Characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero-surveillance in Northern Ghana.

<h4>Background</h4>As prevalence decreases in pre-elimination settings, identifying the spatial distribution of remaining infections to target control measures becomes increasingly challenging. By measuring multiple antibody responses indicative of past exposure to different pathogens, i...

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Main Authors: Kimberly M Fornace, Laura Senyonjo, Diana L Martin, Sarah Gwyn, Elena Schmidt, David Agyemang, Benjamin Marfo, James Addy, Ernest Mensah, Anthony W Solomon, Robin Bailey, Chris J Drakeley, Rachel L Pullan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2022-03-01
Series:PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010227
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author Kimberly M Fornace
Laura Senyonjo
Diana L Martin
Sarah Gwyn
Elena Schmidt
David Agyemang
Benjamin Marfo
James Addy
Ernest Mensah
Anthony W Solomon
Robin Bailey
Chris J Drakeley
Rachel L Pullan
author_facet Kimberly M Fornace
Laura Senyonjo
Diana L Martin
Sarah Gwyn
Elena Schmidt
David Agyemang
Benjamin Marfo
James Addy
Ernest Mensah
Anthony W Solomon
Robin Bailey
Chris J Drakeley
Rachel L Pullan
author_sort Kimberly M Fornace
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Background</h4>As prevalence decreases in pre-elimination settings, identifying the spatial distribution of remaining infections to target control measures becomes increasingly challenging. By measuring multiple antibody responses indicative of past exposure to different pathogens, integrated serological surveys enable simultaneous characterisation of residual transmission of multiple pathogens.<h4>Methodology/principal findings</h4>Here, we combine integrated serological surveys with geostatistical modelling and remote sensing-derived environmental data to estimate the spatial distribution of exposure to multiple diseases in children in Northern Ghana. The study utilised the trachoma surveillance survey platform (cross-sectional two-stage cluster-sampled surveys) to collect information on additional identified diseases at different stages of elimination with minimal additional cost. Geostatistical modelling of serological data allowed identification of areas with high probabilities of recent exposure to diseases of interest, including areas previously unknown to control programmes. We additionally demonstrate how serological surveys can be used to identify areas with exposure to multiple diseases and to prioritise areas with high uncertainty for future surveys. Modelled estimates of cluster-level prevalence were strongly correlated with more operationally feasible metrics of antibody responses.<h4>Conclusions/significance</h4>This study demonstrates the potential of integrated serological surveillance to characterise spatial distributions of exposure to multiple pathogens in low transmission and elimination settings when the probability of detecting infections is low.
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spelling doaj.art-895af05547b047f69b13744c11be78362022-12-22T03:27:12ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases1935-27271935-27352022-03-01163e001022710.1371/journal.pntd.0010227Characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero-surveillance in Northern Ghana.Kimberly M FornaceLaura SenyonjoDiana L MartinSarah GwynElena SchmidtDavid AgyemangBenjamin MarfoJames AddyErnest MensahAnthony W SolomonRobin BaileyChris J DrakeleyRachel L Pullan<h4>Background</h4>As prevalence decreases in pre-elimination settings, identifying the spatial distribution of remaining infections to target control measures becomes increasingly challenging. By measuring multiple antibody responses indicative of past exposure to different pathogens, integrated serological surveys enable simultaneous characterisation of residual transmission of multiple pathogens.<h4>Methodology/principal findings</h4>Here, we combine integrated serological surveys with geostatistical modelling and remote sensing-derived environmental data to estimate the spatial distribution of exposure to multiple diseases in children in Northern Ghana. The study utilised the trachoma surveillance survey platform (cross-sectional two-stage cluster-sampled surveys) to collect information on additional identified diseases at different stages of elimination with minimal additional cost. Geostatistical modelling of serological data allowed identification of areas with high probabilities of recent exposure to diseases of interest, including areas previously unknown to control programmes. We additionally demonstrate how serological surveys can be used to identify areas with exposure to multiple diseases and to prioritise areas with high uncertainty for future surveys. Modelled estimates of cluster-level prevalence were strongly correlated with more operationally feasible metrics of antibody responses.<h4>Conclusions/significance</h4>This study demonstrates the potential of integrated serological surveillance to characterise spatial distributions of exposure to multiple pathogens in low transmission and elimination settings when the probability of detecting infections is low.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010227
spellingShingle Kimberly M Fornace
Laura Senyonjo
Diana L Martin
Sarah Gwyn
Elena Schmidt
David Agyemang
Benjamin Marfo
James Addy
Ernest Mensah
Anthony W Solomon
Robin Bailey
Chris J Drakeley
Rachel L Pullan
Characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero-surveillance in Northern Ghana.
PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
title Characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero-surveillance in Northern Ghana.
title_full Characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero-surveillance in Northern Ghana.
title_fullStr Characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero-surveillance in Northern Ghana.
title_full_unstemmed Characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero-surveillance in Northern Ghana.
title_short Characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero-surveillance in Northern Ghana.
title_sort characterising spatial patterns of neglected tropical disease transmission using integrated sero surveillance in northern ghana
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0010227
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