A Prediction Model Incorporating Peripheral Eosinopenia as a Novel Risk Factor for Death After Hospitalization for Clostridioides difficile Infection

Background and Aims: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is associated with a range of outcomes, and existing prediction models for death among patients with CDI are imprecise. Peripheral eosinopenia has been proposed as a novel risk factor for death among patients with CDI but has not been inc...

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Main Authors: Ying Wang, Hojjat Salmasian, Aaron Schluger, Angela Gomez-Simmonds, Alexa Choy, Jianhua Li, Jordan E. Axelrad, Daniel E. Freedberg
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-01-01
Series:Gastro Hep Advances
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772572321000182
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author Ying Wang
Hojjat Salmasian
Aaron Schluger
Angela Gomez-Simmonds
Alexa Choy
Jianhua Li
Jordan E. Axelrad
Daniel E. Freedberg
author_facet Ying Wang
Hojjat Salmasian
Aaron Schluger
Angela Gomez-Simmonds
Alexa Choy
Jianhua Li
Jordan E. Axelrad
Daniel E. Freedberg
author_sort Ying Wang
collection DOAJ
description Background and Aims: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is associated with a range of outcomes, and existing prediction models for death among patients with CDI are imprecise. Peripheral eosinopenia has been proposed as a novel risk factor for death among patients with CDI but has not been incorporated into prediction models. This study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for death among patients hospitalized with CDI that incorporated peripheral eosinopenia. Methods: Eosinopenia was defined as 0 eosinophils/μL on the soonest peripheral blood drawn within the 48-hour window of the CDI test (before or after). Adults were eligible for the study if they were hospitalized at any one of 3 large, unaffiliated hospital networks, tested positive for CDI by stool polymerase chain reaction, and received appropriate anti-CDI treatment. Patients were followed for all-cause death for up to 30 days. Results: There were 4518 unique hospitalized adults with CDI included (2142 in the derivation cohort and 2376 in the validation cohort). All-cause 30-day mortality was 9% and 10% in the cohorts. In the validation cohort, the factors most strongly associated with death were eosinopenia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.77–3.50), albumin <3 g/dL (aOR 3.26, 95% CI 2.13–3.49), and creatinine >1.5 mg/dL (aOR 2.55, 95% CI 1.86–3.49). A 6-variable clinical prediction model was developed that improved on existing classification schemes for CDI severity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.75 vs 0.68). Conclusion: Among adults hospitalized with CDI, peripheral eosinopenia was associated with increased risk of all-cause 30-day mortality. A prediction model incorporating peripheral eosinopenia was developed to improve care for hospitalized patients with CDI through risk stratification.
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spelling doaj.art-89384aee60944712b0981ec7becfe1aa2022-12-22T02:06:13ZengElsevierGastro Hep Advances2772-57232022-01-01113844A Prediction Model Incorporating Peripheral Eosinopenia as a Novel Risk Factor for Death After Hospitalization for Clostridioides difficile InfectionYing Wang0Hojjat Salmasian1Aaron Schluger2Angela Gomez-Simmonds3Alexa Choy4Jianhua Li5Jordan E. Axelrad6Daniel E. Freedberg7Department of Medicine, Rutgers Robert Wood Johnson University Hospital, New Brunswick, New Jersey; Correspondence: Address correspondence to: Ying Wang, MD, 300 Grand Street, Apt 421, Hoboken, New Jersey 07030.Division of General Internal Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MassachusettsDepartment of Medicine, Westchester Medical Center, Valhalla, New YorkDepartment of Medicine, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, New YorkDepartment of Medicine, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, New YorkDepartment of Medicine, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, New YorkDepartment of Medicine, NYU Langone Health, New York, New YorkDepartment of Medicine, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, New YorkBackground and Aims: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is associated with a range of outcomes, and existing prediction models for death among patients with CDI are imprecise. Peripheral eosinopenia has been proposed as a novel risk factor for death among patients with CDI but has not been incorporated into prediction models. This study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for death among patients hospitalized with CDI that incorporated peripheral eosinopenia. Methods: Eosinopenia was defined as 0 eosinophils/μL on the soonest peripheral blood drawn within the 48-hour window of the CDI test (before or after). Adults were eligible for the study if they were hospitalized at any one of 3 large, unaffiliated hospital networks, tested positive for CDI by stool polymerase chain reaction, and received appropriate anti-CDI treatment. Patients were followed for all-cause death for up to 30 days. Results: There were 4518 unique hospitalized adults with CDI included (2142 in the derivation cohort and 2376 in the validation cohort). All-cause 30-day mortality was 9% and 10% in the cohorts. In the validation cohort, the factors most strongly associated with death were eosinopenia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.77–3.50), albumin <3 g/dL (aOR 3.26, 95% CI 2.13–3.49), and creatinine >1.5 mg/dL (aOR 2.55, 95% CI 1.86–3.49). A 6-variable clinical prediction model was developed that improved on existing classification schemes for CDI severity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.75 vs 0.68). Conclusion: Among adults hospitalized with CDI, peripheral eosinopenia was associated with increased risk of all-cause 30-day mortality. A prediction model incorporating peripheral eosinopenia was developed to improve care for hospitalized patients with CDI through risk stratification.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772572321000182Peripheral EosinopeniaClostridioides difficile Infection (CDI)Prediction Model for Clostridioides difficile Infection Mortality
spellingShingle Ying Wang
Hojjat Salmasian
Aaron Schluger
Angela Gomez-Simmonds
Alexa Choy
Jianhua Li
Jordan E. Axelrad
Daniel E. Freedberg
A Prediction Model Incorporating Peripheral Eosinopenia as a Novel Risk Factor for Death After Hospitalization for Clostridioides difficile Infection
Gastro Hep Advances
Peripheral Eosinopenia
Clostridioides difficile Infection (CDI)
Prediction Model for Clostridioides difficile Infection Mortality
title A Prediction Model Incorporating Peripheral Eosinopenia as a Novel Risk Factor for Death After Hospitalization for Clostridioides difficile Infection
title_full A Prediction Model Incorporating Peripheral Eosinopenia as a Novel Risk Factor for Death After Hospitalization for Clostridioides difficile Infection
title_fullStr A Prediction Model Incorporating Peripheral Eosinopenia as a Novel Risk Factor for Death After Hospitalization for Clostridioides difficile Infection
title_full_unstemmed A Prediction Model Incorporating Peripheral Eosinopenia as a Novel Risk Factor for Death After Hospitalization for Clostridioides difficile Infection
title_short A Prediction Model Incorporating Peripheral Eosinopenia as a Novel Risk Factor for Death After Hospitalization for Clostridioides difficile Infection
title_sort prediction model incorporating peripheral eosinopenia as a novel risk factor for death after hospitalization for clostridioides difficile infection
topic Peripheral Eosinopenia
Clostridioides difficile Infection (CDI)
Prediction Model for Clostridioides difficile Infection Mortality
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772572321000182
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