A New Wrapped Ensemble Approach for Financial Forecast

The financial market is a highly complex and dynamic system that has great commercial value; thus, many financial elite are drawn to research on the subject. Recent studies show that machine learning methods perform better than traditional statistical ones. In our study, based on the characteristics...

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Main Authors: Ling Yun, Yue BaoLong, Zhang Hua
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2014-01-01
Series:Journal of Intelligent Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/jisys-2013-0007
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author Ling Yun
Yue BaoLong
Zhang Hua
author_facet Ling Yun
Yue BaoLong
Zhang Hua
author_sort Ling Yun
collection DOAJ
description The financial market is a highly complex and dynamic system that has great commercial value; thus, many financial elite are drawn to research on the subject. Recent studies show that machine learning methods perform better than traditional statistical ones. In our study, based on the characteristics of financial sequence data, we propose a wrapped ensemble approach using a supervised learning algorithm to predict stock price volatility of China’s stock markets. To check our new approach, we developed an intelligent financial forecast system and used the Hushen 300 index data to test our model; it proves that our model performs better than a single algorithm. We also compared our model with the famous ensemble approach of bagging, and the result shows that our model is better.
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spelling doaj.art-8a3ffd25f29e49bc80af2cb9dde10a832022-12-21T21:28:11ZengDe GruyterJournal of Intelligent Systems0334-18602191-026X2014-01-01231213210.1515/jisys-2013-0007A New Wrapped Ensemble Approach for Financial ForecastLing Yun0Yue BaoLong1Zhang Hua2Department of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310018, ChinaDepartment of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310018, ChinaDepartment of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310018, ChinaThe financial market is a highly complex and dynamic system that has great commercial value; thus, many financial elite are drawn to research on the subject. Recent studies show that machine learning methods perform better than traditional statistical ones. In our study, based on the characteristics of financial sequence data, we propose a wrapped ensemble approach using a supervised learning algorithm to predict stock price volatility of China’s stock markets. To check our new approach, we developed an intelligent financial forecast system and used the Hushen 300 index data to test our model; it proves that our model performs better than a single algorithm. We also compared our model with the famous ensemble approach of bagging, and the result shows that our model is better.https://doi.org/10.1515/jisys-2013-0007wrapped ensemble approachstock forecastintelligent forecast system
spellingShingle Ling Yun
Yue BaoLong
Zhang Hua
A New Wrapped Ensemble Approach for Financial Forecast
Journal of Intelligent Systems
wrapped ensemble approach
stock forecast
intelligent forecast system
title A New Wrapped Ensemble Approach for Financial Forecast
title_full A New Wrapped Ensemble Approach for Financial Forecast
title_fullStr A New Wrapped Ensemble Approach for Financial Forecast
title_full_unstemmed A New Wrapped Ensemble Approach for Financial Forecast
title_short A New Wrapped Ensemble Approach for Financial Forecast
title_sort new wrapped ensemble approach for financial forecast
topic wrapped ensemble approach
stock forecast
intelligent forecast system
url https://doi.org/10.1515/jisys-2013-0007
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