Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of In-Hospital Clinical Deterioration: A Systematic Review

OBJECTIVES:. To analyze the available literature on the performance of artificial intelligence-generated clinical models for the prediction of serious life-threatening events in non-ICU adult patients and evaluate their potential clinical usage. DATA SOURCES:. The PubMed database was searched for re...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Lars I. Veldhuis, MD, Nicky J. C. Woittiez, MD, Prabath W. B. Nanayakkara, MD, PhD, Jeroen Ludikhuize, MD, PhD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wolters Kluwer 2022-09-01
Series:Critical Care Explorations
Online Access:http://journals.lww.com/10.1097/CCE.0000000000000744
_version_ 1828373683982303232
author Lars I. Veldhuis, MD
Nicky J. C. Woittiez, MD
Prabath W. B. Nanayakkara, MD, PhD
Jeroen Ludikhuize, MD, PhD
author_facet Lars I. Veldhuis, MD
Nicky J. C. Woittiez, MD
Prabath W. B. Nanayakkara, MD, PhD
Jeroen Ludikhuize, MD, PhD
author_sort Lars I. Veldhuis, MD
collection DOAJ
description OBJECTIVES:. To analyze the available literature on the performance of artificial intelligence-generated clinical models for the prediction of serious life-threatening events in non-ICU adult patients and evaluate their potential clinical usage. DATA SOURCES:. The PubMed database was searched for relevant articles in English literature from January 1, 2000, to January 23, 2022. Search terms, including artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning, and deterioration, were both controlled terms and free-text terms. STUDY SELECTION:. We performed a systematic search reporting studies that showed performance of artificial intelligence-based models with outcome mortality and clinical deterioration. DATA EXTRACTION:. Two review authors independently performed study selection and data extraction. Studies with the same outcome were grouped, namely mortality and various forms of deterioration (including ICU admission, adverse events, and cardiac arrests). Meta-analysis was planned in case sufficient data would be extracted from each study and no considerable heterogeneity between studies was present. DATA SYNTHESIS:. In total, 45 articles were included for analysis, in which multiple methods of artificial intelligence were used. Twenty-four articles described models for the prediction of mortality and 21 for clinical deterioration. Due to heterogeneity of study characteristics (patient cohort, outcomes, and prediction models), meta-analysis could not be performed. The main reported measure of performance was the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) (n = 38), of which 33 (87%) had an AUROC greater than 0.8. The highest reported performance in a model predicting mortality had an AUROC of 0.935 and an area under the precision-recall curve of 0.96. CONCLUSIONS:. Currently, a growing number of studies develop and analyzes artificial intelligence-based prediction models to predict critical illness and deterioration. We show that artificial intelligence-based prediction models have an overall good performance in predicting deterioration of patients. However, external validation of existing models and its performance in a clinical setting is highly recommended.
first_indexed 2024-04-14T07:22:42Z
format Article
id doaj.art-893a73f8ea8a4245bb97fade8545edaa
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2639-8028
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-14T07:22:42Z
publishDate 2022-09-01
publisher Wolters Kluwer
record_format Article
series Critical Care Explorations
spelling doaj.art-893a73f8ea8a4245bb97fade8545edaa2022-12-22T02:06:07ZengWolters KluwerCritical Care Explorations2639-80282022-09-0149e074410.1097/CCE.0000000000000744202209000-00001Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of In-Hospital Clinical Deterioration: A Systematic ReviewLars I. Veldhuis, MD0Nicky J. C. Woittiez, MD1Prabath W. B. Nanayakkara, MD, PhD2Jeroen Ludikhuize, MD, PhD31 Department of Anesthesiology, Amsterdam UMC, Location Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.3 Department of Intensive Care, Haga Teaching Hospital, Den Haag, The Netherlands.4 Section General Internal Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC, Location VU University Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.3 Department of Intensive Care, Haga Teaching Hospital, Den Haag, The Netherlands.OBJECTIVES:. To analyze the available literature on the performance of artificial intelligence-generated clinical models for the prediction of serious life-threatening events in non-ICU adult patients and evaluate their potential clinical usage. DATA SOURCES:. The PubMed database was searched for relevant articles in English literature from January 1, 2000, to January 23, 2022. Search terms, including artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning, and deterioration, were both controlled terms and free-text terms. STUDY SELECTION:. We performed a systematic search reporting studies that showed performance of artificial intelligence-based models with outcome mortality and clinical deterioration. DATA EXTRACTION:. Two review authors independently performed study selection and data extraction. Studies with the same outcome were grouped, namely mortality and various forms of deterioration (including ICU admission, adverse events, and cardiac arrests). Meta-analysis was planned in case sufficient data would be extracted from each study and no considerable heterogeneity between studies was present. DATA SYNTHESIS:. In total, 45 articles were included for analysis, in which multiple methods of artificial intelligence were used. Twenty-four articles described models for the prediction of mortality and 21 for clinical deterioration. Due to heterogeneity of study characteristics (patient cohort, outcomes, and prediction models), meta-analysis could not be performed. The main reported measure of performance was the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) (n = 38), of which 33 (87%) had an AUROC greater than 0.8. The highest reported performance in a model predicting mortality had an AUROC of 0.935 and an area under the precision-recall curve of 0.96. CONCLUSIONS:. Currently, a growing number of studies develop and analyzes artificial intelligence-based prediction models to predict critical illness and deterioration. We show that artificial intelligence-based prediction models have an overall good performance in predicting deterioration of patients. However, external validation of existing models and its performance in a clinical setting is highly recommended.http://journals.lww.com/10.1097/CCE.0000000000000744
spellingShingle Lars I. Veldhuis, MD
Nicky J. C. Woittiez, MD
Prabath W. B. Nanayakkara, MD, PhD
Jeroen Ludikhuize, MD, PhD
Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of In-Hospital Clinical Deterioration: A Systematic Review
Critical Care Explorations
title Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of In-Hospital Clinical Deterioration: A Systematic Review
title_full Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of In-Hospital Clinical Deterioration: A Systematic Review
title_fullStr Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of In-Hospital Clinical Deterioration: A Systematic Review
title_full_unstemmed Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of In-Hospital Clinical Deterioration: A Systematic Review
title_short Artificial Intelligence for the Prediction of In-Hospital Clinical Deterioration: A Systematic Review
title_sort artificial intelligence for the prediction of in hospital clinical deterioration a systematic review
url http://journals.lww.com/10.1097/CCE.0000000000000744
work_keys_str_mv AT larsiveldhuismd artificialintelligenceforthepredictionofinhospitalclinicaldeteriorationasystematicreview
AT nickyjcwoittiezmd artificialintelligenceforthepredictionofinhospitalclinicaldeteriorationasystematicreview
AT prabathwbnanayakkaramdphd artificialintelligenceforthepredictionofinhospitalclinicaldeteriorationasystematicreview
AT jeroenludikhuizemdphd artificialintelligenceforthepredictionofinhospitalclinicaldeteriorationasystematicreview