Time-space characterization of droughts in the São Francisco river catchment using the Standard Precipitation Index and continuous wavelet transform

ABSTRACT This paper focuses on time-space characterization of drought conditions in the São Francisco River catchment, on the basis of wavelet analysis of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) time series. In order to improve SPI estimation, the procedures for regional analysis with L-moments were...

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Main Authors: Marcus Suassuna Santos, Veber Afonso Figueiredo Costa, Wilson dos Santos Fernandes, Rafael Pedrollo de Paes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos 2019-06-01
Series:Revista Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312019000100224&tlng=en
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author Marcus Suassuna Santos
Veber Afonso Figueiredo Costa
Wilson dos Santos Fernandes
Rafael Pedrollo de Paes
author_facet Marcus Suassuna Santos
Veber Afonso Figueiredo Costa
Wilson dos Santos Fernandes
Rafael Pedrollo de Paes
author_sort Marcus Suassuna Santos
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT This paper focuses on time-space characterization of drought conditions in the São Francisco River catchment, on the basis of wavelet analysis of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) time series. In order to improve SPI estimation, the procedures for regional analysis with L-moments were employed for defining statistically homogeneous regions. The continuous wavelet transform was then utilized for extracting time-frequency information from the resulting SPI time series in a multiresolution framework and for investigating possible teleconnections of these signals with those obtained from samples of the large-scale climate indexes ENSO and PDO. The use of regional frequency analysis with L-moments resulted in improvements in the estimation of SPI time series. It was observed that by aggregating regional information more reliable estimates of low frequency rainfall amounts were obtained. The wavelet analysis of climate indexes suggests that the more extreme dry periods in the study area are observed when the cold phase of both ENSO and the PDO coincides. While not constituting a strict cause effect relationship, it was clear that the more extreme droughts are consistently observed in this situation. However, further investigation is necessary for identifying particularities in rainfall patterns that are not associated to large-scale climate anomalies.
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spelling doaj.art-8863db05a8ac491a971dc298e04ad4fd2022-12-21T19:33:37ZengAssociação Brasileira de Recursos HídricosRevista Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos2318-03312019-06-012410.1590/2318-0331.241920180092Time-space characterization of droughts in the São Francisco river catchment using the Standard Precipitation Index and continuous wavelet transformMarcus Suassuna Santoshttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8773-0062Veber Afonso Figueiredo Costahttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-3848-2098Wilson dos Santos Fernandeshttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9731-2320Rafael Pedrollo de Paeshttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3216-8951ABSTRACT This paper focuses on time-space characterization of drought conditions in the São Francisco River catchment, on the basis of wavelet analysis of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) time series. In order to improve SPI estimation, the procedures for regional analysis with L-moments were employed for defining statistically homogeneous regions. The continuous wavelet transform was then utilized for extracting time-frequency information from the resulting SPI time series in a multiresolution framework and for investigating possible teleconnections of these signals with those obtained from samples of the large-scale climate indexes ENSO and PDO. The use of regional frequency analysis with L-moments resulted in improvements in the estimation of SPI time series. It was observed that by aggregating regional information more reliable estimates of low frequency rainfall amounts were obtained. The wavelet analysis of climate indexes suggests that the more extreme dry periods in the study area are observed when the cold phase of both ENSO and the PDO coincides. While not constituting a strict cause effect relationship, it was clear that the more extreme droughts are consistently observed in this situation. However, further investigation is necessary for identifying particularities in rainfall patterns that are not associated to large-scale climate anomalies.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312019000100224&tlng=enDroughtsWavelet analysisStandardized precipitation indexClimatic indexes
spellingShingle Marcus Suassuna Santos
Veber Afonso Figueiredo Costa
Wilson dos Santos Fernandes
Rafael Pedrollo de Paes
Time-space characterization of droughts in the São Francisco river catchment using the Standard Precipitation Index and continuous wavelet transform
Revista Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos
Droughts
Wavelet analysis
Standardized precipitation index
Climatic indexes
title Time-space characterization of droughts in the São Francisco river catchment using the Standard Precipitation Index and continuous wavelet transform
title_full Time-space characterization of droughts in the São Francisco river catchment using the Standard Precipitation Index and continuous wavelet transform
title_fullStr Time-space characterization of droughts in the São Francisco river catchment using the Standard Precipitation Index and continuous wavelet transform
title_full_unstemmed Time-space characterization of droughts in the São Francisco river catchment using the Standard Precipitation Index and continuous wavelet transform
title_short Time-space characterization of droughts in the São Francisco river catchment using the Standard Precipitation Index and continuous wavelet transform
title_sort time space characterization of droughts in the sao francisco river catchment using the standard precipitation index and continuous wavelet transform
topic Droughts
Wavelet analysis
Standardized precipitation index
Climatic indexes
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312019000100224&tlng=en
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