Early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during COVID‐19 in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based cohort study

Abstract Background Little is known about the association between the COVID‐19 pandemic and early survival among newly diagnosed cancer patients. Methods This retrospective population‐based cohort study used linked administrative datasets from Ontario, Canada. Adults (≥18 years) who received a cance...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rui Fu, Rinku Sutradhar, Qing Li, Pabiththa Kamalraj, Anna Dare, Timothy P. Hanna, Kelvin K. W. Chan, Jonathan C. Irish, Natalie Coburn, Julie Hallet, Simron Singh, Ambica Parmar, Craig C. Earle, Lauren Lapointe‐Shaw, Monika K. Krzyzanowska, Alexander V. Louie, Alyson Mahar, David R. Urbach, Daniel I. McIsaac, Danny Enepekides, David Gomez, Nicole J. Look Hong, Jill Tinmouth, Antoine Eskander
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-05-01
Series:Cancer Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5861
_version_ 1827932372564180992
author Rui Fu
Rinku Sutradhar
Qing Li
Pabiththa Kamalraj
Anna Dare
Timothy P. Hanna
Kelvin K. W. Chan
Jonathan C. Irish
Natalie Coburn
Julie Hallet
Simron Singh
Ambica Parmar
Craig C. Earle
Lauren Lapointe‐Shaw
Monika K. Krzyzanowska
Alexander V. Louie
Alyson Mahar
David R. Urbach
Daniel I. McIsaac
Danny Enepekides
David Gomez
Nicole J. Look Hong
Jill Tinmouth
Antoine Eskander
author_facet Rui Fu
Rinku Sutradhar
Qing Li
Pabiththa Kamalraj
Anna Dare
Timothy P. Hanna
Kelvin K. W. Chan
Jonathan C. Irish
Natalie Coburn
Julie Hallet
Simron Singh
Ambica Parmar
Craig C. Earle
Lauren Lapointe‐Shaw
Monika K. Krzyzanowska
Alexander V. Louie
Alyson Mahar
David R. Urbach
Daniel I. McIsaac
Danny Enepekides
David Gomez
Nicole J. Look Hong
Jill Tinmouth
Antoine Eskander
author_sort Rui Fu
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Little is known about the association between the COVID‐19 pandemic and early survival among newly diagnosed cancer patients. Methods This retrospective population‐based cohort study used linked administrative datasets from Ontario, Canada. Adults (≥18 years) who received a cancer diagnosis between March 15 and December 31, 2020, were included in a pandemic cohort, while those diagnosed during the same dates in 2018/2019 were included in a pre‐pandemic cohort. All patients were followed for one full year after the date of diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess survival in relation to the pandemic, patient characteristics at diagnosis, and the modality of first cancer treatment as a time‐varying covariate. Interaction terms were explored to measure the pandemic association with survival for each cancer type. Results Among 179,746 patients, 53,387 (29.7%) were in the pandemic cohort and 37,741 (21.0%) died over the first post‐diagnosis year. No association between the pandemic and survival was found when adjusting for patient characteristics at diagnosis (HR 0.99 [95% CI 0.96–1.01]), while marginally better survival was found for the pandemic cohort when the modality of treatment was additionally considered (HR 0.97 [95% CI 0.95–0.99]). When examining each cancer type, only a new melanoma diagnosis was associated with a worse survival in the pandemic cohort (HR 1.25 [95% CI 1.05–1.49]). Conclusions Among patients able to receive a cancer diagnosis during the pandemic, one‐year overall survival was not different than those diagnosed in the previous 2 years. This study highlights the complex nature of the COVID‐19 pandemic impact on cancer care.
first_indexed 2024-03-13T07:07:44Z
format Article
id doaj.art-88d1d600525e42fa9ed5252b53c0be68
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2045-7634
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-13T07:07:44Z
publishDate 2023-05-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Cancer Medicine
spelling doaj.art-88d1d600525e42fa9ed5252b53c0be682023-06-06T07:30:47ZengWileyCancer Medicine2045-76342023-05-011210118491185910.1002/cam4.5861Early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during COVID‐19 in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based cohort studyRui Fu0Rinku Sutradhar1Qing Li2Pabiththa Kamalraj3Anna Dare4Timothy P. Hanna5Kelvin K. W. Chan6Jonathan C. Irish7Natalie Coburn8Julie Hallet9Simron Singh10Ambica Parmar11Craig C. Earle12Lauren Lapointe‐Shaw13Monika K. Krzyzanowska14Alexander V. Louie15Alyson Mahar16David R. Urbach17Daniel I. McIsaac18Danny Enepekides19David Gomez20Nicole J. Look Hong21Jill Tinmouth22Antoine Eskander23ICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaDepartment of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery University of Toronto Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaDivision of Cancer Care and Epidemiology, Cancer Research Institute Queen's University Kingston Ontario CanadaInstitute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, Dalla Lana School of Public Health University of Toronto Toronto Ontario CanadaInstitute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, Dalla Lana School of Public Health University of Toronto Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaDepartment of Radiation Oncology University of Toronto Toronto Ontario CanadaSchool of Nursing Queen's University Kingston Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaDepartment of Otolaryngology–Head and Neck Surgery University of Toronto Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaICES Toronto Ontario CanadaAbstract Background Little is known about the association between the COVID‐19 pandemic and early survival among newly diagnosed cancer patients. Methods This retrospective population‐based cohort study used linked administrative datasets from Ontario, Canada. Adults (≥18 years) who received a cancer diagnosis between March 15 and December 31, 2020, were included in a pandemic cohort, while those diagnosed during the same dates in 2018/2019 were included in a pre‐pandemic cohort. All patients were followed for one full year after the date of diagnosis. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess survival in relation to the pandemic, patient characteristics at diagnosis, and the modality of first cancer treatment as a time‐varying covariate. Interaction terms were explored to measure the pandemic association with survival for each cancer type. Results Among 179,746 patients, 53,387 (29.7%) were in the pandemic cohort and 37,741 (21.0%) died over the first post‐diagnosis year. No association between the pandemic and survival was found when adjusting for patient characteristics at diagnosis (HR 0.99 [95% CI 0.96–1.01]), while marginally better survival was found for the pandemic cohort when the modality of treatment was additionally considered (HR 0.97 [95% CI 0.95–0.99]). When examining each cancer type, only a new melanoma diagnosis was associated with a worse survival in the pandemic cohort (HR 1.25 [95% CI 1.05–1.49]). Conclusions Among patients able to receive a cancer diagnosis during the pandemic, one‐year overall survival was not different than those diagnosed in the previous 2 years. This study highlights the complex nature of the COVID‐19 pandemic impact on cancer care.https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5861cancercancer detectioncancer survivorshipCOVID‐19oncology
spellingShingle Rui Fu
Rinku Sutradhar
Qing Li
Pabiththa Kamalraj
Anna Dare
Timothy P. Hanna
Kelvin K. W. Chan
Jonathan C. Irish
Natalie Coburn
Julie Hallet
Simron Singh
Ambica Parmar
Craig C. Earle
Lauren Lapointe‐Shaw
Monika K. Krzyzanowska
Alexander V. Louie
Alyson Mahar
David R. Urbach
Daniel I. McIsaac
Danny Enepekides
David Gomez
Nicole J. Look Hong
Jill Tinmouth
Antoine Eskander
Early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during COVID‐19 in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based cohort study
Cancer Medicine
cancer
cancer detection
cancer survivorship
COVID‐19
oncology
title Early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during COVID‐19 in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based cohort study
title_full Early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during COVID‐19 in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based cohort study
title_fullStr Early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during COVID‐19 in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during COVID‐19 in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based cohort study
title_short Early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during COVID‐19 in Ontario, Canada: A population‐based cohort study
title_sort early survival for patients newly diagnosed with cancer during covid 19 in ontario canada a population based cohort study
topic cancer
cancer detection
cancer survivorship
COVID‐19
oncology
url https://doi.org/10.1002/cam4.5861
work_keys_str_mv AT ruifu earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT rinkusutradhar earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT qingli earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT pabiththakamalraj earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT annadare earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT timothyphanna earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT kelvinkwchan earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT jonathancirish earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT nataliecoburn earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT juliehallet earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT simronsingh earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT ambicaparmar earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT craigcearle earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT laurenlapointeshaw earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT monikakkrzyzanowska earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT alexandervlouie earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT alysonmahar earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT davidrurbach earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT danielimcisaac earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT dannyenepekides earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT davidgomez earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT nicolejlookhong earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT jilltinmouth earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy
AT antoineeskander earlysurvivalforpatientsnewlydiagnosedwithcancerduringcovid19inontariocanadaapopulationbasedcohortstudy