Assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern Chilean rivers

Despite its theoretical relationship, the effect of body size on the performance of species distribution models (SDM) has only been assessed in a few studies, and to date, the evidence shows unclear results. In this context, Chilean fishes provide an ideal case to evaluate this relationship due to t...

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Main Authors: Daniel Zamorano, Fabio A. Labra, Marcelo Villarroel, Shaw Lacy, Luca Mao, Marcelo A. Olivares, Matías Peredo-Parada
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: PeerJ Inc. 2019-12-01
Series:PeerJ
Subjects:
Online Access:https://peerj.com/articles/7771.pdf
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author Daniel Zamorano
Fabio A. Labra
Marcelo Villarroel
Shaw Lacy
Luca Mao
Marcelo A. Olivares
Matías Peredo-Parada
author_facet Daniel Zamorano
Fabio A. Labra
Marcelo Villarroel
Shaw Lacy
Luca Mao
Marcelo A. Olivares
Matías Peredo-Parada
author_sort Daniel Zamorano
collection DOAJ
description Despite its theoretical relationship, the effect of body size on the performance of species distribution models (SDM) has only been assessed in a few studies, and to date, the evidence shows unclear results. In this context, Chilean fishes provide an ideal case to evaluate this relationship due to their short size (fishes between 5 cm and 40 cm) and conservation status, providing evidence for species at the lower end of the worldwide fish size distribution and representing a relevant management tool for species conservation. We assessed the effect of body size on the performance of SDM in nine Chilean river fishes, considering the number of records, performance metrics, and predictor importance. The study was developed in the Bueno and Valdivia basins of southern Chile. We used a neural network modeling algorithm, training models with a cross-validation scheme. The effect of fish size on selected metrics was assessed using linear models and beta regressions. While no relationship between fish size and the number of presences was found, our results indicate that the model specificity increases with fish size. Additionally, the predictive importance of Riparian Vegetation and Within-Channel Structures variables decreases for larger species. Our results suggest that the relationship between the grain of the dataset and the home range of the species could bias SDM, leading in our case, to overprediction of absences. We also suggest that evolutionary adaptation to low slopes among Chilean fishes increases the relevance of riparian vegetation in the SDMs of smaller species. This study provides evidence on how species size may bias SDM, which could potentially be corrected by adjusting the model grain.
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spelling doaj.art-892bab04f1624640a47b5792594294092023-12-03T07:08:47ZengPeerJ Inc.PeerJ2167-83592019-12-017e777110.7717/peerj.7771Assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern Chilean riversDaniel Zamorano0Fabio A. Labra1Marcelo Villarroel2Shaw Lacy3Luca Mao4Marcelo A. Olivares5Matías Peredo-Parada6Centro de Investigación e Innovación para el Cambio Climático, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Santo Tomás, Santiago, ChileCentro de Investigación e Innovación para el Cambio Climático, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Santo Tomás, Santiago, ChilePlataforma de Investigación en Ecohidrología y Ecohidráulica Limitada, Santiago, ChileThe School for Field Studies, Center for Climate Studies, Puerto Natales, ChileInstituto de Geografía, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, ChileDepartamento de Ingeniería Civil, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, ChilePlataforma de Investigación en Ecohidrología y Ecohidráulica Limitada, Santiago, ChileDespite its theoretical relationship, the effect of body size on the performance of species distribution models (SDM) has only been assessed in a few studies, and to date, the evidence shows unclear results. In this context, Chilean fishes provide an ideal case to evaluate this relationship due to their short size (fishes between 5 cm and 40 cm) and conservation status, providing evidence for species at the lower end of the worldwide fish size distribution and representing a relevant management tool for species conservation. We assessed the effect of body size on the performance of SDM in nine Chilean river fishes, considering the number of records, performance metrics, and predictor importance. The study was developed in the Bueno and Valdivia basins of southern Chile. We used a neural network modeling algorithm, training models with a cross-validation scheme. The effect of fish size on selected metrics was assessed using linear models and beta regressions. While no relationship between fish size and the number of presences was found, our results indicate that the model specificity increases with fish size. Additionally, the predictive importance of Riparian Vegetation and Within-Channel Structures variables decreases for larger species. Our results suggest that the relationship between the grain of the dataset and the home range of the species could bias SDM, leading in our case, to overprediction of absences. We also suggest that evolutionary adaptation to low slopes among Chilean fishes increases the relevance of riparian vegetation in the SDMs of smaller species. This study provides evidence on how species size may bias SDM, which could potentially be corrected by adjusting the model grain.https://peerj.com/articles/7771.pdfChilean fishesNeural NetworksAnthropogenic variablesSpecificityRiparian vegetationStructures within the channel
spellingShingle Daniel Zamorano
Fabio A. Labra
Marcelo Villarroel
Shaw Lacy
Luca Mao
Marcelo A. Olivares
Matías Peredo-Parada
Assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern Chilean rivers
PeerJ
Chilean fishes
Neural Networks
Anthropogenic variables
Specificity
Riparian vegetation
Structures within the channel
title Assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern Chilean rivers
title_full Assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern Chilean rivers
title_fullStr Assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern Chilean rivers
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern Chilean rivers
title_short Assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern Chilean rivers
title_sort assessing the effect of fish size on species distribution model performance in southern chilean rivers
topic Chilean fishes
Neural Networks
Anthropogenic variables
Specificity
Riparian vegetation
Structures within the channel
url https://peerj.com/articles/7771.pdf
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