Comparative analysis of the core inflation for Russia

Consumer price index is a measure of inflation and it consists of two parts: persistent component (trend inflation) and short-term shocks. Inflation targeting requires index of core inflation, that independent from shortterm shocks and demonstrates the changes of the trend inflation. Reserve Banks p...

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Main Author: A. K. Sapova
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Plekhanov Russian University of Economics 2016-10-01
Series:Статистика и экономика
Subjects:
Online Access:https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1044
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author A. K. Sapova
author_facet A. K. Sapova
author_sort A. K. Sapova
collection DOAJ
description Consumer price index is a measure of inflation and it consists of two parts: persistent component (trend inflation) and short-term shocks. Inflation targeting requires index of core inflation, that independent from shortterm shocks and demonstrates the changes of the trend inflation. Reserve Banks pay attention on the changes in the trend inflation, when they take decisions about monetary policy, because it’s more informative than consumer price index for estimation of medium-term inflation risks. The objective of this article is detecting the index of core inflation that could be appropriate for monetary policy. There are some different measures of core inflation based on practice of Reserve Banks from different countries and economic articles. The comparative analysis presented in this article is based on several types of tests. The result of the research is that core consumer price index that is used today has got both advantages and weaknesses. Moreover, there is index of core inflation based on new methodology that is better than core consumer price index of Federal Sate Statistics Service. It is concluded that the Central Bank should focus precisely on this indicator when it takes decisions about monetary policy.
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spelling doaj.art-88f61c582a3b4382b4289b7ddff108ab2023-09-03T09:15:35ZrusPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsСтатистика и экономика2500-39252016-10-0105637110.21686/2500-3925-2016-5-63-711038Comparative analysis of the core inflation for RussiaA. K. Sapova0Центральный Банк Российской Федерации, Москва, РоссияConsumer price index is a measure of inflation and it consists of two parts: persistent component (trend inflation) and short-term shocks. Inflation targeting requires index of core inflation, that independent from shortterm shocks and demonstrates the changes of the trend inflation. Reserve Banks pay attention on the changes in the trend inflation, when they take decisions about monetary policy, because it’s more informative than consumer price index for estimation of medium-term inflation risks. The objective of this article is detecting the index of core inflation that could be appropriate for monetary policy. There are some different measures of core inflation based on practice of Reserve Banks from different countries and economic articles. The comparative analysis presented in this article is based on several types of tests. The result of the research is that core consumer price index that is used today has got both advantages and weaknesses. Moreover, there is index of core inflation based on new methodology that is better than core consumer price index of Federal Sate Statistics Service. It is concluded that the Central Bank should focus precisely on this indicator when it takes decisions about monetary policy.https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1044таргетирование инфляциииндекс потребительских ценинфляциятрендовая инфляциябазовая инфляцияинфляционные рискироссияденежно-кредитная политика
spellingShingle A. K. Sapova
Comparative analysis of the core inflation for Russia
Статистика и экономика
таргетирование инфляции
индекс потребительских цен
инфляция
трендовая инфляция
базовая инфляция
инфляционные риски
россия
денежно-кредитная политика
title Comparative analysis of the core inflation for Russia
title_full Comparative analysis of the core inflation for Russia
title_fullStr Comparative analysis of the core inflation for Russia
title_full_unstemmed Comparative analysis of the core inflation for Russia
title_short Comparative analysis of the core inflation for Russia
title_sort comparative analysis of the core inflation for russia
topic таргетирование инфляции
индекс потребительских цен
инфляция
трендовая инфляция
базовая инфляция
инфляционные риски
россия
денежно-кредитная политика
url https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/1044
work_keys_str_mv AT aksapova comparativeanalysisofthecoreinflationforrussia