Application of Altman Bankruptcy prediction model in Ghana

The study examined the applicability of the Altman Z-score model in predicting bankrupt companies or financially distressed companies on the Ghana Stock Exchange. A sample 10 listed firms were selected and one other company to be used for validation purposes. The validation process involved data for...

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Main Authors: Alhassan Musah, Josephine Agyimaa Agyirakwah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Master Program in Economics, Graduate Program of Universitas Jambi 2019-08-01
Series:Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Online Access:https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/JES/article/view/7558
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author Alhassan Musah
Josephine Agyimaa Agyirakwah
author_facet Alhassan Musah
Josephine Agyimaa Agyirakwah
author_sort Alhassan Musah
collection DOAJ
description The study examined the applicability of the Altman Z-score model in predicting bankrupt companies or financially distressed companies on the Ghana Stock Exchange. A sample 10 listed firms were selected and one other company to be used for validation purposes. The validation process involved data for 2016 and 2017 for Aluworks which represented a distressed company and GOIL Ghana Limited which represented non-distressed company. The final analysis was based on a random sample of 10 listed firms using their 2017 financial statement. The results of the initial prediction showed 50 percent of the companies were correctly predicted whiles the others were misclassified. Additional analyses showed that the size of the company influence the probability of bankruptcy whiles the nature of the business does not. The conclusion drawn shows that the Altman Z-score cannot accurately predict financially distressed firms in Ghana but can still be useful in giving signals.
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spelling doaj.art-89562b727d9649348600720afdde9a742022-12-22T02:47:11ZengMaster Program in Economics, Graduate Program of Universitas JambiJurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah2338-46032355-85202019-08-017110.22437/ppd.v7i1.75587558Application of Altman Bankruptcy prediction model in GhanaAlhassan Musah0Josephine Agyimaa Agyirakwah1Academic City College, Accra, GhanaKwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, GhanaThe study examined the applicability of the Altman Z-score model in predicting bankrupt companies or financially distressed companies on the Ghana Stock Exchange. A sample 10 listed firms were selected and one other company to be used for validation purposes. The validation process involved data for 2016 and 2017 for Aluworks which represented a distressed company and GOIL Ghana Limited which represented non-distressed company. The final analysis was based on a random sample of 10 listed firms using their 2017 financial statement. The results of the initial prediction showed 50 percent of the companies were correctly predicted whiles the others were misclassified. Additional analyses showed that the size of the company influence the probability of bankruptcy whiles the nature of the business does not. The conclusion drawn shows that the Altman Z-score cannot accurately predict financially distressed firms in Ghana but can still be useful in giving signals.https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/JES/article/view/7558
spellingShingle Alhassan Musah
Josephine Agyimaa Agyirakwah
Application of Altman Bankruptcy prediction model in Ghana
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
title Application of Altman Bankruptcy prediction model in Ghana
title_full Application of Altman Bankruptcy prediction model in Ghana
title_fullStr Application of Altman Bankruptcy prediction model in Ghana
title_full_unstemmed Application of Altman Bankruptcy prediction model in Ghana
title_short Application of Altman Bankruptcy prediction model in Ghana
title_sort application of altman bankruptcy prediction model in ghana
url https://online-journal.unja.ac.id/JES/article/view/7558
work_keys_str_mv AT alhassanmusah applicationofaltmanbankruptcypredictionmodelinghana
AT josephineagyimaaagyirakwah applicationofaltmanbankruptcypredictionmodelinghana