Risk-factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery: a retrospective study based on 3498 patients

Abstract This study aimed to investigate the risk factors of patients with postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) after cesarean delivery (CD) and to develop a risk-factor model for PPH after CD. Patients were selected from seven affiliated medical institutions of Chongqing Medical University from January 1st,...

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Main Authors: Jun Gong, Zhi Chen, Yi Zhang, Yi-yun Liu, Jun-cai Pu, Chun-yan Xiong, Si-wen Gui, Xiao-ling He, Hui-lai Wang, Xiao-gang Zhong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2022-12-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-23636-5
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author Jun Gong
Zhi Chen
Yi Zhang
Yi-yun Liu
Jun-cai Pu
Chun-yan Xiong
Si-wen Gui
Xiao-ling He
Hui-lai Wang
Xiao-gang Zhong
author_facet Jun Gong
Zhi Chen
Yi Zhang
Yi-yun Liu
Jun-cai Pu
Chun-yan Xiong
Si-wen Gui
Xiao-ling He
Hui-lai Wang
Xiao-gang Zhong
author_sort Jun Gong
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study aimed to investigate the risk factors of patients with postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) after cesarean delivery (CD) and to develop a risk-factor model for PPH after CD. Patients were selected from seven affiliated medical institutions of Chongqing Medical University from January 1st, 2015, to January 1st, 2020. Continuous and categorical variables were obtained from the hospital’s electronic medical record systems. Independent risk factors were identified by univariate analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and logistic regression. Furthermore, logistic, extreme gradient boosting, random forest, classification and regression trees, as well as an artificial neural network, were used to build the risk-factor model. A total of 701 PPH cases after CD and 2797 cases of CD without PPH met the inclusion criteria. Univariate analysis screened 28 differential indices. Multi-variable analysis screened 10 risk factors, including placenta previa, gestational age, prothrombin time, thrombin time, fibrinogen, anemia before delivery, placenta accreta, uterine atony, placental abruption and pregnancy with uterine fibroids. Areas under the curve by random forest for the training and test sets were 0.957 and 0.893, respectively. The F1 scores in the random forest training and test sets were 0.708. In conclusion, the risk factors for PPH after CD were identified, and a relatively stable risk-factor model was built.
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spelling doaj.art-89e592edbf4842f28c82c290bc5bc7042022-12-25T12:11:38ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222022-12-011211910.1038/s41598-022-23636-5Risk-factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery: a retrospective study based on 3498 patientsJun Gong0Zhi Chen1Yi Zhang2Yi-yun Liu3Jun-cai Pu4Chun-yan Xiong5Si-wen Gui6Xiao-ling He7Hui-lai Wang8Xiao-gang Zhong9Department of Information Center, The University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical UniversityDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical UniversitySchool of Public Health and Management, Chongqing Medical UniversityNHC Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment On Brain Functional Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical UniversityNHC Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment On Brain Functional Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical UniversityDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical UniversityNHC Key Laboratory of Diagnosis and Treatment On Brain Functional Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical UniversityDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical UniversityDepartment of Information Center, The University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical UniversityMedical Data Science Academy, Chongqing Medical UniversityAbstract This study aimed to investigate the risk factors of patients with postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) after cesarean delivery (CD) and to develop a risk-factor model for PPH after CD. Patients were selected from seven affiliated medical institutions of Chongqing Medical University from January 1st, 2015, to January 1st, 2020. Continuous and categorical variables were obtained from the hospital’s electronic medical record systems. Independent risk factors were identified by univariate analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and logistic regression. Furthermore, logistic, extreme gradient boosting, random forest, classification and regression trees, as well as an artificial neural network, were used to build the risk-factor model. A total of 701 PPH cases after CD and 2797 cases of CD without PPH met the inclusion criteria. Univariate analysis screened 28 differential indices. Multi-variable analysis screened 10 risk factors, including placenta previa, gestational age, prothrombin time, thrombin time, fibrinogen, anemia before delivery, placenta accreta, uterine atony, placental abruption and pregnancy with uterine fibroids. Areas under the curve by random forest for the training and test sets were 0.957 and 0.893, respectively. The F1 scores in the random forest training and test sets were 0.708. In conclusion, the risk factors for PPH after CD were identified, and a relatively stable risk-factor model was built.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-23636-5
spellingShingle Jun Gong
Zhi Chen
Yi Zhang
Yi-yun Liu
Jun-cai Pu
Chun-yan Xiong
Si-wen Gui
Xiao-ling He
Hui-lai Wang
Xiao-gang Zhong
Risk-factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery: a retrospective study based on 3498 patients
Scientific Reports
title Risk-factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery: a retrospective study based on 3498 patients
title_full Risk-factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery: a retrospective study based on 3498 patients
title_fullStr Risk-factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery: a retrospective study based on 3498 patients
title_full_unstemmed Risk-factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery: a retrospective study based on 3498 patients
title_short Risk-factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery: a retrospective study based on 3498 patients
title_sort risk factor model for postpartum hemorrhage after cesarean delivery a retrospective study based on 3498 patients
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-23636-5
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