Validation of prognostic scores for survival in cancer patients beyond first-line therapy

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>We aimed to validate prognostic scores for survival in patients undergoing chemotherapy for advanced or metastatic cancer after first-line treatment.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>We previously described two models wi...

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Main Authors: Quiblier Florent, Saba Chadi, Pérol David, Chabaud Sylvie, Bajard Agathe, Rebattu Paul, Chvetzoff Gisèle, Ray-Coquard Isabelle, Trédan Olivier, Blay Jean-Yves, Bachelot Thomas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2011-03-01
Series:BMC Cancer
Online Access:http://www.biomedcentral.com/1471-2407/11/95
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Summary:<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>We aimed to validate prognostic scores for survival in patients undergoing chemotherapy for advanced or metastatic cancer after first-line treatment.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>We previously described two models with good prognostic value based on a combination of Performance Status (PS) and either lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level or lymphocyte count. These factors were evaluated for their ability to predict overall survival (OS) in a prospective cohort of 299 patients. Clinical and blood parameters were prospectively recorded. Candidate prognostic factors for OS with 0.05 significance level in univariate analysis were included in a multivariate Cox model.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Median age was 59 years (range: 26-85). Primary tumor sites were breast (45%), lung (15%), ovaries (11%) and others (29%). The number of metastatic sites was 1 (29%), 2 (48%), >2 (23%). Median follow-up and median OS were 12 and 6 months, respectively. Multiple regression analysis confirmed that PS >1, lymphocyte count ≤700/μL and LDH >600 UI/L were independent predictors of short OS, as well as interleukin 6 (IL-6) level, serum albumin concentration and platelet count.</p> <p>Conclusions</p> <p>Prognostic scores using PS plus LDH level or PS plus lymphocyte count were validated for predicting survival in metastatic cancer patients in relapse beyond first-line treatment. A score combining PS, LDH, lymphocyte and platelet count, serum albumin and IL-6 level was superior in determining patients' prognosis.</p>
ISSN:1471-2407