Epidemiology-based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022

Human monkeypox, caused by monkeypox virus, has spread unprecedentedly to more than 100 countries since May 2022. Here we summarized the epidemiology of monkeypox through a literature review and elucidated the risks and elimination strategies of this outbreak mainly based on the summarized epidemiol...

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Main Authors: Ji-Ming Chen, Rui-Xu Chen, Huan-Yu Gong, Meng-Meng Zhao, Yu-Fei Ji, Ming-Hui Sun, Guo-Hui Li, Su-Mei Tan, Gui-Hong Zhang, Ji-Wang Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Veterinary Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fvets.2022.1064766/full
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author Ji-Ming Chen
Rui-Xu Chen
Huan-Yu Gong
Meng-Meng Zhao
Yu-Fei Ji
Ming-Hui Sun
Guo-Hui Li
Su-Mei Tan
Gui-Hong Zhang
Ji-Wang Chen
author_facet Ji-Ming Chen
Rui-Xu Chen
Huan-Yu Gong
Meng-Meng Zhao
Yu-Fei Ji
Ming-Hui Sun
Guo-Hui Li
Su-Mei Tan
Gui-Hong Zhang
Ji-Wang Chen
author_sort Ji-Ming Chen
collection DOAJ
description Human monkeypox, caused by monkeypox virus, has spread unprecedentedly to more than 100 countries since May 2022. Here we summarized the epidemiology of monkeypox through a literature review and elucidated the risks and elimination strategies of this outbreak mainly based on the summarized epidemiology. We demonstrated that monkeypox virus became more contagious and less virulent in 2022, which could result from the fact that the virus entered a special transmission network favoring close contacts (i.e., sexual behaviors of men who have sex with men outside Africa) and the possibility that the virus accumulated a few adaptive mutations. We gave the reasons to investigate whether cattle, goats, sheep, and pigs are susceptible to monkeypox virus and whether infection with monkeypox virus could be latent in some primates. We listed six potential scenarios for the future of the outbreak (e.g., the outbreak could lead to endemicity outside Africa with increased transmissibility or virulence). We also listed multiple factors aiding or impeding the elimination of the outbreak. We showed that the control measures strengthened worldwide after the World Health Organization declared the outbreak a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC) could eliminate the outbreak in 2022. We clarified eight strategies, i.e., publicity and education, case isolation, vaccine stockpiling, risk-based vaccination or ring vaccination, importation quarantine, international collaboration, and laboratory management, for the elimination of the outbreak.
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spelling doaj.art-88b6cd753836482eb213f85e737653f32022-12-22T04:15:38ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Veterinary Science2297-17692022-11-01910.3389/fvets.2022.10647661064766Epidemiology-based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022Ji-Ming Chen0Rui-Xu Chen1Huan-Yu Gong2Meng-Meng Zhao3Yu-Fei Ji4Ming-Hui Sun5Guo-Hui Li6Su-Mei Tan7Gui-Hong Zhang8Ji-Wang Chen9School of Life Science and Engineering, Foshan University, Foshan, ChinaSchool of Life Science and Engineering, Foshan University, Foshan, ChinaSchool of Life Science and Engineering, Foshan University, Foshan, ChinaSchool of Life Science and Engineering, Foshan University, Foshan, ChinaSchool of Life Science and Engineering, Foshan University, Foshan, ChinaSchool of Life Science and Engineering, Foshan University, Foshan, ChinaSchool of Life Science and Engineering, Foshan University, Foshan, ChinaSchool of Life Science and Engineering, Foshan University, Foshan, ChinaGuangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Prevention and Control, College of Veterinary Medicine, South China Agricultural University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Medicine, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, IL, United StatesHuman monkeypox, caused by monkeypox virus, has spread unprecedentedly to more than 100 countries since May 2022. Here we summarized the epidemiology of monkeypox through a literature review and elucidated the risks and elimination strategies of this outbreak mainly based on the summarized epidemiology. We demonstrated that monkeypox virus became more contagious and less virulent in 2022, which could result from the fact that the virus entered a special transmission network favoring close contacts (i.e., sexual behaviors of men who have sex with men outside Africa) and the possibility that the virus accumulated a few adaptive mutations. We gave the reasons to investigate whether cattle, goats, sheep, and pigs are susceptible to monkeypox virus and whether infection with monkeypox virus could be latent in some primates. We listed six potential scenarios for the future of the outbreak (e.g., the outbreak could lead to endemicity outside Africa with increased transmissibility or virulence). We also listed multiple factors aiding or impeding the elimination of the outbreak. We showed that the control measures strengthened worldwide after the World Health Organization declared the outbreak a public health emergency of international concern (PHEIC) could eliminate the outbreak in 2022. We clarified eight strategies, i.e., publicity and education, case isolation, vaccine stockpiling, risk-based vaccination or ring vaccination, importation quarantine, international collaboration, and laboratory management, for the elimination of the outbreak.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fvets.2022.1064766/fullmonkeypoxriskeliminationepidemiologyoutbreakprediction
spellingShingle Ji-Ming Chen
Rui-Xu Chen
Huan-Yu Gong
Meng-Meng Zhao
Yu-Fei Ji
Ming-Hui Sun
Guo-Hui Li
Su-Mei Tan
Gui-Hong Zhang
Ji-Wang Chen
Epidemiology-based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022
Frontiers in Veterinary Science
monkeypox
risk
elimination
epidemiology
outbreak
prediction
title Epidemiology-based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022
title_full Epidemiology-based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022
title_fullStr Epidemiology-based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022
title_full_unstemmed Epidemiology-based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022
title_short Epidemiology-based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022
title_sort epidemiology based analysis of the risks and elimination strategies of the monkeypox outbreak in 2022
topic monkeypox
risk
elimination
epidemiology
outbreak
prediction
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fvets.2022.1064766/full
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