Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from Switzerland

Abstract We study the interplay of non-pharmaceutical containment measures, human behavior, and the spread of COVID-19 in Switzerland. First, we collect sub-national data and construct indices that capture the stringency of containment measures at the cantonal level. Second, we use a vector autoregr...

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Main Authors: Regina Pleninger, Sina Streicher, Jan-Egbert Sturm
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2022-02-01
Series:Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s41937-022-00083-7
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author Regina Pleninger
Sina Streicher
Jan-Egbert Sturm
author_facet Regina Pleninger
Sina Streicher
Jan-Egbert Sturm
author_sort Regina Pleninger
collection DOAJ
description Abstract We study the interplay of non-pharmaceutical containment measures, human behavior, and the spread of COVID-19 in Switzerland. First, we collect sub-national data and construct indices that capture the stringency of containment measures at the cantonal level. Second, we use a vector autoregressive model to analyze feedback effects between our variables of interest via structural impulse responses. Our results suggest that increases in the stringency of containment measures lead to a significant reduction in weekly infections as well as debit card transactions, which serve as a proxy for behavioral changes in the population. Furthermore, analyzing different policy measures individually shows that business closures, recommendations to work from home, and restrictions on gatherings have been particularly effective in containing the spread of COVID-19 in Switzerland. Finally, our findings indicate a sizeable voluntary reduction in debit card transactions in response to a positive infection shock.
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spelling doaj.art-8879b09afbbd407ca1a156f20de903072022-12-22T01:34:46ZengSpringerOpenSwiss Journal of Economics and Statistics2235-62822022-02-01158112410.1186/s41937-022-00083-7Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from SwitzerlandRegina Pleninger0Sina Streicher1Jan-Egbert Sturm2KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH ZurichKOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH ZurichKOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH ZurichAbstract We study the interplay of non-pharmaceutical containment measures, human behavior, and the spread of COVID-19 in Switzerland. First, we collect sub-national data and construct indices that capture the stringency of containment measures at the cantonal level. Second, we use a vector autoregressive model to analyze feedback effects between our variables of interest via structural impulse responses. Our results suggest that increases in the stringency of containment measures lead to a significant reduction in weekly infections as well as debit card transactions, which serve as a proxy for behavioral changes in the population. Furthermore, analyzing different policy measures individually shows that business closures, recommendations to work from home, and restrictions on gatherings have been particularly effective in containing the spread of COVID-19 in Switzerland. Finally, our findings indicate a sizeable voluntary reduction in debit card transactions in response to a positive infection shock.https://doi.org/10.1186/s41937-022-00083-7COVID-19Reproduction rateStringencySwitzerland
spellingShingle Regina Pleninger
Sina Streicher
Jan-Egbert Sturm
Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from Switzerland
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
COVID-19
Reproduction rate
Stringency
Switzerland
title Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from Switzerland
title_full Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from Switzerland
title_fullStr Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from Switzerland
title_full_unstemmed Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from Switzerland
title_short Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from Switzerland
title_sort do covid 19 containment measures work evidence from switzerland
topic COVID-19
Reproduction rate
Stringency
Switzerland
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s41937-022-00083-7
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AT sinastreicher docovid19containmentmeasuresworkevidencefromswitzerland
AT janegbertsturm docovid19containmentmeasuresworkevidencefromswitzerland