Valence Matters in Judgments of Stock Accumulation in Blood Glucose Control and Other Global Problems
Stock-flow failure is a reasoning error in dynamic systems that has great societal relevance: people misjudge a level of accumulation (i.e., stock) considering the information on flows that increase (i.e., inflow) or decrease (i.e., outflow) over time. Many interventions, including the use of analog...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
University Library Heidelberg
2018-12-01
|
| Series: | Journal of Dynamic Decision Making |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://journals.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/index.php/jddm/article/view/49607 |
| _version_ | 1811232738205761536 |
|---|---|
| author | Cleotilde Gonzalez Maria-Isabel Sanchez-Segura German-Lenin Dugarte-Peña Fuensanta Medina-Dominguez |
| author_facet | Cleotilde Gonzalez Maria-Isabel Sanchez-Segura German-Lenin Dugarte-Peña Fuensanta Medina-Dominguez |
| author_sort | Cleotilde Gonzalez |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Stock-flow failure is a reasoning error in dynamic systems that has great societal relevance: people misjudge a level of accumulation (i.e., stock) considering the information on flows that increase (i.e., inflow) or decrease (i.e., outflow) over time. Many interventions, including the use of analogies and graphical manipulations, to counteract this failure and help people integrate the flow information have been tested with little or no success. We suggest that this error relates to the valence of a problem: the framing of the inflow or outflow direction as “good” or “bad” is associated with the direction of its accumulation over time. To explore the effects of valence on accumulation judgments, we employ a scenario of a common health problem: blood glucose control through sugar consumption and insulin flows. We also investigate improvements of performance in a second scenario that result after viewing a video of a dynamic system demonstrating the effects of the correct accumulation trend. We discuss the implications of our findings for the blood glucose example and other global problems. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T11:09:15Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-88a3f8ab15da47e5886cb6fe8a66596c |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2365-8037 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T11:09:15Z |
| publishDate | 2018-12-01 |
| publisher | University Library Heidelberg |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Dynamic Decision Making |
| spelling | doaj.art-88a3f8ab15da47e5886cb6fe8a66596c2022-12-22T03:35:40ZengUniversity Library HeidelbergJournal of Dynamic Decision Making2365-80372018-12-014110.11588/jddm.2018.1.4960749607Valence Matters in Judgments of Stock Accumulation in Blood Glucose Control and Other Global ProblemsCleotilde Gonzalez0Maria-Isabel Sanchez-Segura1German-Lenin Dugarte-Peña2Fuensanta Medina-Dominguez3Carnegie Mellon University, United StatesUniversidad Carlos III de Madrid, SpainUniversidad Carlos III de Madrid, SpainUniversidad Carlos III de Madrid, SpainStock-flow failure is a reasoning error in dynamic systems that has great societal relevance: people misjudge a level of accumulation (i.e., stock) considering the information on flows that increase (i.e., inflow) or decrease (i.e., outflow) over time. Many interventions, including the use of analogies and graphical manipulations, to counteract this failure and help people integrate the flow information have been tested with little or no success. We suggest that this error relates to the valence of a problem: the framing of the inflow or outflow direction as “good” or “bad” is associated with the direction of its accumulation over time. To explore the effects of valence on accumulation judgments, we employ a scenario of a common health problem: blood glucose control through sugar consumption and insulin flows. We also investigate improvements of performance in a second scenario that result after viewing a video of a dynamic system demonstrating the effects of the correct accumulation trend. We discuss the implications of our findings for the blood glucose example and other global problems.https://journals.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/index.php/jddm/article/view/49607Correlation HeuristicStock-Flow FailureSystem BehaviourValence Effect |
| spellingShingle | Cleotilde Gonzalez Maria-Isabel Sanchez-Segura German-Lenin Dugarte-Peña Fuensanta Medina-Dominguez Valence Matters in Judgments of Stock Accumulation in Blood Glucose Control and Other Global Problems Journal of Dynamic Decision Making Correlation Heuristic Stock-Flow Failure System Behaviour Valence Effect |
| title | Valence Matters in Judgments of Stock Accumulation in Blood Glucose Control and Other Global Problems |
| title_full | Valence Matters in Judgments of Stock Accumulation in Blood Glucose Control and Other Global Problems |
| title_fullStr | Valence Matters in Judgments of Stock Accumulation in Blood Glucose Control and Other Global Problems |
| title_full_unstemmed | Valence Matters in Judgments of Stock Accumulation in Blood Glucose Control and Other Global Problems |
| title_short | Valence Matters in Judgments of Stock Accumulation in Blood Glucose Control and Other Global Problems |
| title_sort | valence matters in judgments of stock accumulation in blood glucose control and other global problems |
| topic | Correlation Heuristic Stock-Flow Failure System Behaviour Valence Effect |
| url | https://journals.ub.uni-heidelberg.de/index.php/jddm/article/view/49607 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT cleotildegonzalez valencemattersinjudgmentsofstockaccumulationinbloodglucosecontrolandotherglobalproblems AT mariaisabelsanchezsegura valencemattersinjudgmentsofstockaccumulationinbloodglucosecontrolandotherglobalproblems AT germanlenindugartepena valencemattersinjudgmentsofstockaccumulationinbloodglucosecontrolandotherglobalproblems AT fuensantamedinadominguez valencemattersinjudgmentsofstockaccumulationinbloodglucosecontrolandotherglobalproblems |