Bank Failure Prediction With Logistic Regression

In recent years the economic and financial world is shaken by a wave of financial crisis and resulted in violent bank fairly huge losses. Several authors have focused on the study of the crises in order to develop an early warning model. It is in the same path that our work takes its inspiration. In...

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Main Author: Taha Zaghdoudi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2013-06-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/31957/351929?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
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author Taha Zaghdoudi
author_facet Taha Zaghdoudi
author_sort Taha Zaghdoudi
collection DOAJ
description In recent years the economic and financial world is shaken by a wave of financial crisis and resulted in violent bank fairly huge losses. Several authors have focused on the study of the crises in order to develop an early warning model. It is in the same path that our work takes its inspiration. Indeed, we have tried to develop a predictive model of Tunisian bank failures with the contribution of the binary logistic regression method. The specificity of our prediction model is that it takes into account microeconomic indicators of bank failures. The results obtained using our provisional model show that a bank's ability to repay its debt, the coefficient of banking operations, bank profitability per employee and leverage financial ratio has a negative impact on the probability of failure.
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spelling doaj.art-893bb8d8dec44211aa4b33c33749b8342023-02-15T16:17:53ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382013-06-01325375431032Bank Failure Prediction With Logistic RegressionTaha ZaghdoudiIn recent years the economic and financial world is shaken by a wave of financial crisis and resulted in violent bank fairly huge losses. Several authors have focused on the study of the crises in order to develop an early warning model. It is in the same path that our work takes its inspiration. Indeed, we have tried to develop a predictive model of Tunisian bank failures with the contribution of the binary logistic regression method. The specificity of our prediction model is that it takes into account microeconomic indicators of bank failures. The results obtained using our provisional model show that a bank's ability to repay its debt, the coefficient of banking operations, bank profitability per employee and leverage financial ratio has a negative impact on the probability of failure.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/31957/351929?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturkbank failures logit model
spellingShingle Taha Zaghdoudi
Bank Failure Prediction With Logistic Regression
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
bank failures
logit model
title Bank Failure Prediction With Logistic Regression
title_full Bank Failure Prediction With Logistic Regression
title_fullStr Bank Failure Prediction With Logistic Regression
title_full_unstemmed Bank Failure Prediction With Logistic Regression
title_short Bank Failure Prediction With Logistic Regression
title_sort bank failure prediction with logistic regression
topic bank failures
logit model
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/pub/ijefi/issue/31957/351929?publisher=http-www-cag-edu-tr-ilhan-ozturk
work_keys_str_mv AT tahazaghdoudi bankfailurepredictionwithlogisticregression