Changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota: population-based study

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in unprecedented increases in mortality in the U.S. and worldwide. To better understand the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in the state of Minnesota, U.S.A., we characterize the changes in the causes of death during 2020 (COVID-19 peri...

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Main Authors: Rozalina G. McCoy, Ronna L. Campbell, Aidan F. Mullan, Colin M. Bucks, Casey M. Clements, R. Ross Reichard, Molly M. Jeffery
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-12-01
Series:BMC Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-14743-z
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author Rozalina G. McCoy
Ronna L. Campbell
Aidan F. Mullan
Colin M. Bucks
Casey M. Clements
R. Ross Reichard
Molly M. Jeffery
author_facet Rozalina G. McCoy
Ronna L. Campbell
Aidan F. Mullan
Colin M. Bucks
Casey M. Clements
R. Ross Reichard
Molly M. Jeffery
author_sort Rozalina G. McCoy
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in unprecedented increases in mortality in the U.S. and worldwide. To better understand the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in the state of Minnesota, U.S.A., we characterize the changes in the causes of death during 2020 (COVID-19 period), compared to 2018–2019 (baseline period), assessing for differences across ages, races, ethnicities, sexes, and geographic characteristics. Methods Longitudinal population-based study using Minnesota death certificate data, 2018–2020. Using Poisson regression models adjusted for age and sex, we calculated all-cause and cause-specific (by underlying causes of death) mortality rates per 100,000 Minnesotans, the demographics of the deceased, and years of life lost (YLL) using the Chiang’s life table method in 2020 relative to 2018–2019. Results We identified 89,910 deaths in 2018–2019 and 52,030 deaths in 2020. The mean daily mortality rate increased from 123.1 (SD 11.7) in 2018–2019 to 144.2 (SD 22.1) in 2020. COVID-19 comprised 9.9% of deaths in 2020. Other categories of causes of death with significant increases in 2020 compared to 2018–2019 included assault by firearms (RR 1.68, 95% CI 1.34–2.11), accidental poisonings (RR 1.49, 95% CI 1.37–1.61), malnutrition (RR 1.48, 95% CI 1.17–1.87), alcoholic liver disease (RR, 95% CI 1.14–1.40), and cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases (RR 1.28, 95% CI 1.09–1.50). Mortality rates due to COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 causes were higher among racial and ethnic minority groups, older adults, and non-rural residents. Conclusions The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a 17% increase in the death rate in Minnesota relative to 2018–2019, driven by both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 causes. As the COVID-19 pandemic enters its third year, it is imperative to examine and address the factors contributing to excess mortality in the short-term and monitor for additional morbidity and mortality in the years to come.
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spelling doaj.art-89dc980f59b44ca2805df441004998d12022-12-22T04:18:57ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582022-12-0122111110.1186/s12889-022-14743-zChanges in all-cause and cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota: population-based studyRozalina G. McCoy0Ronna L. Campbell1Aidan F. Mullan2Colin M. Bucks3Casey M. Clements4R. Ross Reichard5Molly M. Jeffery6Division of Community Internal Medicine, Geriatrics, and Palliative Care. Department of Medicine, Mayo ClinicDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Mayo ClinicDepartment of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo ClinicDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Mayo ClinicDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Mayo ClinicDepartment of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo ClinicDivision of Health Care Delivery Research, Mayo ClinicAbstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in unprecedented increases in mortality in the U.S. and worldwide. To better understand the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in the state of Minnesota, U.S.A., we characterize the changes in the causes of death during 2020 (COVID-19 period), compared to 2018–2019 (baseline period), assessing for differences across ages, races, ethnicities, sexes, and geographic characteristics. Methods Longitudinal population-based study using Minnesota death certificate data, 2018–2020. Using Poisson regression models adjusted for age and sex, we calculated all-cause and cause-specific (by underlying causes of death) mortality rates per 100,000 Minnesotans, the demographics of the deceased, and years of life lost (YLL) using the Chiang’s life table method in 2020 relative to 2018–2019. Results We identified 89,910 deaths in 2018–2019 and 52,030 deaths in 2020. The mean daily mortality rate increased from 123.1 (SD 11.7) in 2018–2019 to 144.2 (SD 22.1) in 2020. COVID-19 comprised 9.9% of deaths in 2020. Other categories of causes of death with significant increases in 2020 compared to 2018–2019 included assault by firearms (RR 1.68, 95% CI 1.34–2.11), accidental poisonings (RR 1.49, 95% CI 1.37–1.61), malnutrition (RR 1.48, 95% CI 1.17–1.87), alcoholic liver disease (RR, 95% CI 1.14–1.40), and cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases (RR 1.28, 95% CI 1.09–1.50). Mortality rates due to COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 causes were higher among racial and ethnic minority groups, older adults, and non-rural residents. Conclusions The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with a 17% increase in the death rate in Minnesota relative to 2018–2019, driven by both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 causes. As the COVID-19 pandemic enters its third year, it is imperative to examine and address the factors contributing to excess mortality in the short-term and monitor for additional morbidity and mortality in the years to come.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-14743-zCOVID-19MortalityEpidemiologyPandemicPopulation healthRural
spellingShingle Rozalina G. McCoy
Ronna L. Campbell
Aidan F. Mullan
Colin M. Bucks
Casey M. Clements
R. Ross Reichard
Molly M. Jeffery
Changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota: population-based study
BMC Public Health
COVID-19
Mortality
Epidemiology
Pandemic
Population health
Rural
title Changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota: population-based study
title_full Changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota: population-based study
title_fullStr Changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota: population-based study
title_full_unstemmed Changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota: population-based study
title_short Changes in all-cause and cause-specific mortality during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Minnesota: population-based study
title_sort changes in all cause and cause specific mortality during the first year of the covid 19 pandemic in minnesota population based study
topic COVID-19
Mortality
Epidemiology
Pandemic
Population health
Rural
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-14743-z
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