Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments in Russia’s Regions: Potential and Risk Factors

The Russian economy is closely integrated with the world capital market and at the same time possesses visible regional differences in the dynamics of foreign direct investment (FDI). The goal of our research is to carry out quantitative assessment of the factors that promote the inflow of FDI to Ru...

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Main Author: Izotov Dmitrii A.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Russian Academy of Sciences, Vologda Research Center 2019-05-01
Series:Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast
Subjects:
Online Access:http://esc.vscc.ac.ru/article/28137/full?_lang=en
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author Izotov Dmitrii A.
author_facet Izotov Dmitrii A.
author_sort Izotov Dmitrii A.
collection DOAJ
description The Russian economy is closely integrated with the world capital market and at the same time possesses visible regional differences in the dynamics of foreign direct investment (FDI). The goal of our research is to carry out quantitative assessment of the factors that promote the inflow of FDI to Russia’s regions in 2011–2017 within the framework of aggregated and private indicators of risk and potential. The estimates we have obtained indicate that the aggregate investment potential has a positive impact on FDI inflows to the regions. We find out that as the risks for the domestic economy increase, the statistically significant inverse correlation between FDI inflows and the aggregate investment risk index ceased to be observed since 2014, alongside the remaining visible convergence between Russia’s regions on this indicator. Our estimates suggest that without overcoming the high risks generated by the national economy as a whole, the reduction in aggregate risks between Russia’s regions does not play a significant part in increasing FDI inflows. In accordance with our assessment, we determine that the regional dynamics of FDI inflows in 2011–2017 was explained by some private indicators of investment risk and potential, which, in general, had a reverse and direct impact on the dependent variable, respectively. The specific characteristics of Russia’s regions significantly adjusted the importance and the ratio of FDI attraction factors, so the obtained values of the corresponding elasticities indicated a difference rather than a commonality of private indicators of risk and potential, the indicators that drive the inflow of direct investment to the Far East compared to other regions of Russia. This fact probably confirms the need for differentiated policies to attract FDI to the economy of the Far East in comparison with other regions. Since our research reflects the relative impact of risk and potential factors on FDI inflows for Russia’s regions that exist in the single institutional and economic space, the estimates we have obtained can be supplemented by a more detailed study of the role of Russia’s potential and risk compared to other national economies
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spelling doaj.art-8945dcd2acac458d8e89c5ffabfb348f2022-12-22T00:15:43ZengRussian Academy of Sciences, Vologda Research CenterEconomic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast2307-03312312-98242019-05-01122567210.15838/esc.2019.2.62.3Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments in Russia’s Regions: Potential and Risk FactorsIzotov Dmitrii A.0Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch of RASThe Russian economy is closely integrated with the world capital market and at the same time possesses visible regional differences in the dynamics of foreign direct investment (FDI). The goal of our research is to carry out quantitative assessment of the factors that promote the inflow of FDI to Russia’s regions in 2011–2017 within the framework of aggregated and private indicators of risk and potential. The estimates we have obtained indicate that the aggregate investment potential has a positive impact on FDI inflows to the regions. We find out that as the risks for the domestic economy increase, the statistically significant inverse correlation between FDI inflows and the aggregate investment risk index ceased to be observed since 2014, alongside the remaining visible convergence between Russia’s regions on this indicator. Our estimates suggest that without overcoming the high risks generated by the national economy as a whole, the reduction in aggregate risks between Russia’s regions does not play a significant part in increasing FDI inflows. In accordance with our assessment, we determine that the regional dynamics of FDI inflows in 2011–2017 was explained by some private indicators of investment risk and potential, which, in general, had a reverse and direct impact on the dependent variable, respectively. The specific characteristics of Russia’s regions significantly adjusted the importance and the ratio of FDI attraction factors, so the obtained values of the corresponding elasticities indicated a difference rather than a commonality of private indicators of risk and potential, the indicators that drive the inflow of direct investment to the Far East compared to other regions of Russia. This fact probably confirms the need for differentiated policies to attract FDI to the economy of the Far East in comparison with other regions. Since our research reflects the relative impact of risk and potential factors on FDI inflows for Russia’s regions that exist in the single institutional and economic space, the estimates we have obtained can be supplemented by a more detailed study of the role of Russia’s potential and risk compared to other national economieshttp://esc.vscc.ac.ru/article/28137/full?_lang=enrussiaregioninvestment potentialinvestment riskfar eastelasticityforeign direct investmentaggregate and private indicatorsfixed effects
spellingShingle Izotov Dmitrii A.
Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments in Russia’s Regions: Potential and Risk Factors
Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast
russia
region
investment potential
investment risk
far east
elasticity
foreign direct investment
aggregate and private indicators
fixed effects
title Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments in Russia’s Regions: Potential and Risk Factors
title_full Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments in Russia’s Regions: Potential and Risk Factors
title_fullStr Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments in Russia’s Regions: Potential and Risk Factors
title_full_unstemmed Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments in Russia’s Regions: Potential and Risk Factors
title_short Inflow of Foreign Direct Investments in Russia’s Regions: Potential and Risk Factors
title_sort inflow of foreign direct investments in russia s regions potential and risk factors
topic russia
region
investment potential
investment risk
far east
elasticity
foreign direct investment
aggregate and private indicators
fixed effects
url http://esc.vscc.ac.ru/article/28137/full?_lang=en
work_keys_str_mv AT izotovdmitriia inflowofforeigndirectinvestmentsinrussiasregionspotentialandriskfactors