Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis
The study aims to empirically examine the dynamic relationship between GDP, stock prices, FDI and domestic credit to the private sector for China by using the ARDL approach for the period 1999Q1:2015Q1. The study confirmed the long-run cointegration among the variables. The empirical results reveal...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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EconJournals
2017-01-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues |
| Online Access: | http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/3300 |
| _version_ | 1797908479872073728 |
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| author | Faisal Faisal Peshraw Majid Muhammad Turgut Tursoy |
| author_facet | Faisal Faisal Peshraw Majid Muhammad Turgut Tursoy |
| author_sort | Faisal Faisal |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
The study aims to empirically examine the dynamic relationship between GDP, stock prices, FDI and domestic credit to the private sector for China by using the ARDL approach for the period 1999Q1:2015Q1. The study confirmed the long-run cointegration among the variables. The empirical results revealed that stock prices and the associated regressors are in a long-term equilibrium relationship; stock prices converge to the long-run equilibrium position by 18.6% speed of adjustment via channel of GDP, stock price, FDI, and domestic credit to the private sector. The findings of the study further revealed that FDI has a positive impact on stock prices in the long-run, while financial development has a negative effect. The robustness of the ARDL bounds test of cointegration was examined by using Johansen and Juselius's (1990) maximum likelihood cointegration approach. Finally, the results of Granger causality under the framework of VECM showed a unidirectional short-run Granger causality that runs from stock prices to economic growth and from economic growth to FDI, specifying the absence of the FDI-led growth hypothesis. Likewise, a bi-directional causality has been found between financial development and stock prices.
Keywords: Stock price, ARDL, Cointegration, Granger causality.
JEL Classifications: C22, G10, B26
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| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T10:53:20Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-8a2c2dea099f49ec9341efe5ce6e5f42 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2146-4138 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T10:53:20Z |
| publishDate | 2017-01-01 |
| publisher | EconJournals |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues |
| spelling | doaj.art-8a2c2dea099f49ec9341efe5ce6e5f422023-02-15T16:20:04ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382017-01-0164Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series AnalysisFaisal Faisal0Peshraw Majid MuhammadTurgut Tursoy1DEPARTMENT OF BANKING AND FINANCE, FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES, NEAR EAST UNIVERSITY, NORTH CYPRUS MERSIN 10 TURKEY.DEPARTMENT OF BANKING AND FINANCE, FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES, NEAR EAST UNIVERSITY, NORTH CYPRUS MERSIN 10 TURKEY. The study aims to empirically examine the dynamic relationship between GDP, stock prices, FDI and domestic credit to the private sector for China by using the ARDL approach for the period 1999Q1:2015Q1. The study confirmed the long-run cointegration among the variables. The empirical results revealed that stock prices and the associated regressors are in a long-term equilibrium relationship; stock prices converge to the long-run equilibrium position by 18.6% speed of adjustment via channel of GDP, stock price, FDI, and domestic credit to the private sector. The findings of the study further revealed that FDI has a positive impact on stock prices in the long-run, while financial development has a negative effect. The robustness of the ARDL bounds test of cointegration was examined by using Johansen and Juselius's (1990) maximum likelihood cointegration approach. Finally, the results of Granger causality under the framework of VECM showed a unidirectional short-run Granger causality that runs from stock prices to economic growth and from economic growth to FDI, specifying the absence of the FDI-led growth hypothesis. Likewise, a bi-directional causality has been found between financial development and stock prices. Keywords: Stock price, ARDL, Cointegration, Granger causality. JEL Classifications: C22, G10, B26 http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/3300 |
| spellingShingle | Faisal Faisal Peshraw Majid Muhammad Turgut Tursoy Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues |
| title | Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis |
| title_full | Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis |
| title_fullStr | Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis |
| title_short | Impact of Economic Growth, Foreign Direct Investment and Financial Development on Stock Prices in China: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Analysis |
| title_sort | impact of economic growth foreign direct investment and financial development on stock prices in china empirical evidence from time series analysis |
| url | http://mail.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/3300 |
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