect the decision of investors. Prediction of bankruptcy can help investors t...

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Main Authors: nezamoddin makyian, mohammadtaghi almodaresi, salim karimi takloo
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Tarbiat Modares University 2010-07-01
Series:پژوهشهای اقتصادی
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-10998-en.pdf
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author nezamoddin makyian
mohammadtaghi almodaresi
salim karimi takloo
author_facet nezamoddin makyian
mohammadtaghi almodaresi
salim karimi takloo
author_sort nezamoddin makyian
collection DOAJ
description One of the main issues in financial management is choosing the best way of utilizing investment. Investors would like to invest their capitals in a way to minimize their risks. Bankruptcy is one of the risk factors which affect the decision of investors. Prediction of bankruptcy can help investors to reduce the risks in the capital markets and recognize the best opportunities for alternative investment. This study aims to predict the bankruptcy of companies by using the technique of Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Moreover, discriminant Analysis and logestic regression techniques are employed to compare the results. The data used in this study covers the firms in the Kerman Province of Iran over the period 1975- 2007. The results show that ANN model perfom much better than the discriminant analysis and logestic regression techniques. Moreover, the results confirm that the accuracy of ANN model is higher than the discriminant analysis and logestic regression techniques for predicting of bankruptcy. The analysis also shows that none of the firms will bankrupt in the year after the period covered in this study.
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spelling doaj.art-885f740b69d84ad3ba3599f8a65227b02023-06-15T20:32:57ZfasTarbiat Modares Universityپژوهشهای اقتصادی1735-67682980-78322010-07-0110200A Comparison among Artificial Neural Network, Discriminant Analysis and Logestic Regression Techniques for Bankruptcy: A Case Study of Kerman\'s Firmsnezamoddin makyian0mohammadtaghi almodaresi1salim karimi takloo2 Yazd University, Economics Faculty yazd university, electrical engineering faculty kerman university One of the main issues in financial management is choosing the best way of utilizing investment. Investors would like to invest their capitals in a way to minimize their risks. Bankruptcy is one of the risk factors which affect the decision of investors. Prediction of bankruptcy can help investors to reduce the risks in the capital markets and recognize the best opportunities for alternative investment. This study aims to predict the bankruptcy of companies by using the technique of Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Moreover, discriminant Analysis and logestic regression techniques are employed to compare the results. The data used in this study covers the firms in the Kerman Province of Iran over the period 1975- 2007. The results show that ANN model perfom much better than the discriminant analysis and logestic regression techniques. Moreover, the results confirm that the accuracy of ANN model is higher than the discriminant analysis and logestic regression techniques for predicting of bankruptcy. The analysis also shows that none of the firms will bankrupt in the year after the period covered in this study.http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-10998-en.pdfbankruptcy predictionartificial neural networklogestic regressiondiscriminant analysis
spellingShingle nezamoddin makyian
mohammadtaghi almodaresi
salim karimi takloo
A Comparison among Artificial Neural Network, Discriminant Analysis and Logestic Regression Techniques for Bankruptcy: A Case Study of Kerman\'s Firms
پژوهشهای اقتصادی
bankruptcy prediction
artificial neural network
logestic regression
discriminant analysis
title A Comparison among Artificial Neural Network, Discriminant Analysis and Logestic Regression Techniques for Bankruptcy: A Case Study of Kerman\'s Firms
title_full A Comparison among Artificial Neural Network, Discriminant Analysis and Logestic Regression Techniques for Bankruptcy: A Case Study of Kerman\'s Firms
title_fullStr A Comparison among Artificial Neural Network, Discriminant Analysis and Logestic Regression Techniques for Bankruptcy: A Case Study of Kerman\'s Firms
title_full_unstemmed A Comparison among Artificial Neural Network, Discriminant Analysis and Logestic Regression Techniques for Bankruptcy: A Case Study of Kerman\'s Firms
title_short A Comparison among Artificial Neural Network, Discriminant Analysis and Logestic Regression Techniques for Bankruptcy: A Case Study of Kerman\'s Firms
title_sort comparison among artificial neural network discriminant analysis and logestic regression techniques for bankruptcy a case study of kerman s firms
topic bankruptcy prediction
artificial neural network
logestic regression
discriminant analysis
url http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-10998-en.pdf
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