Quantitative risk management in gas injection project: a case study from Oman oil and gas industry

Abstract The purpose of this research was to study the recognition, application and quantification of the risks associated in managing projects. In this research, the management of risks in an oil and gas project is studied and implemented within a case company in Oman. In this study, at first, the...

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Main Authors: Mohammad Miftaur Rahman Khan Khadem, Sujan Piya, Ahm Shamsuzzoha
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Islamic Azad University 2017-09-01
Series:Journal of Industrial Engineering International
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40092-017-0237-3
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author Mohammad Miftaur Rahman Khan Khadem
Sujan Piya
Ahm Shamsuzzoha
author_facet Mohammad Miftaur Rahman Khan Khadem
Sujan Piya
Ahm Shamsuzzoha
author_sort Mohammad Miftaur Rahman Khan Khadem
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The purpose of this research was to study the recognition, application and quantification of the risks associated in managing projects. In this research, the management of risks in an oil and gas project is studied and implemented within a case company in Oman. In this study, at first, the qualitative data related to risks in the project were identified through field visits and extensive interviews. These data were then translated into numerical values based on the expert’s opinion. Further, the numerical data were used as an input to Monte Carlo simulation. RiskyProject Professional™ software was used to simulate the system based on the identified risks. The simulation result predicted a delay of about 2 years as a worse case with no chance of meeting the project’s on stream date. Also, it has predicted 8% chance of exceeding the total estimated budget. The result of numerical analysis from the proposed model is validated by comparing it with the result of qualitative analysis, which was obtained through discussion with various project managers of company.
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spelling doaj.art-89e10154bed24772bcf6e94f0b76d35a2022-12-21T22:43:00ZengIslamic Azad UniversityJournal of Industrial Engineering International1735-57022251-712X2017-09-0114363765410.1007/s40092-017-0237-3Quantitative risk management in gas injection project: a case study from Oman oil and gas industryMohammad Miftaur Rahman Khan Khadem0Sujan Piya1Ahm Shamsuzzoha2Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Sultan Qaboos UniversityDepartment of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Sultan Qaboos UniversityDepartment of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, Sultan Qaboos UniversityAbstract The purpose of this research was to study the recognition, application and quantification of the risks associated in managing projects. In this research, the management of risks in an oil and gas project is studied and implemented within a case company in Oman. In this study, at first, the qualitative data related to risks in the project were identified through field visits and extensive interviews. These data were then translated into numerical values based on the expert’s opinion. Further, the numerical data were used as an input to Monte Carlo simulation. RiskyProject Professional™ software was used to simulate the system based on the identified risks. The simulation result predicted a delay of about 2 years as a worse case with no chance of meeting the project’s on stream date. Also, it has predicted 8% chance of exceeding the total estimated budget. The result of numerical analysis from the proposed model is validated by comparing it with the result of qualitative analysis, which was obtained through discussion with various project managers of company.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40092-017-0237-3Risk analysisQuantitative analysisProject managementMonte Carlo simulation
spellingShingle Mohammad Miftaur Rahman Khan Khadem
Sujan Piya
Ahm Shamsuzzoha
Quantitative risk management in gas injection project: a case study from Oman oil and gas industry
Journal of Industrial Engineering International
Risk analysis
Quantitative analysis
Project management
Monte Carlo simulation
title Quantitative risk management in gas injection project: a case study from Oman oil and gas industry
title_full Quantitative risk management in gas injection project: a case study from Oman oil and gas industry
title_fullStr Quantitative risk management in gas injection project: a case study from Oman oil and gas industry
title_full_unstemmed Quantitative risk management in gas injection project: a case study from Oman oil and gas industry
title_short Quantitative risk management in gas injection project: a case study from Oman oil and gas industry
title_sort quantitative risk management in gas injection project a case study from oman oil and gas industry
topic Risk analysis
Quantitative analysis
Project management
Monte Carlo simulation
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40092-017-0237-3
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AT sujanpiya quantitativeriskmanagementingasinjectionprojectacasestudyfromomanoilandgasindustry
AT ahmshamsuzzoha quantitativeriskmanagementingasinjectionprojectacasestudyfromomanoilandgasindustry